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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Rafsanjani's Death Could Increase the IRGC's Succession Role
Unlike in 1989, the Revolutionary Guards and other powerful Iranian institutions will probably play an outsize role in determining and influencing the next Supreme Leader, especially now that another major revolutionary figure has passed away.
۹ ژانویه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
۶ ژانویه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs 'Useless Syria' Too
Eastern Syria holds major hydrocarbon and agricultural resources that make it a vital asset in Assad's quest for regime self-sufficiency, and a potentially powerful source of U.S. leverage against him.
۴ ژانویه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Putin Praises Trump, Downplays Arms Race
The Washington Institute's Anna Borshchevskaya and Cipher Brief's Leone Lakhani review Moscow's 2016 track record on the Syria war, Iran, and other Middle East-related issues.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
What Should Trump Do About Syria?
Establishing safe zones, pursuing a tougher line of negotiation with Russia, and limiting Iran's destabilizing presence are the best ways of addressing the country's de facto partition.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
What's at Stake for Lebanon's New Government?
The heavy presence of pro-Iranian and pro-Syrian ministers is troubling, but Hariri and his allies can still preserve Lebanon's sovereignty by pushing for a balanced electoral law and a timely parliamentary ballot.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Will Trump Strengthen Iran's Hand?
The Trump administration cannot say it is going to be tougher on Iran and at the same time partner with Russia in Syria -- the two goals are mutually exclusive under the current circumstances.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sympathy for the Devil: Why Iran's Leaders Should See Reflections of Themselves in Israel
If Iranian leaders want to advance a world governed by the relative justice of international law, which however imperfect is better than a world in which "the strong do what they will and the weak suffer what they must", they will have to cede the same implicit claims of exceptionalism that they loathe the U.S. and Israel for.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Thomas Buonomo
Brief Analysis
Iran's Basij Mull a Wider Domestic and Regional Role
In addition to expanding and professionalizing their traditional roles at home, Basij paramilitary forces are poised to assume a larger share of the fighting in Syria alongside Iran's foreign militia proxies.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Independent Intel Key to U.S. Diplomacy
Tensions between the White House and the intelligence community are nothing new, but enough damage has already been done to elevate this problem to the Trump administration's A-list.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Mosul and Iran's Regional Reach
Absent preventive measures, the Mosul campaign could increase Tehran's regional influence and embolden its proxies to act against U.S. forces in Iraq.
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's Arms Smuggling in Yemen
Tehran is ramping up its sanction-busting military support to the Houthis, necessitating a coordinated international response to close off Red Sea access to antigovernment forces.
۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran May Be Using Iraq and Syria as a Bridge to Lebanon
While liberating territory from the Islamic State is vital, the consequences of ceding portions of Iraq and Syria to de facto Iranian control could be just as dire as leaving them in jihadist hands.
۲۳ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran and China Are Strengthening Their Military Ties
Amid uncertainties about the incoming U.S. administration's approach to the Middle East and the nuclear deal, Tehran and Beijing appear to be entering a new era in their strategic partnership, including the potential transfer of advanced weapon systems down the road.
۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Shiite Militias Are Crashing the Mosul Offensive
Pro-Iranian brigades are looking to settle old grudges in a notorious town near the Islamic State's Iraqi stronghold.
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Matthew Schweitzer
Articles & Testimony
Humanitarian Crisis in Yemen
If the United States more openly addressed the wider strategic threat posed by Iran's role in Yemen, it could convince its allies in the Saudi-led coalition to modify their controversial military tactics, reduce civilian suffering, and support a serious peace effort.
۱۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Video
Brief Analysis
A New President and the Middle East
How will the election's outcome shape the direction of U.S. Middle East policy, and how do America's friends in the region view the prospect of a new administration? Read or watch a conversation between leading Middle Eastern journalists and U.S. policy experts.
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jamal Khashoggi
  • Jumana Ghunaimat
  • David Horovitz
  • Norman Ornstein
  • Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Role of Missiles in Iran's Military Strategy
Iran's missile force could double or triple in size by the time the major limits imposed by the nuclear deal are supposed to be lifted, so any attempts to improve on the JCPOA should address Iran's missile program as well.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Syria and Iraq:
Examining Islamic State Provinces
As an idea, the Islamic State has gone global, attracting far more foreign terrorist fighters than all previous jihadist conflicts combined. But as a so-called state or "caliphate," how successful has it really been at expanding its global footprint through the establishment of "provinces" around the world? And what will
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
Multimedia
Middle East 2017: Challenges and Choices - Strategy with Michael Singh
Where does the Middle East fit into America's global strategy, and is the rise of Russian and Chinese great-power competition in the region a permanent new reality or an anomaly that the next president can reverse? This episode of the Institute's Near East PolicyCast podcast features a conversation with Michael
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh

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