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Gulf & Energy Policy

Policy Analysis on Gulf & Energy Policy

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Articles & Testimony
China and Mideast Leverage: Hiding in Plain Sight
Washington still has good cards to play in terms of Iran’s destabilizing activities, the U.S. security umbrella over Gulf energy supplies, and Arab public opinion toward China and America.
Oct 22, 2021
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia: What Has Changed, What Hasn’t
An expert discusses persistent questions about Saudi policy two decades since the September 11 attacks, explaining why some of them are still so difficult to answer definitively.
Oct 13, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Newcastle United fans celebrate the Saudi purchase of their team
Brief Analysis
Saudi Soccer Investment Augurs a Different Gulf Rivalry
Riyadh’s purchase of a struggling English club could shift some of the region’s core tensions and maneuvering to a different field of play.
Oct 8, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatar’s Council Election Has Gulf-Wide Implications
The long-delayed poll will be watched carefully by the country’s neighbors, though the sundry restrictions on voters and council members may limit its near-term policy impact.
Sep 30, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Tweet Signals Major Upgrade in Relations Between U.S. Gulf Allies
Yet the photo of an informal meeting among the Saudi, Qatari, and UAE leaders also suggests their uncertainty about American support.
Sep 20, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Promo photo for the U.S. Navy's new Task Force 59.
Brief Analysis
New Navy Task Force Aims to Deter Iran with Unmanned Systems
The high-tech force will explore human-machine teaming concepts in waters near Iran, but questions remain about whether the United States is prepared to defend those assets when necessary.
Sep 17, 2021
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
UAE-Israel Gas Deal (Finally) Finalized
Given ongoing environmental concerns over energy cooperation, the chances that the two partners will fully realize their commercial potential are still up in the air.
Sep 3, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
What’s Behind Biden’s Not-So-Green Request for More Oil?
The announcement raises several awkward geopolitical questions, but market factors may ultimately make U.S. pressure moot.
Aug 12, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How Iran’s Deadly Tanker Attack Is Linked to the Nuclear Deal
If the United States does not respond to the drone strike off Oman, it could impair rather than facilitate progress on the JCPOA talks.
Aug 11, 2021
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  • Robert Satloff
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Articles & Testimony
Biden Needs a Middle East Strategy to Avoid New Crises
To dispel confusion among America’s partners and better counter its adversaries, the administration will have to do a better job of integrating its country-specific strategies into an overarching approach for accomplishing larger goals.
Aug 10, 2021
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  • Kenneth Pollack
  • Dennis Ross
Iranian military drone aircraft on display.
Articles & Testimony
What’s Worse for the Price of Oil—a Belligerent Iran or a Resurgent COVID?
The latest price lurch was rooted in the pandemic’s impact on China’s economy, not the apparent Iranian strike on an Israeli tanker.
Aug 2, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
An oil pipeline terminal jetty in Eilat, Israel
Brief Analysis
Israel-UAE Pipeline Deal Delayed by Environmental Concerns
A bureaucratic skirmish in Naftali Bennett’s coalition government could impede Jerusalem’s growing ties with Abu Dhabi.
Jul 26, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
OPEC Will Boost Oil Output—But Don't Expect Lower Prices at the Pump
Although more supplies will be coming to market, the economic impact of this decision will depend on issues of timing, royal rapprochement, and new COVID surges.
Jul 19, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Managing Middle East Defense Partnerships Amid Great Power Competition
The U.S. government can counter the narrative of withdrawal by disassociating its regional commitment from the number of “boots on the ground,” building longer-term security cooperation plans, and clarifying its CAATSA sanctions policy.
Jul 13, 2021
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  • Grant Rumley
  • Kathryn Wheelbarger
Articles & Testimony
Expect Political Consequences from Higher Oil Prices During the Summer Driving Season
Gulf squabbles over production quotas highlight the industry’s uncertain future, but in the meantime Washington may have to deal with heightened pressure at home.
Jul 8, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Saudi Arabia's Prince Khalid bin Salman meets with U.S. military officials in 2018.
Brief Analysis
Saudi Visit to Washington Will Have a Thorny Agenda
Hosting Prince Khalid is a good look for the bilateral relationship, but discussions may prove difficult given complications over defense sales, Israeli normalization, OPEC infighting, and continued fallout over the Khashoggi affair.
Jul 6, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Uneasy State of Play Awaits New UN Envoy in Yemen
The next envoy will be asked to find a quick path to peace where no obvious one exists, armed with little leverage for budging the emboldened and well-positioned Houthis.
Jul 1, 2021
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
The Worst of COVID-19 May Be Over, But It’s Still a Factor in the Price of Oil
The issue will likely dominate discussions at the next OPEC+ meeting, but the longer-term economic and geopolitical repercussions are trickier to gauge.
Jun 30, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Policy Consequences of Arab State Normalization with the Assad Regime
In addition to undermining the Biden administration’s promised focus on human rights, allowing Assad to regain legitimacy abroad would constitute a strategic blunder that cannot be explained away.
Jun 2, 2021
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Wondering Why Gas Costs So Much? Blame Consumer Demands and the Oil Market
A post-oil future isn’t without risks, whether for Middle Eastern producers or Western economies still tied to hydrocarbons in myriad ways.
May 28, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson

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