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Democracy & Reform

Policy Analysis on Democracy & Reform

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Articles & Testimony
As a 'Kingmaker,' Turkey’s Nationalist Faction Could Bring Trouble
Erdogan's trickiest challenge will be staving off MHP pressure on Russian and Kurdish issues while keeping the party from taking down his government.
Jun 28, 2018
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Victory Could Actually Improve U.S.-Turkish Relations
Turkey’s decisive election results and shaky geopolitical situation could make it more amenable to addressing U.S. concerns about Russian weapons sales, Iranian adventurism, and other key security issues.
Jun 27, 2018
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  • James Jeffrey
In-Depth Reports
A Tale of Six Tribes: Securing the Middle Euphrates River Valley
THE ISLAMIC STATE is now largely defeated militarily, with the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces taking the eastern bank of the Euphrates River and a mosaic of largely Iran- and Russia-supported Assad-regime forces taking areas west of the river. As anti-IS operations wind down and the Trump administration considers its options
Jun 21, 2018
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again
Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.
Jun 20, 2018
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support
The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.
Jun 20, 2018
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Reform and Security Through a Gulf Lens
Encouraging more liberal policies remains difficult when America’s Gulf partners believe certain reforms run counter to their security interests.
Jun 19, 2018
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  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Iran's Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 2): Working Smarter, Not Harder
Pending policy decisions on reimposing sanctions will give Washington opportunities to calibrate its arsenal of measures against illicit Iranian financial activity.
Jun 18, 2018
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  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 1): Finding the Weak Spots
The regime’s most vulnerable point is its precarious banking system, whose persistent mismanagement, capital shortfalls, and lack of transparency have already sparked public protests.
Jun 14, 2018
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Economic Protests: Repackaging Reform
A new government, delayed tax hikes, and extra Gulf aid can alleviate unrest for now, but such measures cannot mask the kingdom’s fundamental need for unpopular economic reforms.
Jun 13, 2018
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iranian Militias in Iraq's Parliament: Political Outcomes and U.S. Response
As Washington mulls sanctions on Asaib Ahl al-Haq and similar groups, it should mind the volatility of Baghdad’s near-term political situation and the questionable efficacy of ‘wing’ distinctions.
Jun 11, 2018
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  • Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
Recount Will Test the Integrity of Iraq’s Elections
If conducted in a transparent and accountable fashion, the process could infuse some much-needed confidence into the country’s democratic process, despite the risks.
Jun 11, 2018
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Saudi Cabinet Changes: The 'March of Modernization'?
The raft of new appointments reflects the crown prince’s vision of transforming the economy, but a simultaneous statement about recent arrests shows the limits on political freedom.
Jun 4, 2018
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Action and Reaction: Royal Rhetoric Responds to the PJD
The PJD and the monarchy will continue competing for stewardship of the reform process—and for the right to define what it means to be an Islamist party post-Arab Spring.
May 25, 2018
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia Hits the Brakes on Reforms
Arresting feminists doesn’t inspire faith in the crown prince’s much-hyped reform agenda.
May 22, 2018
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Elections: Red Flags and Opportunities for Inclusion
A closer look at the local security changes, turnout obstacles, sectarian divisions, and other factors that could determine the shape of Iraq’s next government.
May 11, 2018
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
What Does Hezbollah’s Election Victory Mean for Lebanon?
Hezbollah has made further strides toward remaking state institutions in its image, but the international community can still slow the group's momentum by pressuring its domestic political enablers.
May 8, 2018
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Video
In-Depth Reports
Toward a More Moderate and Tolerant Islam
Weinberg Founders Conference 2018 Plenary Dinner
Read a transcript or watch video of His Excellency Sheikh Mohammad Al-Issa's remarks on his vision for the future of the Islamic world.
May 3, 2018
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  • Mohammad Al-Issa
Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Targets Tunisia Ahead of Elections
The group has been conducting propaganda campaigns and violence against democratic processes throughout the region, so it may try to back up its latest warnings with attacks in Tunisia’s vulnerable interior.
Apr 30, 2018
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Snap Elections, Syria Incursions: Turkey's Challenges and Risks
A panel of experts and policymakers grapples with the weighty implications of Turkey's early elections at home and its military intervention in Syria's Afrin pocket.
Apr 30, 2018
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  • Gonul Tol
  • Aaron Stein
  • Rich Outzen
Brief Analysis
Supporting Tunisia’s Moves Toward Local Governance
While successful local elections would mark a milestone in Tunisia’s democratic transition, the vote’s tangible impact will largely depend on the powers of local authorities, which have yet to be defined.
Apr 27, 2018
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  • Sarah Feuer

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Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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Featured experts

Catherine Cleveland
Catherine Cleveland
Catherine Cleveland is The Washington Institute's Croft-Wagner Family Senior Fellow and managing editor of Fikra Forum.
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman is the Steven D. Levy Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on North Africa.
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