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سوریه

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Insight into As-Suwayda’s Position in the Syrian Situation

As-Suwayda has been unstable since the onset of the Syrian revolution. The increasingly fractured political leadership in this majority-Druze region reflects how Syria’s ongoing conflict has warped and splintered local governance.

۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲

Ishtar Al Shami

Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters

A Domestic Audience for Turkish Foreign Policy

With elections in the balance, Erdoğan is playing a risky game of international normalizations in the hope that the Turkish electorate will approve of economic ties and immigrant solutions.

۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Batu Coşkun
Gökhan Çınkara

Jordan-Syria Border

The Captagon War: Smuggling on the Jordanian-Syrian Border

As drug smuggling increases across Jordan’s border with Syria, Jordanian authorities need to seek solutions in both the security and social spheres.

۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Saud Al-Sharafat

A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters

Detention Facilities in Syria, Iraq Remain Vulnerable to Islamic State Attacks

An attempted suicide operation against al-Hawl camp highlights the ongoing risks posed by indefinite detention of foreigners associated with IS.

۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Devorah Margolin

MEES map showing Israeli and Lebanese maritime border claims in the East Mediterranean.

Maps & Graphics

Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?

Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.

۲۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Ehud Yaari
David Makovsky
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler

Assad and Khamenei

Despite Airstrikes, Iran Continues to Permeate Western Syria

Efforts to counter Iran in Syria are solely focused on Iran’s military presence in the country, and have ignored the soft-power, cultural spheres of influence being developed by Iran as a long-term strategy.

۱۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Omar Abu Layla

Nujaba Warethun

Maps & Graphics

Profile: Al-Warithuun

Al-Warithuun is a "resistance" brand with a recurring connection to kinetic operations that are directed by Iran's Qods Force but intended to be deniable.

۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles

U.S. Central Command graphic, Aug 15, 2022 drone attack on Al Tanf

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

نقش کتائب حزب‌الله در حمله نیمه آگوست به التنف

حمله به سوریه با استفاده از پهپادهای انفجاری «کی.ای.اس-۰۴» ساخت ایران، و از پایگاهی در عراق صورت گرفت.

۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

مایکل نایتز

◆ Militia Spotlight

Erdogan and Putin

The Consequences of Turkey’s Shifting Position on the Syrian Crisis

Although establishing ties between Turkey and the Syrian regime may seem like a smart move by Erdogan, the decision represents a betrayal of the Syrian people and its success is not guaranteed for the Turkish government.

۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲

Salahuddin Hawa

Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani, leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, speaks in a recorded interview released in Jan. 2019. Photo credit: Screenshot by Cole Bunzel via Twitter.

Articles & Testimony

Jawlani’s “State of the Union”

The Syrian jihadist leader’s growing efforts to garner legitimacy and build up local institutions can only go so far amid the group’s continued terrorist sympathies and minority repression.

۲۹ اوت ۲۰۲۲

Aaron Y. Zelin

AlhawlsyriarefugeesISIS

Arab Syrian IDPs of Tal Rifaat also Want to Go Home

The involvement of Turkish military forces in Northern Syria could allow thousands of Syrians to return to their homes after being forced out by the YPG, the SDF, and other entities for many years.

۱۲ اوت ۲۰۲۲

Rena Netjes

Dorsin

Armed with Paintbrushes: Kurdish Female Artists Fighting for Equality

Kurdish women use art as a powerful tool to represent what it means to be a Kurd, a woman, and a human being.

۴ اوت ۲۰۲۲

Shilan Fuad Hussain

Screen capture of the FBI Most Wanted Terrorist poster for Ayman al-Zawahiri, updated following Zawahiri's killing in Afghanistan by American forces. Source: FBI

What Zawahiri’s Death Means for al-Qaeda and Its Branches

Despite the potent symbolic benefits of taking out the infamous terrorist ideologue, his death is unlikely to affect the organization’s daily operations, which are increasingly being driven by dangerous affiliates in Africa.

۲ اوت ۲۰۲۲

Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin

Arab Tribes and Saudi Influence in Northeastern Syria

Saudi Arabia has worked with Syrian tribes in the past to bolster their involvement in Northeastern Syria, but tribal frustrations with the SDF and shifting geopolitical realities are impacting this relationship.

۲ اوت ۲۰۲۲

Ishtar Al Shami

Russian President Putin and Iranian President Raisi meet in Tehran in 2022 - source: Reuters

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

روسیه و ایران همچنان به هم نزدیک‌تر می‌شوند

با توجه به توانایی اثبات‌شده‌ای که دو کشور به صورت مشترک برای اخلال در منافع غرب در خاورمیانه دارند، هر دو کشور را باید بیش از همیشه بخشی از مجموعه استراتژیک واحدی در نظر گرفت.

۱ اوت ۲۰۲۲

آنا بورشچفسکایا

Photo showing 1983 terrorist attack at U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, Lebanon.

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

دست کم نگیرید: کشمکشِ تسلط بر آسمان لبنان

اسرائیل برای پرهیز از اشتباهات گذشته و مقابله با قوی‌ترین تهدید در مرزهای خود، به تصویر اطلاعاتی دقیقی از درون لبنان نیاز دارد، ولی ایران و حزب‌الله با تضعیف تدریجی برتری هوایی ارتش اسرائیل ثبات وضعیت را به خطر می‌اندازند.

۲۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

عساف اوریون

Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters

تحلیل کوتاه

آیا ملاقات پوتین-اردوغان-رئیسی به حمله ترکیه به سوریه می‌انجامد؟

مسکو و تهران ممکن است به یک عملیات برون‌مرزی دیگر از طرف ترکیه رضایت دهند، ولی انتخاب اهداف ترکیه به منافع چندگانه آمریکا، روسیه و ایران بستگی خواهد داشت.

۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

سونر چغاپتای
اندرو جی. تابلر

U.S._and_Turkish_military_forces_conduct_second_joint_ground_patrol_inside_of_the_secur

The Impending Turkish Invasion: Repercussions for the SDF-Washington Relationship

A Turkish attack on northern Syria would bring new waves of internal displacement and increased humanitarian suffering, weaken the SDF and the Autonomous Administration, and erode these institutions’ the trust of the United States.

۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Baraa Sabri

How the Autonomous Administration Leadership and Civilians Will View a Turkish Incursion into Northeast Syria

With the threat of a Turkish incursion into Northeast Syria, the SDF weighs their options while the area’s civilians express their frustrations and concerns about all parties involved.

۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Ishtar Al Shami

Time to Develop a Plan B for Syria Aid

Although alternatives to the UN mechanism carry uncertainties of their own, continuing the broken status quo will only boost Moscow, endanger Syrian civilians, and help the Assad regime avoid sanctions—not to mention whetting his appetite for natural gas shipments.

۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Andrew J. Tabler

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