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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Oil and Islam: Saudi Policy Post-JCPOA
Disappointed with the nuclear deal and sensing that Iran is challenging its leadership role in Islam, Riyadh seems prepared to ramp up bilateral tensions via oil production increases, sectarian provocations, and other tactics.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Still Looms Large in Israel's Threat Perception
Israel and Washington should jointly address the perceived lack of U.S. deterrence against persistent Iranian and proxy threats, conclude the ten-year military assistance package as soon as possible, and launch a strategic high-level dialogue under the next administration.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Herzog
A Proxy for Iran
The Cipher Brief sat down with Matt Levitt, former deputy assistant secretary for intelligence and analysis at the Treasury Department, to discuss Hezbollah's roles in Lebanon and Syria and as a proxy for Iran. According to Levitt, despite losses in Syria, Hezbollah remains a threat to Israeli security and U.S
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Video
TWI Video Briefing: The JCPOA at One Year
One year after the signing of the nuclear deal with Iran, how has the agreement changed the Iranian economy, Tehran's foreign policy, and Russia's role in the Middle East? Watch video briefings by Washington Institute experts.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Dennis Ross
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
One Year Post-JCPOA, Not Post-Sanctions
The United States should not let Iran define effective sanctions relief at the expense of continued implementation of nonnuclear sanctions.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Europe and the JCPOA
In keeping with their limited view of the agreement's scope, and in light of their other pressing policy concerns, European officials are focused on enforcing the JCPOA's nuclear restrictions and ensuring that the West holds up its end of the deal.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Olivier Decottignies
Brief Analysis
The JCPOA and Iran's Internal Factional Battles
The nuclear deal and the negotiations leading up to it have been a significant source of factional confrontation inside Iran over the past few years, and this trend will continue for the foreseeable future.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Half-Life of the JCPOA
Tehran's claims about its nuclear ambitions still lack credibility and could mean that the JCPOA does not survive beyond the Obama administration.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Under Cover of Nuclear Deal, Iran Foments Regional Instability
Thus far, the Obama administration has not fulfilled its pledge to deter and confront external threats to Gulf partners following the nuclear deal.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran's Support for Terrorism Under the JCPOA
The Islamic Republic's terror sponsorship has hardly abated since the nuclear deal was reached, giving the Obama administration another opportunity to reassess these menacing behaviors and hold Tehran accountable.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Russia's Cooperation on the Iran Deal Is No Favor to Washington
Moscow only agreed to the nuclear deal out of self-interest, and the JCPOA has allowed Russia to expand ties with Iran while positioning itself as a regional counterweight to the West.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran's Modest Economic Changes Since JCPOA Implementation
Deeply entrenched interests are impeding reform in Iran, limiting the economy to only modest progress even with sanctions relief.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Preserving the JCPOA Means Sending Iran the Right Deterrent Signals
Not enough is being done to convince Tehran that seeking nuclear weapons down the road will lead to forceful consequences, so the next administration will need to put forth a tougher declaratory policy on the issue while bolstering the deal's near-term benefits.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
TWI Series on the JCPOA at One Year
Assess how the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the nuclear agreement with Iran, has affected various U.S. interests one year after its announcement on July 14, 2015.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Dennis Ross
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Simon Henderson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Olivier Decottignies
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
The JCPOA'S Regional Impact: Sinking Confidence in the U.S. Balancing Role
Left to their own devices and faced with an Iran on the march in multiple theaters, regional states have responded to the deal in an incoherent and dangerous fashion.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Who Is Iran's New Armed Forces Chief of Staff?
The appointment of one of the IRGC's youngest generals can be seen as a sign of the Guards' growing primacy in future Iranian military thinking, and perhaps an urgent push toward improving interoperability between often-competing armed services.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Regional Charm Offensive: Motives and Prospects
After years of foreign policy setbacks, Ankara is trying to mend fences with Israel, Egypt, Iran, and Russia, and the potential implications for the United States are mostly beneficial -- assuming the Turks can actually pull it off.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
High Noon in Bahrain: Will Tehran Blink First?
Bahrain's action against a high-profile Shiite figure has brought long-simmering tensions with Iran to a boil, and extremists could feel empowered to further escalate the crisis even if officials turn down the dial.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Takfiris in Tehran: The Sectarian Face of Iranian Counterterrorism
While the severity of the Sunni extremist threat inside Iran is debatable, the regime's recent operations against suspected terrorists highlight its pattern of exploiting sectarian sentiment to bolster its regional adventurism.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Little Change Expected in Upcoming FATF Statement on Iran
The organization's forthcoming statement will likely underline the fact that Iran's recent efforts are only the first steps toward complying with international standards.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer

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