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Great Power Competition

Policy Analysis on Great Power Competition

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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New UAE Poll Shows Nuance on Domestic Issues; Growing Public Uncertainty over U.S. Relations; Split Views of Iran & Israel
Although many results are consistent with past polling, the most recent Emirati survey reveals interesting perspectives on Iran, the economy, and other issues.
Dec 20, 2022
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  • Catherine Cleveland
Lebanon Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Lebanon Opinion Poll Shows Continued Internal Dissatisfaction and Desire for International Partners
Lebanese respondents expressed positive views of the maritime deal and World Cup in Qatar, but seemed disappointed by almost everything else.
Dec 20, 2022
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  • Frances McDonough
Saudi Arabia Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll: Some Surprises on the U.S., Iran, Israel, Oil, and More
Saudis voiced their thoughts on global partners, internal dynamics, and regional issues, including opinions on the Iranian protests and nuclear dilemma.
Dec 16, 2022
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  • David Pollock
U.S. and Algerian flags at the U.S. Embassy in Algiers - source: U.S. government
Brief Analysis
Bolstering U.S.-Algeria Relations Amid the Africa Leaders Summit
At a time when Algerian military cooperation with Russia is growing and African counterterrorism challenges are proliferating, Washington cannot afford to take the relationship for granted.
Dec 15, 2022
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Navigating China’s Security Presence in the Middle East and North Africa
Regional governments will continue to balance between Beijing and Washington, so policymakers should focus on tipping the scale in America’s favor, countering the narrative of U.S. withdrawal, and avoiding unnecessary escalation with China.
Winter 2022
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  • Grant Rumley
  • Carol Silber
Articles & Testimony
Are the Saudis Reconsidering Their Nuclear Posture?
Various historical and recent factors suggest that the nuclear dimension of Gulf politics is again in flux amid a deepening world energy crisis.
Dec 12, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sweden, Turkey, and the Concessions for NATO Membership
Turkey's refusal to approve Sweden's NATO membership is yet another foreign policy tool being used by Erdoğan ahead of 2023 elections.
Dec 9, 2022
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  • Magnus Norell
Iran Drones
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Regional Impact of Iran’s Drones in Ukraine
Russia's use of Iranian drones in Ukraine foreshadows potentially dangerous developments for U.S. forces and their allies in the Middle East.
Dec 7, 2022
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  • Omar Alradad
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Chinese President Xi Jinping at a summit in Beijing - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East in a Multipolar Era: Why America’s Allies Are Flirting With Russia and China
Because many states are eschewing both alignment with a single great power and nonalignment, the best U.S. response to this “omni-alignment” is creating more tailored opportunities for high-value cooperation with Washington.
Dec 7, 2022
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  • Michael Singh
Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in Riyadh
Brief Analysis
What Saudi Arabia Wants from President Xi’s Visit
China is already one of the kingdom’s major commercial partners and a significant supplier of military and nuclear technology, but Riyadh wants more of each.
Dec 6, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Carol Silber
Ukrainian soldiers pose with a captured Russian military vehicle - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Only Russia’s Decisive Loss on the Battlefield Will End the Ukraine War
The West hasn’t shown signs of abandoning Ukraine in the near term, but it also hasn’t set a clear goal of permanently changing Moscow’s strategic calculus, which remains fixed on winning the long game.
Dec 6, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Inflation, Soccer, Russia’s Mischief—Will Anyone Pay Attention to OPEC+?
Whether or not the cartel tweaks production quotas at its next meeting, ongoing global crises and the approach of a dark, cold winter in Europe may yet cause economic shudders.
Dec 1, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Palestians on a Mediterranean beach in Gaza
Brief Analysis
Changing Population Patterns Will Reshape the Middle East
Several of the region’s demographic heavyweights will be surpassed, and major shifts at the global level may affect how great powers vie for influence there as well.
Nov 22, 2022
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  • Patrick Clawson
Photo illustration of the flags of Sweden, NATO, Finland, and Turkey - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey Ratify Sweden and Finland’s NATO Accession?
Although Ankara will likely approve the Nordic expansion down the road, hurdles remain for Sweden, and Russia may play the spoiler’s role unless Washington facilitates the process.
Nov 22, 2022
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Michael Singh
  • Sude Akgundogdu
U.S. Army tactical microgrid equipment - source: U.S. Army
Brief Analysis
Using Microgrids to Provide Energy Security for U.S. Bases in the Middle East
The Ukraine war has shown how vulnerable military facilities are to potential attacks on a host country’s energy infrastructure, but Washington has cost-effective renewable options to mitigate this risk, especially in the Middle East.
Nov 21, 2022
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  • Nathan P. Olsen
Venezuelan and Iranian flags flying during a state visit in Tehran - source: Reuters
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Iran May Be Outsourcing Kamikaze Drone Production to Venezuela
Tehran, Caracas, and Moscow have been running a secretive air bridge just as Iran appears to be surging its transfer of attack drones to Russia, raising questions about whether these activities are linked.
Nov 17, 2022
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
New EU Sanctions Indicate More Willingness to Hold Tehran Accountable
Although their ultimate effects are uncertain, the new sanctions are a powerful signal that European governments are readier than ever to confront the regime’s human rights violations, drone deliveries to Russia, and nuclear stalling.
Nov 15, 2022
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  • Henry Rome
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
Photo showing the Iron Dome defense system intercepting Hamas rockets over Ashkelon, Israel, in May 2021.
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Is Hesitant About Supplying Ukraine with Air Defense Systems
Jerusalem remains concerned that angering the Russians could jeopardize its crucial national security interests in Syria, though domestic elements and U.S. officials are still pressing it to do more.
Nov 15, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
An Iranian-made Shahed-136 drone in use by Russian forces in an attack on Kyiv, Ukraine - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
What Iran’s Drones in Ukraine Mean for the Future of War
Russia’s effective use of inexpensive Iranian aircraft points to challenges that other states may soon face elsewhere.
Nov 10, 2022
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Oil Exports Are Vulnerable to Sanctions
Iran continues to export significant volumes of oil, providing a key source of revenue for the regime—and a potential target for increased economic pressure.
Nov 9, 2022
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  • Henry Rome

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Goldberger Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where he specializes in military and security affairs in the Middle East.
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