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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Missile Attacks on the USS Mason: Principles to Guide a U.S. Response
After three antishipping attacks in two weeks by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels, Washington should take firm steps to prevent this from becoming the new normal off Yemen's coast.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jeremy Vaughan
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
گزارش‌های تفصیلی
روحانیت شیعه در دوران پساخامنه‌ای: مساله توازن بین اقتدار و استقلال
از سال ۱۹۸۹ که آیت‌الله علی خامنه‌ای رهبری انقلاب را عهده‌دار شد، نهاد روحانیت به تمامی دگرگون شده و هم در شبکه‌های داخلی و بین‌المللی و هم از نظر مالی و شمار کارکنان رشد بی‌سابقه‌ای را تجربه‌ کرده است. هم‌زمان با این رشد، خامنه‌ای کنترل تندروها بر مدیریت نهاد روحانیت شیعه را شدت بخشیده است. اصل راهنمای جمهوری اسلامی پس از مرگ خامنه‌ای هم عوض نخواهد شد: یک رژیم روحانی نیازمند دیوانسالاران روحانی است تا حاکمیت و صدور ایدئولوژی‌اش را تضمین کنند.
۱۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Brief Analysis
Is Iran's Recent Muscle Flexing More Than the Usual Show of Force?
Tehran continues to boast about military capabilities that bolster deterrence, but ambiguities in its definition of national interests raise concerns about how it will wield its new offensive weapons and increasingly assertive policies.
۷ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Houthi Antishipping Attacks in the Bab al-Mandab Strait
Yemeni rebels successfully attacked a UAE military vessel with what appeared to be an Iranian cruise missile, raising the need for a stronger U.S. role in the strategic waterway.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Alex Almeida
  • Jeremy Vaughan
  • Michael Knights
مناقشه عربستان سعودی و ایران؛ با احتیاط گام بردارید
هر چقدر که مقابله‌ی ایران با «جنگ نرم» ایالات متحده دشوار باشد، در عوض، به نظر می‌رسد هیچ کاری آسان‌تر و کم‌هزینه‌تر از بسیج کردن ایرانیان در داخل و خارج از ایران بر ضد عربستان سعودی و یا مسموم کردن ذهنیت آن‌ها با احساسات ضدعرب نیست.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
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  • مهدی خلجی
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Preparing for Regime Change in Iran
With some Arabs leading the call, various dissidents like the Mujahideen-e-Khalq (MEK) core of the NCRI are accelerating their calls for regime change in Iran.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
Brief Analysis
Iran Shows Off Its Bounty of Crashed Drones and New UAVs
The IRGC has sought to prove the resilience and technological prowess of its new UAVs by displaying them next to recovered models from other countries, but it may also be trying to mask key shortcomings.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Why Iran Is More Dangerous Than the Islamic State
Arabs and Israelis are in the same boat, facing Iranian-backed threats all around them and yearning for Western leadership on how best to roll back the regime's destabilizing policies.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Moshe Yaalon
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Rewarming Ties with Iran
The two countries appear to be compartmentalizing their shared and divergent interests in Syria and Iraq, but such an approach is highly vulnerable to unexpected military incidents and other factors.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
What Trump and Clinton Said (and Didn't Say) About the Middle East
With a few exceptions, the candidates focused more on debating the past than offering ideas and prescriptions for today's Middle East challenges.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Iran's 'Resistance Economy' -- and Stalled Reform Efforts
Rather than honoring its pledge to comply with international norms on money laundering and terrorist finance, Iran may point to two prominent banks in particular as safe spaces for Western engagement.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
Multimedia
Middle East 2017: Challenges and Choices with Amb. James Jeffrey
There's no stopping Iranian ambitions if Moscow has Tehran's back, warns Ambassador James Jeffrey, unless the United States is prepared to "get real" about its Middle East engagement in the next presidential administration. The former American ambassador to Iraq and to Turkey, Jeffrey explains the importance of setting, and upholding
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Clinton vs. Trump on Key Middle East Issues: Prepping for the Debate
Read what both candidates and their parties have said about Syria, ISIS, the Iran nuclear deal, U.S.-Israel relations, and host of other pressing regional issues.
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Will Year Two of Russia's Syria Intervention Bring?
Moscow and Iran are already several steps ahead of Washington in shaping the war's potential endgame, so the next administration will need to be mindful of Putin's likeliest strategies and strongest levers if it wants a different outcome.
۱۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Iran Competition: Prospects and Limits of Cooperation
Three experts discuss whether the contentious history of U.S.-Iranian relations stems more from unrealistic American expectations and missed opportunities, or from the Islamic Republic's strategic decision to oppose Washington's interests.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jay Solomon
  • James Dobbins
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran's Ideological Exploitation of the Hajj
The massive, unregulated apparatus that the Supreme Leader has established to oversee Shiite activities during the Hajj is an essential tool in Tehran's efforts to export the Islamic Revolution and disseminate anti-Western sentiment.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Deterring Iranian Provocations at Sea
In light of Iran's more assertive naval posture in the Persian Gulf, the otherwise commendable restraint demonstrated by the U.S. Navy may risk bringing about the very kind of unintended maritime incident Washington is trying to avoid.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jeremy Vaughan
Iran Cannot Be a Partner in the Struggle Against ISIS
In this in-depth interview, the veteran advisor and peace envoy discusses the regional consequences of the Iran nuclear deal and the possibility of progress in the Israeli-Palestinian arena.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Obama Team Makes Defensible Actions on Iran Look Suspicious
If administration officials would simply explain their Iran decisions from the start rather than waiting for inevitable media leaks, they could ensure that any new revelations are small news items, not the subject of page one stories or congressional inquiries.
۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's 'Useful Syria' Is Practically Complete
Helping the Assad regime establish full control in Damascus is only one part of Iran's plan to create a regional Shiite crescent, and any ceasefire plan that furthers such goals could spark wider sectarian conflict.
۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar

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