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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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تحلیل کوتاه
اصلاح‌طلب بودن در ایران چه معنایی دارد؟
ترکیبی بی‌سابقه از تنش‌های منطقه‌ای، فشار بین‌المللی و دسیسه‌های استبدادی، نهضت اصلاح‌طلبی در ایران را در خود هضم کرده و نتیجه آن شده که بسیاری از ایرانیان، رژیم فعلی این کشور را تنها ابزار بقای ایران تلقی کنند.
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Salafism: Ideas, Recent History, Politics
Download this presentation (PDF)
۹ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Reformists Apply the 'Lesser Evil' Theory to Iran's Elections
With most of their favorite candidates disqualified, the reformists embraced politicians who were little different from the hardline incumbents, raising questions about their claims of victory.
۹ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Why the Nuclear Deal Hasn't Softened Iran's Hard-Line Policies
As the election process and continued regional aggression have shown, the regime won't change what it's doing at home or abroad until the price for such behavior is made clear and unmistakable.
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Third Time the Charm for Reform in Iran?
Tehran has a history of showing hints of reform to hopeful citizens and Western observers only to snatch them away in the end.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The State(s) of Ideology in Iran
Iranian policymakers understand the failure of their effort to export the Islamic Revolution, and acknowledge the more feasible path to hegemony offered by geopolitics.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Said Amir Arjomand
Brief Analysis
Iran's Long Road to Reintegrating With the World Financial System
The recent warning by the Financial Action Task Force to banks about dealings with Iran shows that the end of nuclear sanctions was only the start of a long process.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Iran's Melting Factions and Failing Institutions
Given the absence of sharp ideological differences and the growing irrelevance of old political categories, those who win office this week may have little actual influence on important issues such as succession, economics, or the next presidential election.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections
As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Election Procedures
An in-depth look at the unique and often-controversial procedures that will govern Iran's latest elections.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Iranian EFPs in the Gulf: An Emerging Strategic Risk
Tehran and its proxies have increased their efforts to provide armor-piercing explosive devices to Shiite cells in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, and this game-changing escalation could pose even greater challenges if Riyadh takes further action in Syria.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Russian Expectations for Post-Sanctions Iran
Joint support of Basher al-Assad's regime has highlighted Moscow and Tehran’s developing political alliance. In contrast, the level of economic cooperation between the two states has historically been very modest: 2014 trade between the two countries amounted to $1.68 billion and was just 0.2% of all Russian foreign trade. Yet
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Huseyn Panahov
Brief Analysis
Iran and Russia's Growing Defense Ties
The lifting of international sanctions and the region's vastly changing geopolitical environment have opened a window of opportunity for Tehran to buy potent arms from Russia and modernize its arsenal.
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Understanding Iran's Assembly of Experts Vote
The victors, winnowed from an especially large field, will serve until 2024 and therefore may play a role in choosing a new Supreme Leader.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Last Chance to Join the International Community
Successive White House administrations have tried to weaken the Iranian mullahs’ grip on the country through war, sanctions, and diplomatic isolation. Each policy has failed eminently, and a considerable list of U.S. officials expects more of the same from President Obama’s new strategy of ‘veiled’ diplomacy, which attempts to foster
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dani Tahrawi
تحلیل کوتاه
انتخاب رهبر آینده ایران
اعضای مجلس خبرگان این ماه انتخاب می‌شوند. ممکن است وظیفه آنها به طور رسمی انتصاب جانشینی برای خامنه‌ای سالخورده باشد، اما تصمیم واقعی به احتمال زیاد از سوی مراکز قدرت دیگری گرفته می‌شود که می‌تواند منجر به تحت کنترل گرفتن رهبر جدید شود
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
Preventing a Middle Eastern Gordian Knot
The situation in the Middle East is beginning to resemble the Balkans: either the Balkans in the early 1990s, before Washington woke up and played its role as security leader, or the Balkans before World War I, when no one woke up.
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
In the Regional Power Struggle, has Erbil Decided to Join the Sunni Bloc?
The security of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq (KRI) depends more on agreements between Erbil and Kurdistan’s neighbors than the KRI’s own security and intelligence capabilities. Whenever the regional powers surrounding the KRI have suspected that their interests are at risk, they have not hesitated to put the KRI’s security and stability
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
The Truth About Sectarianism
Rather than postulating alternatives to centuries-old sectarian doctrines, Washington should focus on preventing exploitative actors from institutionalizing their violent vision through schools and bureaucracies.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort

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