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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Articles & Testimony
Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections
As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Election Procedures
An in-depth look at the unique and often-controversial procedures that will govern Iran's latest elections.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Iranian EFPs in the Gulf: An Emerging Strategic Risk
Tehran and its proxies have increased their efforts to provide armor-piercing explosive devices to Shiite cells in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, and this game-changing escalation could pose even greater challenges if Riyadh takes further action in Syria.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Russian Expectations for Post-Sanctions Iran
Joint support of Basher al-Assad's regime has highlighted Moscow and Tehran’s developing political alliance. In contrast, the level of economic cooperation between the two states has historically been very modest: 2014 trade between the two countries amounted to $1.68 billion and was just 0.2% of all Russian foreign trade. Yet
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Huseyn Panahov
Brief Analysis
Iran and Russia's Growing Defense Ties
The lifting of international sanctions and the region's vastly changing geopolitical environment have opened a window of opportunity for Tehran to buy potent arms from Russia and modernize its arsenal.
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Understanding Iran's Assembly of Experts Vote
The victors, winnowed from an especially large field, will serve until 2024 and therefore may play a role in choosing a new Supreme Leader.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Last Chance to Join the International Community
Successive White House administrations have tried to weaken the Iranian mullahs’ grip on the country through war, sanctions, and diplomatic isolation. Each policy has failed eminently, and a considerable list of U.S. officials expects more of the same from President Obama’s new strategy of ‘veiled’ diplomacy, which attempts to foster
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dani Tahrawi
تحلیل کوتاه
انتخاب رهبر آینده ایران
اعضای مجلس خبرگان این ماه انتخاب می‌شوند. ممکن است وظیفه آنها به طور رسمی انتصاب جانشینی برای خامنه‌ای سالخورده باشد، اما تصمیم واقعی به احتمال زیاد از سوی مراکز قدرت دیگری گرفته می‌شود که می‌تواند منجر به تحت کنترل گرفتن رهبر جدید شود
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
Preventing a Middle Eastern Gordian Knot
The situation in the Middle East is beginning to resemble the Balkans: either the Balkans in the early 1990s, before Washington woke up and played its role as security leader, or the Balkans before World War I, when no one woke up.
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
In the Regional Power Struggle, has Erbil Decided to Join the Sunni Bloc?
The security of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq (KRI) depends more on agreements between Erbil and Kurdistan’s neighbors than the KRI’s own security and intelligence capabilities. Whenever the regional powers surrounding the KRI have suspected that their interests are at risk, they have not hesitated to put the KRI’s security and stability
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
The Truth About Sectarianism
Rather than postulating alternatives to centuries-old sectarian doctrines, Washington should focus on preventing exploitative actors from institutionalizing their violent vision through schools and bureaucracies.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
China's Middle East Tour
To ensure that Beijing's post-sanctions ambitions in the region do not include transferring dangerous nuclear and military technology to Iran, Washington and its allies need to set clear boundaries sooner rather than later.
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Not So Fast: Big Questions on Iran Are Still Unanswered
If the Obama administration sees the nuclear agreement as a strategic win capable of transforming Tehran's hostility, then America's ability to deter and contain Iranian challenges will be eroded.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Elections: Inside the Candidate Approval Process
As in past elections, the Guardian Council seems poised to disqualify thousands of registered Majlis candidates, and its procedures for doing so are revealing.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Implementation Day: A Brief Statement on U.S. Policy Toward Iran
A bipartisan group of American diplomats, legislators, policymakers, and experts cites the need for vigilance in enforcing the nuclear deal and urges the administration to reject the idea of Iran as an ally in the anti-ISIL campaign.
۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
Articles & Testimony
Prisoner Release
Although there were good reasons for delaying the ballistic missile sanctions against Iran, dropping charges against individuals linked to terror sponsorship only exacerbates doubts about the administration's commitment to enforcement.
۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East After the JCPOA
The United States and its allies are more than up to the challenges posed by post-deal Iran, but they will need to focus on objectives rather than tactics, and engage in long-term planning rather than continuing their reactive, shorter-term approach.
۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
A banner of Iran's former Supreme leader Khomeini
Video
Articles & Testimony
Addressing Threats to National Security: Iran
When the next President enters office, Iran will be a nuclear-weapons threshold state operating more than 5,000 centrifuges, with more than 14,000 additional ones at hand but deactivated—assuming the July 14 accord is implemented and survives its infancy. It will be openly engaged in research and development on advanced centrifuges
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
The Islamic State's Territorial Methodology
In this new study, jihadi expert Aaron Y. Zelin provides a framework for understanding how the Islamic State goes from no control to full consolidation of control in a particular area. Three case studies show how this framework plays out ...
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Implementing the Iran Nuclear Deal: A Video Guide
What will the implementation of the Iran nuclear agreement mean for Iran and the United States?
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Patrick Clawson

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