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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran Tweaks Gulf-Qatar Rift
A row has erupted among GCC heavyweights only days after President Trump left Riyadh, potentially undermining the agreed policy of containing Iran.
۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Trump Effect in Bahrain
The latest crackdown by Bahraini security forces, which came two days after President Trump's friendly conversation with King Hamad, could raise tensions on the island and with Iran.
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
What To Expect After Iran's Election
The outcome is unlikely to bring much change to Tehran's foreign and security policy, but it will reveal how stable the Iranian system is when the powerful hardliners are decisively rejected by voters.
۱۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Nader Uskowi
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
How Much Has the Trump Presidency Influenced Iran's Election?
As Iranians prepare to go to the polls, three experts discuss how the current campaign compares to past ones and what the outcome might mean for U.S. interests.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Nader Uskowi
  • Elham Gheytanchi
Brief Analysis
Arabian Rendezvous: What the President Can Achieve in Riyadh
Three Saudi summits in two days could provide powerful images of Washington's new relationship with the region, but key differences on terrorism, Iran, and Arab-Israeli peace will still need to be overcome.
۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, casts his vote for president
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Election Will Change Nothing
World leaders need to be clear-eyed about the false facade of Iranian democracy, focusing instead on the regime's chronic regional meddling, terror sponsorship, and human rights abuses.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Jason Brodsky
تحلیل کوتاه
غیبت اسلام در انتخابات ایران
با توجه به ضعف نفوذ و جذابیت ایدئولوژی اسلامی، تنها راه برای طولانی تر کردن عمر رژیم، اصلاحات اقتصادی است – چشم اندازی دشوار با توجه به ضعف رئیس جمهور و مداخله ی مداوم نهادهای قدرتمند و غیر پاسخگو.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
Mini-Hizballahs, Revolutionary Guard Knock-Offs, and the Future of Iran's Militant Proxies in Iraq
There is still time to offset the gains that Iran’s proxies have made in the past three years, but only if Baghdad continues resisting the creation of a permanent, well-funded security institution that operates outside the Iraqi chain of command.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Trump's Plan to Arm Kurds Lays Bare the Strategic Vacuum in Syria
The administration's plan to retake Raqqa from the Islamic State could further inflame tensions with Turkey and Iran.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran's Presidential Election: The Clergy's Political Irrelevance
As clerics are pushed ever further to the political margins, the regime will need to double down on its current strategy: relying more on security measures than spiritual authorities to ensure its survival.
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Presidential Election: The Economic Situation
Despite some positive growth indicators, Rouhani faces an uphill struggle to convince voters that his economic plan is truly best for them.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Video
Inside Iran's 2017 Election: Economics, Politics, and National Security
In this short video, Institute scholars explain the economic, security, and political dynamics shaping Iran's 2017 presidential election and the future of Iranian policy.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Nader Uskowi
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Ambitions in the Levant
A closer look at how Tehran plans to build (and hold onto) dual land corridors stretching across Iraq and Syria toward the Mediterranean.
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Iran's Presidential Election: Balancing Diplomacy and Confrontation
Washington's working relations with the next president should not preclude it from leading the fight against the IRGC's missile proliferation and regional militancy.
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Nader Uskowi
Articles & Testimony
The Other Green Movement: Renewable Energy's Prospects in Iran
Greater reliance on green technology for domestic energy needs would allow Tehran to sell more oil and gas abroad, address the population's growing concerns about pollution, and fulfill its international climate commitments.
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Emily Burlinghaus
Articles & Testimony
Common Threats Offer New Opportunities for Israel-GCC Cooperation
The Trump administration should treat the Gulf's quiet security coordination with Israel as a chance to counter Iranian and jihadist threats in the region, perhaps even parlaying it into progress on the Palestinian issue.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Consequences of Trump's Travel Ban
On January 27, 2017, President Donald Trump issued an executive order suspending the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program, indefinitely prohibiting all Syrian refugees from entering the United States and banning immigrants from seven Muslim-majority countries: Syria, Iraq, Iran, Libya, Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. The executive order unleashed a storm of criticism
۲۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Rouhani Likely to Survive Election Shake-Up
Although the entry of two high-profile hardliners could make the race more interesting, the current president remains the favorite in Iran's May 19 election, which could also help determine the next Supreme Leader.
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
After ISIS, the U.S. Military Could Help Keep Iraq Stable
A limited troop presence would support a strategy aimed at containing Iranian aggression.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey

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