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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
What to Expect From the State Department's Annual Counterterrorism Report
Areas of focus will likely include a damaged but still dangerous Islamic State, a regrouping al-Qaeda, and the wide network fielded by Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.
۱۸ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Ceasefire and U.S. Interests on the Jordan-Syria Border
By setting limits on Iranian deployments in southern Syria, Washington could insulate Jordan from problems on the border and encourage Iranian caution in the east, potentially decreasing the likelihood there of a U.S.-Iran clash.
۱۷ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump's Syrian Ceasefire Makes Israel Nervous
The tepid response to the deal by Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu can be summed up in one word: Iran.
۱۴ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
۱۴ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Yousif Kalian
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
۱۱ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Will the Gulf Crisis Blow Up the Middle East?
A discussion of what's at stake in the region, how to evaluate the situation, and the roles of Israel and Iran.
۱۱ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
۱۱ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Addressing Iranian Weapons Smuggling and the Humanitarian Situation in Yemen
Reenergized and more-targeted maritime interdiction operations could reduce Iranian support for the Houthis while helping respond to Yemen's humanitarian crisis.
۱۱ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Eric Pelofsky
  • Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
۱۰ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Putin Sideline and the Syria Conflict
Whatever the two leaders discuss at the G20 summit, the Trump administration must work urgently to develop a new Syria strategy that articulates a clear vision for the country's future and the U.S. readiness to protect it.
۶ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Qatar Crisis: Worst Case Scenarios
A dramatic response by Qatar could entail an appeal to the UN Security Council or, more dangerously, an attempt to play its military cards, both of which would carry risks for the United States.
۶ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Simmering Trouble in Oil-Rich Shia Area Complicates Riyadh's Concerns
Incidents in the town of al-Awamiyah are creating headaches for the Saudi leadership and adding to regional tensions.
۵ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
۵ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Is the Root of the Qatar Crisis
The Saudi-led bloc has made thirteen demands of Doha, but they're mostly about resolving one issue -- and time is almost up.
۲ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Embrace a New Saudi Arabia
The United States should work with Muhammad bin Salman, the new crown prince, as he pushes for change.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Tillerson's 'Peaceful' Regime Change for Iran:
Really? And What Comes Next?
Efforts by U.S. officials to identify or suggest support for anti-regime "elements" within Iran will only undermine any authenticity these elements previously enjoyed.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Eric Pelofsky
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
۲۲ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Trump Is on a Collision Course with Iran
The United States cannot defeat the Islamic State without first reckoning with Iran's nefarious role in Syria.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross

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