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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
To Ease Syria’s Energy Crisis, Assad Must Return to the Negotiating Table
Washington can help alleviate the country's fuel crisis, but only if Damascus and Moscow agree to extend the cross-border aid mechanism and resume progress toward a final political settlement.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Erik Yavorsky
Palestians on a Mediterranean beach in Gaza
تحلیل کوتاه
تغییر الگوهای جمعیتی شکل خاورمیانه را تغییر خواهد داد
چند کشور از وزنه‌های سنگین جمعیتی منطقه در دهه‌های آینده از گردونه عقب خواهند ماند، و تغییرات عمده در سطح جهانی ممکن است بر نحوه رقابت قدرت‌های بزرگ برای نفوذ در خاورمیانه تاثیرگذار باشد.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • پاتریک کلاوسون
Photo showing the Iron Dome defense system intercepting Hamas rockets over Ashkelon, Israel, in May 2021.
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Is Hesitant About Supplying Ukraine with Air Defense Systems
Jerusalem remains concerned that angering the Russians could jeopardize its crucial national security interests in Syria, though domestic elements and U.S. officials are still pressing it to do more.
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani, leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, speaks in a recorded interview released in Jan. 2019. Photo credit: Screenshot by Cole Bunzel via Twitter.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of al-Jawlani’s Pragmatism in Idlib and Afrin
Despite years of overhauling HTS’s global reputation, al-Jawlani’s strategy in northwest Syria has long been driven by opportunism instead of ideology.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Yilmaz Saeed
تحلیل کوتاه
قطعنامه سازمان ملل در محکومیت الحاق مناطقی از اوکراین به روسیه: رأی کشورهای خاورمیانه چه بود؟
بیشتر کشورهای منطقه از این اقدام حمایت کردند؛ با یک رأی منفی، دو تغییر مهم از زمان قطعنامه ماه مارس، و چندین بیانیه محکم در حمایت از تمامیت ارضی.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • David Schenker
al-Shaitat Memorial
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Daesh’s Forgotten Massacre in Deir al-Zour
Justice for the victims of the al-Shaitat massacre is only just starting to emerge, and the international community must do its part.
۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Omar Abu Layla
Flag of the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Shifting Lines and IDPs: Azaz, Afrin, and the HTS Incursion
HTS is on the move through northern Syria, leaving locals in Afrin and Azaz even more vulnerable.
۱۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Rena Netjes
Fighters of Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), walk together near Baghouz, Deir Al Zor province - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The SDF Is Caught Between Turkey and the Islamic State Again
As happened with past incursions, Erdogan’s latest invasion threats and preparatory strikes are fatally distracting the SDF from its crucial counterterrorism mission—and at a time when jihadist activities against it are on the rise.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ido Levy
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Insight into As-Suwayda’s Position in the Syrian Situation
As-Suwayda has been unstable since the onset of the Syrian revolution. The increasingly fractured political leadership in this majority-Druze region reflects how Syria’s ongoing conflict has warped and splintered local governance.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ishtar Al Shami
Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Domestic Audience for Turkish Foreign Policy
With elections in the balance, Erdoğan is playing a risky game of international normalizations in the hope that the Turkish electorate will approve of economic ties and immigrant solutions.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Batu Coşkun
  • Gökhan Çınkara
Jordan-Syria Border
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Captagon War: Smuggling on the Jordanian-Syrian Border
As drug smuggling increases across Jordan’s border with Syria, Jordanian authorities need to seek solutions in both the security and social spheres.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Saud Al-Sharafat
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Detention Facilities in Syria, Iraq Remain Vulnerable to Islamic State Attacks
An attempted suicide operation against al-Hawl camp highlights the ongoing risks posed by indefinite detention of foreigners associated with IS.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
MEES map showing Israeli and Lebanese maritime border claims in the East Mediterranean.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
۲۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Ehud Yaari
  • David Makovsky
  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Assad and Khamenei
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Airstrikes, Iran Continues to Permeate Western Syria
Efforts to counter Iran in Syria are solely focused on Iran’s military presence in the country, and have ignored the soft-power, cultural spheres of influence being developed by Iran as a long-term strategy.
۱۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Omar Abu Layla
Nujaba Warethun
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Warithuun
Al-Warithuun is a "resistance" brand with a recurring connection to kinetic operations that are directed by Iran's Qods Force but intended to be deniable.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
U.S. Central Command graphic, Aug 15, 2022 drone attack on Al Tanf
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
نقش کتائب حزب‌الله در حمله نیمه آگوست به التنف
حمله به سوریه با استفاده از پهپادهای انفجاری «کی.ای.اس-۰۴» ساخت ایران، و از پایگاهی در عراق صورت گرفت.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • مایکل نایتز
◆ Militia Spotlight
Erdogan and Putin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Consequences of Turkey’s Shifting Position on the Syrian Crisis
Although establishing ties between Turkey and the Syrian regime may seem like a smart move by Erdogan, the decision represents a betrayal of the Syrian people and its success is not guaranteed for the Turkish government.
۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Salahuddin Hawa
Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani, leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, speaks in a recorded interview released in Jan. 2019. Photo credit: Screenshot by Cole Bunzel via Twitter.
Articles & Testimony
Jawlani’s “State of the Union”
The Syrian jihadist leader’s growing efforts to garner legitimacy and build up local institutions can only go so far amid the group’s continued terrorist sympathies and minority repression.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
AlhawlsyriarefugeesISIS
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Syrian IDPs of Tal Rifaat also Want to Go Home
The involvement of Turkish military forces in Northern Syria could allow thousands of Syrians to return to their homes after being forced out by the YPG, the SDF, and other entities for many years.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Rena Netjes

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