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Energy & Economics

Policy Analysis on Energy & Economics

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Brief Analysis
Punishing Iran’s Triggermen in Iraq: Opening Moves in a Long Campaign
Some of the worst perpetrators of the murderous crackdown against Iraqi protestors have finally been sanctioned, but follow-on actions need to be taken more quickly in coordination with Britain and other allies.
Dec 6, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
OPEC Meetings May Provide Economic Answers—or Just More Questions
Amid Saudi stock sell-offs, Russian production limits, U.S. tariff showdowns, and a flurry of other factors, the potential impact of the cartel’s Vienna meetings is difficult to predict.
Dec 4, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The IRGC States Its Case for Escalation Against the United States, Britain, and Saudi Arabia
As its concerns about domestic dissent and Western naval activity grow, Tehran may once again try to divert attention from the unrest at home by launching attacks abroad.
Nov 26, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Bahrain After the Prime Minister
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Bahrain’s prime minister, Sheikh Khalifa bin Salman al-Khalifa, has held his position since 1971, the year his country gained independence from Britain, but he is now eighty-four and evidently in uncertain health. Potential candidates to replace him include Crown Prince Salman or even a much younger nephew, Nasser bin Hamad, mirroring the generational handover in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. But the Khawalids, an influential, once-sidelined branch of the ruling family, also merit attention as Bahrain nears the end of an era.
Nov 26, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
◆ Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Domestic and Foreign Response Options to the Protests
The Supreme Leader faces tough choices about who to blame for the protests, and what impact they should have on policy toward the United States.
Nov 21, 2019
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
What’s Next for Lebanon? Examining the Implications of Current Protests
An expert testifies on the concrete steps Washington can take to ensure that a credible, technocratic government forms in Beirut, and that the Lebanese Armed Forces protect civilians from Hezbollah-led reprisals.
Nov 19, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Gasoline Protests: Regime Unpopular but Resilient
The demonstrations indicate widespread popular rejection of the political system, but this same system remains well organized to deflect and counter unrest.
Nov 18, 2019
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
A Better Iran Deal Is Within Reach
With Tehran testing the limits of European patience, Washington has an opening to forge a united front, offer conditional leeway on some sanctions, and push the Iranians back to the negotiating table.
Nov 15, 2019
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Rouhani’s Shifting Argument for Preserving the JCPOA
Facing grim prospects in Iran’s upcoming elections, the president’s camp is trying to convince hardliners that they need to keep the nuclear deal alive in order to continue expanding their military arsenal and intervening abroad.
Nov 14, 2019
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Export Route to Egypt Finalized
The two countries still need to resolve longer-term questions about international export options and energy contracts with Jordan, but the latest step toward reopening the pipeline is encouraging.
Nov 13, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Renaissance Dam Negotiations: An Egyptian View
The U.S.-brokered talks are a good start, but breaking the impasse on the GERD reservoir’s fill rate is crucial to avoiding deep socioeconomic damage in Egypt and potential armed conflict.
Nov 12, 2019
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  • Mahmoud Farouk
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon Protests: Views from Beirut and Policy Implications
Four Lebanese experts assess the country’s fragile political and financial situation, explaining why the demonstrations will not stop with Hariri’s resignation.
Nov 8, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Makram Rabah
  • Lokman Slim
  • Jean Tawile
Brief Analysis
Using American Soft Power to Counter Russian Influence in Iraq
Moscow is beating Washington at the reputational game in Iraq, raising the need for greater U.S. engagement on education and media outreach rather than just security issues.
Nov 6, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Understanding the Saudi Aramco IPO
The long-anticipated stock selloff has finally been green-lit, but doubts remain about just how much it will help to economically transform the kingdom.
Nov 4, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey Is Raising the Stakes in the East Mediterranean
Ankara is willing to take provocative and risky steps around Cyprus because it views the island’s gas resources and strategic location as crucial to countering rivals and securing interests in the neighborhood.
Nov 4, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
New Gaza Crossing Raises Questions About Blockade Policies
The items being moved from Egypt through Salah al-Din Gate underline the contradictions and long-term unsustainability of the current stalemate regarding Gaza assistance.
Oct 23, 2019
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  • Neri Zilber
Isaeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin shakes hands with Jordanian King Hussein in front of U.S. President Bill Clinton at the White House in 1994.
Brief Analysis
The Forgotten Peace at Twenty-Five: How to Protect and Strengthen Israel-Jordan Ties
On the twenty-fifth anniversary of the peace treaty, both parties and the United States have strategic interests in upholding and reinforcing the relationship.
Oct 23, 2019
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Ben Fishman
A Panamanian-flagged oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Hosts Regional Maritime Security Meeting
The first such gathering since the recent spate of Iranian attacks, the multinational meeting could help Washington build a coalition capable of preventing future flare-ups.
Oct 21, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Geopolitical Stakes in Iraq
Russia has steadily inserted itself into Iraq's military, energy, and educational sectors, and these relationships could turn Baghdad further away from the United States now that the Trump administration has ceded Syria to Moscow.
Oct 17, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Attack on Iranian Tanker Could Be Tensions Flowing to Red Sea
The Persian Gulf is more crucial in oil terms, but if hostilities expand to the Red Sea, Iran could gain extra leverage against its adversaries on energy and trade matters.
Oct 15, 2019
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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