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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Who Is Iran's New Armed Forces Chief of Staff?
The appointment of one of the IRGC's youngest generals can be seen as a sign of the Guards' growing primacy in future Iranian military thinking, and perhaps an urgent push toward improving interoperability between often-competing armed services.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Regional Charm Offensive: Motives and Prospects
After years of foreign policy setbacks, Ankara is trying to mend fences with Israel, Egypt, Iran, and Russia, and the potential implications for the United States are mostly beneficial -- assuming the Turks can actually pull it off.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
High Noon in Bahrain: Will Tehran Blink First?
Bahrain's action against a high-profile Shiite figure has brought long-simmering tensions with Iran to a boil, and extremists could feel empowered to further escalate the crisis even if officials turn down the dial.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Takfiris in Tehran: The Sectarian Face of Iranian Counterterrorism
While the severity of the Sunni extremist threat inside Iran is debatable, the regime's recent operations against suspected terrorists highlight its pattern of exploiting sectarian sentiment to bolster its regional adventurism.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Little Change Expected in Upcoming FATF Statement on Iran
The organization's forthcoming statement will likely underline the fact that Iran's recent efforts are only the first steps toward complying with international standards.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Speaker Election Is No Step Forward for Rouhani
Ali Larijani's projected victory likely won't help Rouhani, who needs ample support from parliament in order to bolster his chances of winning next year's presidential election.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Air Force Overshadowed by the IRGC
A recent crash highlights the air force's struggles to maintain its readiness and budget at a time when Revolutionary Guard leaders are pushing for a deterrence posture based solely on their own ballistic missile arsenal.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's New Assembly Chair Shows Who Really Won the Elections
Despite weeks of reformist spin about the spring election results, the decision to name a notorious hardliner as head of the Experts Assembly shows that Khamenei is intent on making life even more difficult for President Rouhani's camp.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Morphs Into an Expeditionary Force
Funeral notices indicate that Iran has increased its use of IRGC Ground Forces in Syria to offset mounting losses by the elite Qods Force, and this pattern could signal a wider transformation in how the IRGC operates abroad.
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
The View from Tehran's Twilight Zone:
Iran's Continued Illicit Finance Activities and Their Implications
In Tehran's alternative reality, there is no risk to doing business in the Islamic Republic because sanctions no longer exist, yet such claims ignore the role that the regime's own actions play in scaring foreign banks away.
۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Why Middle Eastern Leaders Are Talking to Putin, Not Obama
Russia is less dominant militarily but more willing to act, and that has changed the dynamics in the region.
۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Military Engagement in the Broader Middle East
Reflecting broad foreign policy themes dating to World War I, U.S. grand strategy in the Middle East since the Cold War has focused on establishing and managing a global security system to contain and deter outside threats. Given Eurasia's demographic and economic/technical strength, a dominant power or powers arising from
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Possibilities for a Turkish-Iranian Rapprochement
The prospect of warmer Iranian-Turkish ties is manageable so long as the United States maintains the intent and capability to promote regional security, and assuming Ankara continues to balance any such rapprochement with its ties to the West, Israel, and Arab states.
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
One Year After the Nuclear Deal: Is Iran Moderating?
While Western officials should remain true to their longstanding support for human rights and civil liberties in Iran, they should nevertheless be cautious about their ability to shape the country's internal dynamics, focusing instead on influencing its regional and foreign policies through a mixture of pressure and engagement.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Iran Nuclear Deal: Meeting vs. Exceeding U.S. Obligations
Washington shouldn't rush to resolve issues such as banking restrictions and heavy-water stockpiles without prodding Tehran to take helpful steps of its own.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Misleading Claims About U.S. Barriers to Iran-Europe Financial Ties
Few people understand that Iranian banks do not live up to the standards U.S. agencies require of all foreign financial institutions, and that this shortcoming has nothing to do with the nuclear deal.
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Inside Iran's Runoff Election
A detailed look at what happened in the first round of this year's parliamentary elections and how it might affect round two.
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
Articles & Testimony
Where Iran's Complaint About Banking Integration Misses the Mark
Until Iran stops engaging in illicit behaviors such as terrorist financing, banks are likely to see prohibitive reputational, regulatory, and other risks to doing business there.
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
What the U.S. Has and Hasn't Learned From Imposing Sanctions
By heeding the lessons garnered from past experience and empirical studies, Washington can mitigate concerns about sanctions overreach and greatly increase their effectiveness.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Does the Middle East Still Matter? The Obama Doctrine and U.S. Policy
Four eminent scholars and policy practitioners debate the president's worldview and how it will shape American interests and options in the next administration.
۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Derek Chollet
  • Ellen Laipson
  • Michael Doran
  • Michael Mandelbaum

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