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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
What Does Iran’s Supreme Leader Expect from the Next U.S. President?
Ayatollah Khamenei is wholly focused on preserving the political system he has so painstakingly built, but trends suggest a shaky Iranian future regardless of who wins the U.S. election.
Oct 23, 2020
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Frech president Emmanuel Macron inspects the site of the Beirut port explosion
In-Depth Reports
A Paris Reset on Hezbollah?
Implications for French Interests and Regional Security
In this study, counterterrorism expert Matthew Levitt explores the history and current status of Hezbollah operations against French interests, and details how a change in Paris's longstanding opposition to designating the group could bolster French efforts to stabilize Lebanon.
Oct 20, 2020
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Bandar Speaks Out: The Changing Landscape in the Mideast
Palestinian leaders previously never had to acknowledge their mistakes or account for missed opportunities, preventing them from learning critical lessons and adjusting their behavior.
Oct 19, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Prospects for Syrian Kurdish Unity: Assessing Local and Regional Dynamics
In October 2019, the U.S. troop withdrawal and subsequent Turkish invasion of northern Syria upended Kurdish plans in the region. But a year later, the major Syrian Kurdish rivals—the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and Kurdish National Council (KNC)—are coming together after a lengthy estrangement. This past June, representatives from the
Oct 19, 2020
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  • Sirwan Kajjo
Brief Analysis
Risks of the Palestinian Authority’s Outreach to Qatar and Turkey
Recent gestures, which have included reconciliation talks with Hamas, could strengthen the PA’s Gaza-based rival, further strain relations with its traditional Arab allies, and spur elections with destabilizing results.
Oct 13, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Washington Confuses Tactics with Strategy: The Perils of Shuttering the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad
In threatening the closure, the U.S. administration is undermining the reform-minded Iraqi prime minister’s efforts against Iran-backed militias and risking Baghdad’s relationship with Washington.
Oct 9, 2020
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Barbara A. Leaf
Video
Brief Analysis
Arabs Taking Risks for Peace: Stories from the Frontlines of People-to-People Contact with Israelis
Courageous Arab civic actors discuss the enormous hurdles they have faced in engaging with Israelis and supporting broader social and legislative normalization.
Oct 8, 2020
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  • Ismail Sayyid Ahmad
  • Sukina Meshekhis
  • Ahdeya Ahmed Al-Sayed
  • Mohamed Al-Hammadi
  • Joseph Braude
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Protests and Regime Suppression in Post-Revolutionary Iran
Since its formation in 1979, the Islamic Republic has seen multiple cycles of unrest, from ethnic movements in the early 1980s to urban riots in the early 1990s, student protests spanning 1999-2003, the Green Movement response to the 2009 election, and the December 2017-January 2018 upheaval in smaller cities and
Oct 8, 2020
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  • Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Kuwait’s Precarious Mediation Role May Be Imperiled by the Emir’s Passing
The country’s six decades as regional intermediary have been undercut in recent years by younger Gulf leaders less inclined to traditional methods of conflict resolution, and Sheikh Sabah’s death may put this role at further risk.
Oct 5, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Emir’s Death Leaves Kuwait Vulnerable to Gulf Rivals
From family competition and parliamentary rumblings to potential friction with various neighbors, the oil-rich U.S. ally may face a challenging transition.
Sep 29, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Jordan on Schedule for Elections, But Concerns Persist
New royal decrees amount to business as usual on the kingdom’s political landscape, but heightening tensions over COVID-19, economic contraction, and other factors call for careful attention from Washington.
Sep 29, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
UAE-Israel Peace Is Revealing the Middle East’s Faultlines
Much of the commentary surrounding the deal has focused on what it portends for the Palestinian issue and other Israeli relationships, but it may say just as much about the four rival factions that have crystallized in the region since 2011.
Sep 26, 2020
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  • Sarah Feuer
Yemen matrix feature image
Maps & Graphics
Yemen Matrix: Allies & Adversaries
The Yemen Matrix is a guide to the relationships between the core actors involved in the country’s various conflicts. It is meant to be a starter resource for new analysts, a quick-access volume for policymakers, and a refresher for experts.
Sep 17, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi’s Rolling Reshuffle (Part 2): Protecting Iraq’s Economic Institutions and Borders
As technocrats increasingly fill key government roles, U.S. officials need to help Baghdad withstand the inevitable counterpunch from political and militia factions used to dictating such appointments.
Sep 15, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
The UAE-Israel Breakthrough: Bilateral and Regional Implications and U.S. Policy
Former diplomats and experts discuss what steps each party should take after the historic White House signing ceremony, and how to bring the Palestinians and other actors into the fold.
Sep 14, 2020
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  • Ebtesam al-Ketbi
  • Dore Gold
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction
The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.
Sep 11, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift
The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.
Sep 11, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Military Chief Accused of Corruption
The general’s firing will prompt speculation about changes in Yemen policy and royal family opposition to the crown prince.
Sep 1, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Normalization Can Inject New Life into the Arab Peace Initiative
With careful diplomacy, blunt discussion of national interests, and reciprocal steps on the ground, a group of like-minded Arab states could advance Palestinian-Israeli peacemaking while still preserving the API’s core.
Aug 31, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Why Instability in Belarus, Khabarovsk, and Lebanon Creates Problems Putin Doesn’t Want
Current events in Lebanon may seem remote compared to protests closer to Russia, but the situation in Beirut directly affects Moscow’s policy in Syria and its evolving status as a regional player.
Aug 27, 2020
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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