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Great Power Competition

Policy Analysis on Great Power Competition

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Photo of a Shahed drone in an Iranian military parade near imagery of Supreme Leader Khamenei..
Brief Analysis
Iranian Drones to Russia: Capabilities and Limitations
Besides signaling that Iran has shifted to active military support for Russia’s war in Ukraine, the prospective transfer gives Moscow a stopgap option until its own advanced drones are ready for service.
Aug 1, 2022
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  • Farzin Nadimi
President Joe Biden greets Saudi King Salman in Jeddah in July 2022 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The True Promise of Joe Biden’s Middle East Trip
It is no exaggeration to say that the visit represents a transformation of Washington’s regional approach—including a rethink of the “pivot.”
Jul 27, 2022
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  • Dennis Ross
  • James Jeffrey
Russian President Putin and Iranian President Raisi meet in Tehran in 2022 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Russia and Iran Keep Growing Closer
Given their proven capacity for jointly disrupting Western imperatives in the Middle East, both countries should increasingly be treated as part of the same strategic set.
Jul 26, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Articles & Testimony
China Below the Radar: Israel-US Strategic Dialogue on Technology
Although the headlines were focused elsewhere, the president’s Israel-Saudi trip included statements, agreements, and newly announced inter-agency dialogues that imply deep implications for China policy.
Jul 26, 2022
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  • Assaf Orion
  • Shira Efron
A Turkish Baraktar TB2 drone - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Drones and Resets: The New Era of Turkish Foreign Policy
The Ukraine war has not only reaffirmed Erdogan’s remarkable political survival skills, but also highlighted the degree to which Ankara’s improved diplomatic standing is traceable to its success in exporting an innovative drone-centered military operational approach.
Summer 2022
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Rich Outzen
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Brief Analysis
How to Respond to China’s Growing Influence in the Gulf
Beijing’s use of intertwined civil and military tools in the Gulf mirrors its activity closer to home, but the West can readily counter this influence by capitalizing on the region’s desire for diversified partnerships.
Jul 21, 2022
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  • Louis Dugit-Gros
Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will the Putin-Erdogan-Raisi Summit Spark a Turkish Incursion into Syria?
Moscow and Tehran may well assent to another cross-border operation, but Turkey’s choice of targets will depend on multiple U.S., Russian, and Iranian interests.
Jul 18, 2022
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?
The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.
Jul 14, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Time to Develop a Plan B for Syria Aid
Although alternatives to the UN mechanism carry uncertainties of their own, continuing the broken status quo will only boost Moscow, endanger Syrian civilians, and help the Assad regime avoid sanctions—not to mention whetting his appetite for natural gas shipments.
Jul 14, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Libya Could Make or Break Biden’s Middle East Oil Diplomacy
Increased Saudi production will mean little if Libyan production remains unreliable, so it's time to play hardball with Haftar.
Jul 10, 2022
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  • Ben Fishman
Russian president Vladimir Putin
Articles & Testimony
Vladimir Putin at Home
Unless the West can prod the Russian people to fundamentally reexamine their core beliefs, any notion that they will take matters into their own hands regarding Putin’s Ukraine war is just wishful thinking.
Summer 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Middle East aerial map, binoculars (Hebrew)
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Countering Iran's Regional Strategy (Hebrew)
A Long-Term, Comprehensive Approach
A Hebrew version of the IDF major general's strategy paper, co-published by The Washington Institute and the Institute for Policy and Strategy at Israel's Reichman University.
Jul 5, 2022
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  • Eyal Zamir
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Articles & Testimony
Can Biden Convince Saudis to See the Western Position on Russia?
Improving U.S. relations with Riyadh is the only way to shift the Saudi stance toward Russia—failing that, Biden’s trip is unlikely to yield a strategic success.
Jun 28, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Brief Analysis
What Biden Faces with Erdogan at the NATO Summit
The Turkish leader has been trying to leverage Sweden and Finland’s accession to weaken international support for the YPG in Syria, but he may be content with symbolic concessions that boost his reelection chances.
Jun 28, 2022
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Flags_of_Turkey_and_Sweden
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
NATO Membership for Sweden: Between Turkey and the Kurds
With the NATO summit approaching, Sweden is now caught between Turkey’s demands and its own complicated domestic politics.
Jun 27, 2022
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  • Magnus Norell
Articles & Testimony
The Facts on What’s Behind Our Energy Crunch and High Gas Prices
An expert untangles the many factors driving energy costs amid complications such as the Ukraine crisis, U.S.-Saudi diplomacy, and the green debate.
Jun 24, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Turkish official Hulusi Akar with Somali soldier
In-Depth Reports
Turkish Influence in Sub-Saharan Africa
Trade volume has soared and projects like the development of Sudan’s Suakin Port have drawn notice, but Ankara faces economic headwinds in its bid to keep the momentum going.
Jun 23, 2022
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Spencer Cook
  • Amal Soukkarieh
A Panamanian-flagged oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Reflagging Ships Could Be the Answer to Russia's Blockade of Black Sea Ports
Such an option could limit the risk of escalation, pressure Russia, and help avert a humanitarian crisis in the Middle East.
Jun 2, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Garrett I. Campbell
Book cover with U.S. and Egyptian soldiers taking part in Bright Star exercise
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The U.S.-Egypt Military Relationship:
Complexities, Contradictions, and Challenges
Shared security interests, such as maintaining and expanding Arab-Israel peace efforts, can serve as the foundation of future ties.
May 23, 2022
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  • David Witty
Palestians on a Mediterranean beach in Gaza
Articles & Testimony
Shifting East Mediterranean Tides: From Conflict to Club Med?
Although the worst-case scenarios of just a few years ago are in abeyance, the best-case ones of transformative cooperation are also still out of reach.
May 2022
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  • David Pollock

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Goldberger Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where he specializes in military and security affairs in the Middle East.
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