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Great Power Competition

Policy Analysis on Great Power Competition

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Russian president Vladimir Putin inspects a rifle while touring an arms factory in 2014 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Countering Russia’s Strategy of Arming Anti-American Proxies
From rumored Houthi missile upgrades to Libyan arms deliveries by the ton, Moscow is doing all it can to empower hostile forces and undermine stability in the Middle East.
Aug 2, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
After 2011, the United States Stayed on the Sidelines—to Libya’s Detriment
Despite missing many past opportunities for low-cost diplomatic action, Washington can still do much to counter Russia’s deepening presence in Libya and Africa.
Jul 30, 2024
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  • Ben Fishman
Houthi missile hits Chios Lion tanker, Red Sea, July 2024.
Maps & Graphics
Houthi Attacks on Russia-Linked Tankers
Available data suggests the Yemeni group has been going after vessels carrying Russian cargo, particularly if an operator's ships have visited Israeli ports.
Jul 26, 2024
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  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Chinese and Tunisian flags on display in Beijing in 2024 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering Chinese and Russian Influence in North Africa
The U.S. ambassador to Tunisia joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the evolution of great power competition in North Africa.
Jul 10, 2024
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  • Joey Hood
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Ben Fishman
  • Grant Rumley
Al-Shabab gives goats as zakat (alms) in Somalia.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
In this anthology, contributors discuss the policy challenges associated with an emerging phenomenon, but disabuse readers of any notion that jihadist governance and statecraft should be equated with political moderation.
Jul 10, 2024
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
◆ Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
Natural gas facilities, Algeria
Articles & Testimony
How the EU’s Plan to Replace Russian Gas Exposes Challenges in Algeria’s Energy Sector
A promising cross-Mediterranean initiative has run into political challenges, burdensome investment laws, methane leaks, and other hurdles.
Jul 4, 2024
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Noam Raydan
Egyptian prime minister Mostafa Madbouly greets Ukrainian president Volodimir Zelensky in Kyiv in 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Dueling Summits Show the Need to Enlist Arab Support on Ukraine
Key Middle East actors tend to distrust the U.S. narrative about the war and conclude they can reap better economic benefits from Russia, so Washington should do more to get them off the sidelines.
Jun 28, 2024
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
NATO member flags fly at half-staff in solidarity with victims of the November 2015 Paris terror attacks - source: NATO
Brief Analysis
The NATO Summit Is Another Chance to Counter Russia in the “South”
The alliance has already been shifting toward greater engagement with the Middle East and Africa, but various maritime and infrastructure threats require more urgent attention, as does the broader problem of countering Moscow’s narrative.
Jun 25, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Chinese and Israeli flags on a table at a diplomatic conference - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Facing Off—China and Taiwan in the Contexts of the Swords of Iron War
Three Israeli experts analyze the strategic quandaries raised by Beijing’s vocal support for Hamas during the war.
Jun 16, 2024
◆
  • Assaf Orion
  • Roy Ben Tzur
  • Ofir Dayan
Brief Analysis
Energy Watchdog Predicts Big Oil Surplus by 2030
Implied lower prices would weaken economic forecasts for major Middle East oil producers.
Jun 14, 2024
◆
  • Simon Henderson
People waiting to buy bread in Tunis, 2024.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Avoiding the Election Error in Tunisia:
Why U.S. Policy Should Focus on Real Reform, Not Votes
An opaque process and an apathetic electorate are among the reasons the contest does not warrant U.S. scrutiny.
Jun 13, 2024
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
Map of North Africa framed by U.S., Chinese, and Russian flags
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
North Africa in an Era of Great Power Competition:
Challenges and Opportunities for the United States
Washington can demonstrate its decisive edge in areas like climate change remediation and economic development, while highlighting the many dangers posed by partnership with Russia and China.
May 29, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Ben Fishman
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
Delegates and flags at the 2018 China-Arab Forum - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the Latest China-Arab Forum
Attendees will likely focus on the Gaza crisis and trumpet new cooperation agreements, but these CASCF meetings are more notable for what they reveal about the limits of Chinese influence in the Middle East.
May 29, 2024
◆
  • Rebecca Redlich
Iran Air passenger plane undergoing maintenance
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Better Plan for Sanctioning Iranian Airlines
Targeting Iran Air’s flights to Europe would help, but the regime’s illicit activities on the continent may simply be taken over by the IRGC-linked carrier Mahan Air unless further designations are issued.
Apr 23, 2024
◆
  • Babak Taghvaee
Articles & Testimony
China’s Military Objectives and Operational Experience in the Middle East
A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.
Apr 19, 2024
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  • Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
Russian-Iranian Cooperation and Threats to U.S. Interests
A former senior Pentagon official assesses how the growing alliance between the two regimes could create problems on multiple fronts, from exchanging know-how on U.S. defense technology to facilitating nuclear proliferation, sanctions evasion, and domestic oppression.
Apr 17, 2024
◆
  • Dana Stroul
The national flags of China and Iran fly in Tiananmen Square during Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Beijing, China, February 14, 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
China’s Response to Iran’s Attack Is an Opportunity for Washington
U.S. officials should remind their partners abroad that Beijing’s support for Tehran is jeopardizing regional stability.
Apr 16, 2024
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Rebecca Redlich
Articles & Testimony
Putin Is No Ally in the War on Terror in 2024
The Kremlin’s legacy of ties to Hezbollah, the Taliban, and other terrorist actors should disabuse Washington of any hope for common cause.
Apr 5, 2024
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
Curbing Outside Intervention in the Sudan War
Diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict are being challenged by U.S. partners and adversaries alike, including key Middle East players.
Apr 4, 2024
◆
  • Jonathan Campbell-James
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Brief Analysis
G42 and the China-UAE-U.S. Triangle
By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.
Apr 3, 2024
◆
  • Andrew G. Clemmensen
  • Rebecca Redlich
  • Grant Rumley

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is the Harold Grinspoon Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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