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Great Power Competition

Policy Analysis on Great Power Competition

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A refugee from the Russian invasion of Ukraine holds a Ukrainian passport - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Growing Ukrainian and Russian Communities
For nationals on both sides of the fight, the Ukraine war has transformed Turkey from a popular summer destination to a longer-term safe haven or permanent home on the Mediterranean.
Jun 28, 2023
◆
  • Sude Akgundogdu
  • Collin Trissel
Qazi Muhammed salutes at the founding of the Kurdish Republic of Mahabad in 1946 - source: Wikimedia Commons
Articles & Testimony
Russia and the Kurds: A Soft-Power Tool for the Kremlin?
An in-depth look at how Russian leaders have played the Kurdish card over the past two centuries, including recent engagement in Syria and Iraq.
Summer 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Cairo Market Street
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Still Lukewarm on Mass Street Protests; U.S. Trails Russia and China as Overall Partner, But Edges Out Both as Security Partner
A new public opinion poll of Egyptian citizens, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in late March/April by a regional commercial firm, showed that despite the current economic doldrums, street protests remained unpopular.
Jun 5, 2023
◆
  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Photo illustration depicting Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Russian president Vladimir Putin - Washington Institute illustration, original images from Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Hizbullah and Russia’s Nascent Alliance
Although much is still unknown about the full extent of their collaboration, U.S. sanctions designations have revealed a multifaceted and increasingly lucrative relationship that should not be ignored amid other crises.
May 23, 2023
◆
  • Aurora Ortega
  • Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Kuwait Poll Shows Little Interest in Protests Despite Deadlock, Split Views of Global Powers
In a new public opinion poll commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted in March-April by an independent regional firm, Kuwaitis appeared averse to any disruptions at home or around the region, even as tensions grow across Kuwait’s political scene.
May 18, 2023
◆
  • Frances McDonough
Illustration of the Algerian and Russian flags
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
May 18, 2023
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
  • Erik Yavorsky
Brief Analysis
Preserving U.S. Military Advantages in the Middle East
In areas such as basing, air superiority, high-tech weapons, and intelligence, America must act assertively to maintain its edge against competitors like Russia and China.
May 14, 2023
◆
  • Nathan P. Olsen
Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
Articles & Testimony
Even If Erdogan Is Defeated, Turkey Is Still Up for Grabs
Western gestures on trade and defense could reinforce a pro-democratic outcome and counter interference by Vladimir Putin.
May 11, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Egyptian president Sisi speaks
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Growth of Chinese Influence in Egypt: Signs and Consequences
Chinese influence extends beyond the economic sphere, posing serious threats to Egypt's security interests and relationship with the United States.
Apr 27, 2023
◆
  • Mohamed Maher
  • Mohamed Farid
Sabereen Wagner
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Militia-Russia Love Affair: April 2023 Update
Iraqi militia officials are still regularly praising Putin's invasion of Ukraine and even conferring honorary Shia Muslim status on Russian officials.
Apr 26, 2023
◆
  • Amir al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Jordan’s Retreat from China on 5G Could Signal a Growing Distance
Amman will necessarily continue seeking Chinese direct investment for various purposes, but its rejection of Huawei echoes U.S. concerns about Beijing’s involvement in sensitive sectors.
Apr 25, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Photo of a Shahed drone in an Iranian military parade near imagery of Supreme Leader Khamenei..
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Drone Program: Security Implications and Policy Responses
A former CENTCOM chief joins two arms experts to discuss the capabilities of Iran’s drones, the gaps in current efforts to curb their proliferation, and the pressing need for a regional air defense architecture that can counter them.
Apr 24, 2023
◆
  • Kenneth McKenzie Jr.
  • Damien Spleeters
  • Valerie Lincy
Iranian and Russian flags on a table
Articles & Testimony
What the Russia-Iran Arms Deals Mean for the Middle East
In the longer term, the increased flow of weapons will likely exacerbate tensions in the region, spur Arab states to enhance their own arsenals, and endanger any U.S. and partner forces that confront Tehran’s proxies.
Apr 19, 2023
◆
  • Grant Rumley
Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Pivotal 2023 Elections:
Issues, Potential Outcomes, and What Comes After
Opinion polls offer hope for the challengers, but Erdogan's media control and other factors could foil their efforts to finally topple the president and his ruling bloc.
Apr 19, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
A meeting of the International Solar Alliance in India - source: ISA
Articles & Testimony
Minilateralism: A Concept That Is Changing the World Order
The UAE, Israel, India, and other countries are showing why smaller-scale collaboration based on shared interests can offer distinct advantages in a multipolar world.
Apr 14, 2023
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
Brief Analysis
China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?
Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.
Apr 6, 2023
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Are Surprise Oil Production Cuts a Saudi Message to Washington?
One hopes that the U.S. intelligence community picked up all the chatter between oil producers even if energy analysts and the news media did not.
Apr 3, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
An Azeri woman with an Azerbaijan flag in the Nogorno-Karaback region of Armenia - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Tensions with Azerbaijan Point to Broader Shifts in the South Caucasus
Amid flare-ups in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Iran and Russia are keeping a watchful eye on developments in the South Caucasus, from Israel’s warming relations with Baku to potentially shifting control over regional transport corridors.
Mar 31, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Andrew J. Tabler
A man watches Russian president Vladimir Putin speak on television in the Crimean city of Simferopol - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Disinformation Machine Has a Middle East Advantage
The region has been most receptive to Moscow’s war narrative, which Russian state-run media outlets have been permitted to spread far and wide with no Ukrainian or Western counter-narrative.
Mar 23, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Video
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Matters, Episode Two: The Mideast Impact of the Ukraine War, One Year On
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a ripple effect on global politics, including in the Middle East.
Mar 23, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
◆ Middle East Matters

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is the Harold Grinspoon Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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