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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Iran's National Army Reorganizes
To meet emerging threats and ensure its continued relevance, the Iranian army is seeking to become a quick-reaction force, but institutional and budgetary constraints could still prevent dramatic change.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Focus on Clear Goals to Contain Iran in Iraq and Syria
The Powell Doctrine, a set of principles devised in the 1980s, can guide the United States in promoting regional stability and averting future disasters.
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran Retaliate Against U.S. Sanctions?
IRGC hardliners have pushed for an aggressive response to U.S. measures, but they will have to convince the Supreme Leader that escalation does not pose too great a risk.
۳ اوت ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Space Program Emerges from Dormancy
The reported failure of the July 27 launch offers little solace to Western observers, since it likely anticipates future attempts as well as the potential for more-advanced technologies.
۱ اوت ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Assessing the U.S.-Qatar Relationship
The Institute's leading counterterrorism expert discusses Washington's ties with the Gulf country, contending that Qatar must take substantive, verifiable steps to address the shortcomings in its posture toward Islamist extremism.
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
As Syria Crumbles, Only Iran Is a Sure Winner
A discussion of Syria's Sykes-Picot origins, the recent U.S.-Russia de-escalation deal, and the Sunni-Shia contest in the region.
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
On Bombing Anniversary, Iran Still Engaged in Illicit Activity
Working through its proxy Hezbollah, the Islamic Republic continues to support terrorist plots across the globe and to raise significant sums through illegal smuggling, including in South America's Triborder Area.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
What to Expect From the State Department's Annual Counterterrorism Report
Areas of focus will likely include a damaged but still dangerous Islamic State, a regrouping al-Qaeda, and the wide network fielded by Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Ceasefire and U.S. Interests on the Jordan-Syria Border
By setting limits on Iranian deployments in southern Syria, Washington could insulate Jordan from problems on the border and encourage Iranian caution in the east, potentially decreasing the likelihood there of a U.S.-Iran clash.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump's Syrian Ceasefire Makes Israel Nervous
The tepid response to the deal by Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu can be summed up in one word: Iran.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Yousif Kalian
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Will the Gulf Crisis Blow Up the Middle East?
A discussion of what's at stake in the region, how to evaluate the situation, and the roles of Israel and Iran.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Addressing Iranian Weapons Smuggling and the Humanitarian Situation in Yemen
Reenergized and more-targeted maritime interdiction operations could reduce Iranian support for the Houthis while helping respond to Yemen's humanitarian crisis.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Eric Pelofsky
  • Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Putin Sideline and the Syria Conflict
Whatever the two leaders discuss at the G20 summit, the Trump administration must work urgently to develop a new Syria strategy that articulates a clear vision for the country's future and the U.S. readiness to protect it.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Qatar Crisis: Worst Case Scenarios
A dramatic response by Qatar could entail an appeal to the UN Security Council or, more dangerously, an attempt to play its military cards, both of which would carry risks for the United States.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Simmering Trouble in Oil-Rich Shia Area Complicates Riyadh's Concerns
Incidents in the town of al-Awamiyah are creating headaches for the Saudi leadership and adding to regional tensions.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt

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