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Gulf & Energy Policy

Policy Analysis on Gulf & Energy Policy

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Brief Analysis
Houthi Messaging May Hint at a Targeting Pattern
The Yemeni group appears to select targets directly inspired by its principal complaints, potentially helping security officials protect against future attacks while negotiators promote overall de-escalation.
Jun 13, 2019
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace
The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.
Jun 13, 2019
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Oil Prices Up on Tanker Attacks, But Long-Term Trend Looks Down
Ultimately, sabotage operations in the Gulf may prove to be less impactful than Russian engagement with OPEC, a global economic slowdown, and other geopolitical factors.
Jun 13, 2019
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Face-Off Over Gulf Arms Sales: ‘Emergency’ or False Alarm?
As Congress questions whether certain arms sales merit emergency treatment, the White House may have opened a Pandora’s box of long-term consequences for legislative oversight, Gulf relations, and defense profits.
Jun 10, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Election Redo: Implications for the Trump Peace Plan
The U.S. and Israeli electoral calendars will likely impede any grand peace plan for the foreseeable future, so the administration should instead focus on immediate stabilization measures leading up to and during the Bahrain economic conference.
May 31, 2019
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  • David Makovsky
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Failure on the Nile
How Turkey’s president went from being a regional Islamist leader in the Arab Spring to sharing Qatar’s role as the Middle East’s odd man out.
May 28, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Aggressions the Focus of 'Emergency' Arab Summit
Despite the challenges that usually accompany these high-level talks, Gulf countries seem keener than ever to counter the threat across the Persian Gulf.
May 21, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Rumors of War: Responding to Iranian Pushback in the Gulf
Washington should reduce tensions, open lines of communication, and restore deterrence, though managing the contradictions between these objectives will be challenging.
May 17, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil in Iran’s Crosshairs
Attacks on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi Arabia’s main internal pipeline have accelerated the emerging Gulf crisis and could cause prices to spike worldwide.
May 14, 2019
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
If Iran Deploys Missiles in Iraq: U.S.-Israeli Response Options
If Iran duplicates its formula from Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen by sending long-range missiles to Iraq, then future conflicts with Israel would likely include military action on Iraqi soil.
May 13, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats
Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.
May 12, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again
American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.
May 6, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Real Plan to End the War in Yemen
If the battle lines stay where they are now, with the capital and largest port still out of government control, then the Iranian-backed Houthis will effectively have won the war.
May 2, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Kenneth Pollack
  • Barbara Walter
President Donald Trump meeting with King Salman in Saudi Arabia in 2017 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce
Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.
May 1, 2019
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
More Money at the Gas Pump May Be the Price of Pressuring Iran
President Trump may be counting on the fact that U.S. voters oppose both higher gas prices and another war, but in the end he may have to pick one or the other.
Apr 23, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
A Fifty-Year Reign? MbS and the Future of Saudi Arabia
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Whether the young Saudi crown prince ultimately ascends to the throne will entail plenty of plot twists, but it also holds serious implications for the kingdom, the region, and U.S. interests.
Apr 22, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
◆ Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 2): Energy and Afghan Trade
Washington should phase out the oil waivers carefully and prevent Chabahar port from becoming an escape valve for Iran.
Apr 22, 2019
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Don't Pull Back from the Middle East
Safeguarding America’s widely agreed interests in the Middle East requires a substantial presence, as does the region’s tendency to export insecurity.
Apr 16, 2019
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israel and Bahrain’s Normalization Setback
The scuttling of a high-profile opportunity for commercial engagement is a reminder that expanding Gulf-Israel ties to the public realm will be a slow, thorny process.
Apr 16, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
An Economic Roadmap to Humanitarian Relief in Yemen
Washington should accelerate common-sense economic efforts that can help right away, even as the fraught, slow-moving UN peace process continues.
Apr 16, 2019
◆
  • Dave Harden
  • Michael Knights

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
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