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All Policy Analysis by Katherine Bauer
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Brief Analysis
How Much Would Iran Gain Financially from Returning to the JCPOA?
A closer look at what funds would actually be accessible and what impact they would have on Iran’s economy.
Mar 16, 2022
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Katherine Bauer
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Israel-UAE Economic Cooperation Has Deep Roots and Broad Dividends
From growing bilateral investments to talk of a “new Quad,” the relationship could significantly affect regional economic integration and competition well beyond the Gulf.
Mar 8, 2022
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
A Goldilocks Approach to Sanctioning Yemen’s Houthis
Although the group undoubtedly merits FTO designation, issuing targeted sanctions with broader UN buy-in may achieve better results without the humanitarian complications.
Feb 18, 2022
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Katherine Bauer
In-Depth Reports
Power to the People?
Scrutinizing the U.S.-Arab Effort to Supply Energy to Lebanon via Syria
Residents of the beleaguered country desperately need electricity, but a U.S.-Arab scheme carries complications that could benefit Syria's Assad regime.
Dec 16, 2021
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Katherine Bauer
Ben Fishman
Hanin Ghaddar
Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Hamas Fields a Militant Electoral List: Implications for U.S.-Palestinian Ties
The group plans to put numerous convicted terrorists on the ballot, and neither the PA nor the international community seems willing to talk about the potential legal, diplomatic, and budgetary consequences.
Apr 21, 2021
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Katherine Bauer
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Funding in Place: Local Financing Trends Behind Today’s Global Terrorist Threat
Two former U.S. Treasury officials provide an in-depth look at how geography, ideology, and a host of practical concerns shape the manner in which terrorists raise, store, and move their funds.
Nov 18, 2020
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Katherine Bauer
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran-South Korea Humanitarian Trade Requires U.S. Assurances
Tehran is pressing Seoul regarding the billions in Iranian oil revenues held by South Korean banks, creating an opportunity to expand the U.S. humanitarian trade mechanism.
Jul 28, 2020
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Katherine Bauer
Kevin Mathieson
Brief Analysis
The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 1): Increasing the Assad Regime’s Isolation
New Syria sanctions signal bipartisan support for continued diplomatic isolation and economic coercion, but their impact ultimately depends on whether the executive branch is willing to prioritize the issue.
Jun 11, 2020
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Dana Stroul
Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Violence Targeting Palestinian Banks Comes at a Sensitive Time
The latest row over prisoner payments has highlighted the PA’s longstanding legitimacy deficit and its potential inability to control events on the ground if public unrest escalates this summer.
May 14, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Katherine Bauer
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Coronavirus Crisis: Implications for U.S. Policy
Read or watch an expert conversation on the immediate and long-term effects of the Islamic Republic’s response to the pandemic. How will Iranian politics change? How much aid can Tehran get under sanctions? How will the global economic slowdown affect daily life there?
Apr 16, 2020
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Amir Afkhami
Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Relief Isn’t Necessary to Assist Iran’s Coronavirus Response
Washington can facilitate aid without fundamentally altering the sanctions infrastructure, in part by clarifying the rules on allowable humanitarian trade, expanded NGO activities, and Tehran’s existing financial options.
Mar 31, 2020
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Katherine Bauer
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
FATF’s Approach to Iran Should Mix Engagement with Pressure
Although it is time for the international standard-setter to act, returning Iran to the blacklist need not be seen as the end of FATF engagement with the country.
Feb 18, 2020
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
After Baghdadi: How the Islamic State Rebounds
The back-to-back deaths of the IS leader and allegedly one of his likely successors mark a significant counterterrorism accomplishment, but neither high-profile deaths nor the territorial loss of the so-called caliphate will translate into the organization’s defeat.
Oct 28, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Economics of Calm
The stabilization efforts brokered by Israel’s defense establishment have kept a lid on things so far, but the hazards of this approach may be unsustainable at a time of donor drought and Palestinian institutional erosion.
Sep 26, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
The Development of Tunisia’s Domestic Counter-Terrorism Finance Capability
The country is fast becoming a regional leader in meeting global CT norms, developing the necessary toolkits, and integrating its efforts with those of foreign governments.
Sep 10, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Resolving the PA Funding Crisis, But Not in Bahrain
Rather than pinning false hopes on the Manama conference, the international community should focus on reforming the Paris Protocol and convincing the Palestinians to resume revenue transfers from Israel.
Jun 24, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Jun 24, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
New Palestinian Cabinet Faces Governance and Fiscal Challenges
Lost revenue transfers from Israel frame the latest crisis, and Washington can help ease it even without restoring direct aid to the PA.
Apr 15, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Designing Win-Win Economic Policies in Washington and Baghdad
To pressure Iran without cornering Iraq, U.S. officials should set a program of activities with achievable timeframes, supported by public diplomacy.
Jan 3, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Michael Knights
Bilal Wahab
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Precision Missile Project Moves to Lebanon
Three experts examine Tehran's objectives, Russia's regional goals, and the way these translate to long-term threats and short-term risks for Israel.
Dec 10, 2018
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Katherine Bauer
Hanin Ghaddar
Assaf Orion
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