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Articles & Testimony
Russia and Iran Keep Growing Closer
Given their proven capacity for jointly disrupting Western imperatives in the Middle East, both countries should increasingly be treated as part of the same strategic set.
Jul 26, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
China Below the Radar: Israel-US Strategic Dialogue on Technology
Although the headlines were focused elsewhere, the president’s Israel-Saudi trip included statements, agreements, and newly announced inter-agency dialogues that imply deep implications for China policy.
Jul 26, 2022
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Assaf Orion
Shira Efron
Articles & Testimony
Drones and Resets: The New Era of Turkish Foreign Policy
The Ukraine war has not only reaffirmed Erdogan’s remarkable political survival skills, but also highlighted the degree to which Ankara’s improved diplomatic standing is traceable to its success in exporting an innovative drone-centered military operational approach.
Summer 2022
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Soner Cagaptay
Rich Outzen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Efforts to Undermine the Turkish-Israeli Rapprochement Are Backfiring
Iran’s efforts to target Israeli citizens on Turkish soil has brought Turkey and Israel closer together.
Jul 26, 2022
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Ali Bakir
Ömer Özkizilcik
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Impending Turkish Invasion: Repercussions for the SDF-Washington Relationship
A Turkish attack on northern Syria would bring new waves of internal displacement and increased humanitarian suffering, weaken the SDF and the Autonomous Administration, and erode these institutions’ the trust of the United States.
Jul 25, 2022
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Baraa Sabri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In the Power Struggle Between Sadr and Maliki, What Stream of Islamist Politics Will Prevail in Iraq?
As the feud between Sadr and Maliki takes an unprecedented turn, its result is likely to have an impact on the role of Shia Islamist parties in Iraq.
Jul 22, 2022
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Munqith Dagher
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Claiming Without Claiming: Iraqi Militia Responses to Turkish Attacks
Sabereen News has been operating as the clearinghouse for coverage of "resistance" strikes on Turkish targets, nodding to specific facade groups and hinting at future attacks inside Turkey.
Jul 22, 2022
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The COVID-19 Crisis: An Opportunity to Transition to a Post-Oil Economy
Oil resources have wrought unprecedented developments in Gulf society, but these successes have been tainted by what is known as the “oil curse.” The past several years have given the Gulf an opportunity to change this trajectory.
Jul 22, 2022
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Mohamed Bechri
Brief Analysis
How to Respond to China’s Growing Influence in the Gulf
Beijing’s use of intertwined civil and military tools in the Gulf mirrors its activity closer to home, but the West can readily counter this influence by capitalizing on the region’s desire for diversified partnerships.
Jul 21, 2022
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Louis Dugit-Gros
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Timeline of Tunisia's Constitutional Crisis and the U.S. Response
An infographic illustrating President Saied's controversial political moves since summer 2021 and the steps U.S. officials have taken to discourage authoritarian backsliding.
Jul 20, 2022
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Ben Fishman
Kyle Robertson
Brief Analysis
Will the Putin-Erdogan-Raisi Summit Spark a Turkish Incursion into Syria?
Moscow and Tehran may well assent to another cross-border operation, but Turkey’s choice of targets will depend on multiple U.S., Russian, and Iranian interests.
Jul 18, 2022
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Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The ‘Spin’ Doesn’t Tell the Full Story of Biden’s Middle East Trip
If there is good news on oil, it isn’t because of Riyadh’s ambiguous remarks about increasing the kingdom’s production capacity.
Jul 18, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Middle Eastern NATO Appears Necessary, but Not Yet Possible
While a military alliance with U.S. backing seems natural, necessary, and justified, the path to the establishment of a Middle Eastern NATO is barred by regional differences.
Jul 18, 2022
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Mohammad Abu Ghazleh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the Autonomous Administration Leadership and Civilians Will View a Turkish Incursion into Northeast Syria
With the threat of a Turkish incursion into Northeast Syria, the SDF weighs their options while the area’s civilians express their frustrations and concerns about all parties involved.
Jul 18, 2022
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Ishtar Al Shami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Public Opinion on Arab-Israeli Normalization and Abraham Accords
A recent poll indicates that though more Gulfis now disapprove of the Abraham Accords, undertones of warming sentiments towards allowing contacts with Israelis are also present.
Jul 15, 2022
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Dylan Kassin
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Poll Shows Gazans Pragmatic Now, But Not Long-Term
A new public opinion poll from Gaza shows some pragmatic, short-term moderation toward the U.S. and Israel over the past year, including opposition to Hamas policies. However, long-term views remain hardline, with few changes during the same period.
Jul 15, 2022
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David Pollock
Faris Almaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Biden in the Middle East: Opportunities and Challenges
A panel of veteran diplomats and scholars from the Gulf, Israel, and Washington discuss the trip’s goals and risks, as well as the president’s chances for success.
Jul 14, 2022
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Tamar Hermann
Dennis Ross
Ebtesam al-Ketbi
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?
The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.
Jul 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Time to Develop a Plan B for Syria Aid
Although alternatives to the UN mechanism carry uncertainties of their own, continuing the broken status quo will only boost Moscow, endanger Syrian civilians, and help the Assad regime avoid sanctions—not to mention whetting his appetite for natural gas shipments.
Jul 14, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
From Arabs and Israelis, Biden Hears Very Different “New” Middle Easts
The Gulf capitals and Jerusalem may not agree entirely on what “regional security cooperation” means or what an anti-Iran alliance should look like, but opportunities for other types of cooperation abound.
Jul 13, 2022
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David Makovsky
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