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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Articles & Testimony
Donald Trump Should Isolate Iran Immediately
Iran's destabilizing presence throughout the region has grown in the year since the nuclear deal, so the new administration should take firm steps to curb it.
۱۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
President Trump Must Rally His Middle Eastern Allies and End Iran's War of Attrition
The new administration can succeed in the region if it understands the nature of the threats posed by Iran and radical Islamists, is prepared to work with America’s traditional partners, and appreciates how to take advantage of the latest local developments.
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran Appoints Seasoned Qods Force Operative as Ambassador to Iraq
General Masjedi reportedly has a long track record of overseeing deadly anticoalition operations and making threatening statements against Israel and other U.S. allies, so his appointment to the embassy in Baghdad is highly troubling.
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Potential Benefits of Easing Sudan Sanctions
The president's latest decision could encourage Sudan's ongoing shift toward more favorable policies in the Middle East, and without surrendering the incoming administration's leverage.
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Iranian-Backed Terrorism in Bahrain: Finding a Sustainable Solution
The United States needs to balance tough love with public validation of justifiable security concerns as Manama seeks to reverse the dangerous growth of Iranian-supported militant cells on the island.
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Counterintuitive Role of Air Defense in Iran's Anti-Status Quo Regional Strategy
While Iran's air defenses are a central element of its deterrent capabilities, newly arrived long-range mobile systems like the S-300 could also enable it to constrain the air forces of its neighbors over their own sovereign territory, thereby enhancing Tehran's ability to intimidate and coerce these neighbors.
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
More Information Is Needed to Evaluate Implementation of the Iran Nuclear Deal
Experts need sufficient information to make informed judgments about whether the deal's terms are being implemented in full, and it is unclear whether any mechanism exists to detect procurement violations.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Should the New U.S. President Play the "Kurdish Card" in the Middle East?
Following the September 11 terrorist attacks, the United States administration divided the world conceptually into good and evil blocs, with most of the evil blocs located in the Middle East. Pushing al-Qaeda out, toppling the Taliban in Afghanistan, and overthrowing the Ba’ath regime in Iraq further inspired the White House
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Frzand Sherko
Brief Analysis
Rafsanjani's Death Could Increase the IRGC's Succession Role
Unlike in 1989, the Revolutionary Guards and other powerful Iranian institutions will probably play an outsize role in determining and influencing the next Supreme Leader, especially now that another major revolutionary figure has passed away.
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs 'Useless Syria' Too
Eastern Syria holds major hydrocarbon and agricultural resources that make it a vital asset in Assad's quest for regime self-sufficiency, and a potentially powerful source of U.S. leverage against him.
۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Putin Praises Trump, Downplays Arms Race
The Washington Institute's Anna Borshchevskaya and Cipher Brief's Leone Lakhani review Moscow's 2016 track record on the Syria war, Iran, and other Middle East-related issues.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
What Should Trump Do About Syria?
Establishing safe zones, pursuing a tougher line of negotiation with Russia, and limiting Iran's destabilizing presence are the best ways of addressing the country's de facto partition.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
What's at Stake for Lebanon's New Government?
The heavy presence of pro-Iranian and pro-Syrian ministers is troubling, but Hariri and his allies can still preserve Lebanon's sovereignty by pushing for a balanced electoral law and a timely parliamentary ballot.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Will Trump Strengthen Iran's Hand?
The Trump administration cannot say it is going to be tougher on Iran and at the same time partner with Russia in Syria -- the two goals are mutually exclusive under the current circumstances.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sympathy for the Devil: Why Iran's Leaders Should See Reflections of Themselves in Israel
If Iranian leaders want to advance a world governed by the relative justice of international law, which however imperfect is better than a world in which "the strong do what they will and the weak suffer what they must", they will have to cede the same implicit claims of exceptionalism that they loathe the U.S. and Israel for.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Thomas Buonomo
Brief Analysis
Iran's Basij Mull a Wider Domestic and Regional Role
In addition to expanding and professionalizing their traditional roles at home, Basij paramilitary forces are poised to assume a larger share of the fighting in Syria alongside Iran's foreign militia proxies.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Independent Intel Key to U.S. Diplomacy
Tensions between the White House and the intelligence community are nothing new, but enough damage has already been done to elevate this problem to the Trump administration's A-list.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Mosul and Iran's Regional Reach
Absent preventive measures, the Mosul campaign could increase Tehran's regional influence and embolden its proxies to act against U.S. forces in Iraq.
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's Arms Smuggling in Yemen
Tehran is ramping up its sanction-busting military support to the Houthis, necessitating a coordinated international response to close off Red Sea access to antigovernment forces.
۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights

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