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Brief Analysis
Breaking the Stalemate in the Egypt-Ethiopia Dam Dispute
Cairo needs Washington's help to avoid a drastic, potentially destabilizing water shortage while advancing the negotiations with Ethiopia.
Aug 28, 2018
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Barak Barfi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Former Saudi and Iranian Diplomats Agree: The Region is Stuck
Saudi Arabia and Iran are not often presented as being ‘in dialogue.’ Yet on January 29, 2018, two former Saudi and Iranian diplomats discussed a host of key issues at the Joint Special Operations University in Tampa, Florida. Prince Turki al-Faisal Al-Saud of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Ambassador
Aug 27, 2018
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Andrew Ledford
Banafsheh Keynoush
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Druze Communities Face a Regional Decline in Influence
August 26, 2018 — Regional turmoil has forced the generally secretive Druze minority into the limelight. With its leaders losing the influence that has so far protected the community, the Druze must take seriously the threat of disappearing altogether.
Aug 24, 2018
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Mona Alami
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s Confusing Signals
A further delay in the Saudi Aramco sell-off adds to a growing picture of policy unpredictability.
Aug 24, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tel Aviv Protests: While Arabs and Jews Unite, Fake News Divides
On the night of August 11, tens of thousands of Arab-Israelis and Jewish-Israelis marched from Rabin Square to the plaza of the Tel Aviv Museum in central Tel Aviv, protesting the recently passed Nation State Law. The demonstrators held up placards demanding equality, justice, a repeal of the law, and
Aug 23, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Syrian Refugees in Turkey
The continued difficulty of integrating so many displaced people could make Ankara more amenable to a political solution that ends the war and allows large numbers of them to return home.
Aug 22, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Maya Yalkin
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's New Weapons and Naval Drills in the Gulf
Renewed naval exercises, missile tests, and other developments point to a broadening threat, but their muted nature indicates that Tehran is trying to avoid popular backlash at home.
Aug 21, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is it Time to Pursue Intra-Sunni Reconciliation?
Although there is little official confirmation, reports have emerged that the Sisi government and Muslim Brotherhood representatives have begun attempting a type of reconciliation. Bloomberg first reported in February that the Egyptian government sought reconciliation in order to offset internal differences between the government and former members of the military
Aug 20, 2018
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Dani Tahrawi
Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
Aug 20, 2018
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Nadav Ben Hour
Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey Sanctions: Navigating a Historic Bilateral Crisis
Three experts examine the past drivers and near-term consequences of Washington’s rapidly escalating diplomatic conflict with Ankara.
Aug 17, 2018
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Amanda Sloat
Max Hoffman
Steven Cook
Brief Analysis
Iran's Passive Defense Organization: Another Target for Sanctions
Despite its nominal defense role, the NPDO has helped the regime repress citizens online, a function that Washington should counter with sanctions.
Aug 16, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Economy May Be in Freefall, But Erdogan’s Base Believes He Can Do No Wrong
The president has cultivated an adoring crowd of inflexible ‘Erdoganists’ who feed on the politics of resentment and reject Ataturk’s pro-Western legacy entirely.
Aug 16, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
'Futurism' is Shaping up as an Alternative to Islamism, and It May Need to Be Protected from Its Champions
The nation-state system in the Middle East is almost a century old and has now witnessed the rise and fall of four “grand narratives”—Modernism, Arab Nationalism, Revolutionary Socialism, and Islamism. These were frameworks that shaped cultural and political understandings of current conditions, as well as the path towards the narratives’
Aug 16, 2018
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Cultural Freedoms are Possible in Syria—But Not Political Autonomy
From their establishment in 1957 up to the present time, Kurdish political movements in Syria have focused on demanding national rights for the Kurds, couching cultural rights within a package of political demands. With the outbreak of the Syrian revolt in 2011, the emergence of armed conflict, and the resulting
Aug 16, 2018
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Hussain Zaidou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Needs a Leader with Vision
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the Iraqi state has successfully weathered a series of security crises that united the public against a common enemy. For example, during the war with the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Iraqis from different backgrounds joined forces and rallied behind the
Aug 16, 2018
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Hamzeh Hadad
Muhammad Al-Waeli
Brief Analysis
Setting Limits on the Saudi Air Campaign in Yemen
The United States can greatly reduce civilian deaths by asking the Saudis to cease non-battlefield airstrikes in return for greater U.S. support on defensive arrangements.
Aug 16, 2018
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
Aug 15, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Attacks Moderates as Source of Iran's Problems
Hardliners have been exploiting the recurrent unrest as an excuse to lambaste the government’s economic track record, interfere with its prerogatives in various sectors, and double down on the Supreme Leader’s 'resistance' strategy.
Aug 15, 2018
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Royal Family Politics Could Resolve Saudi Spat with Canada
The king has refused to be sidelined during the crown prince’s other recent instances of overreach, so he may intervene in this episode as well.
Aug 15, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Seeing Saudi Changes Up Close: A Week's Worth of Surprises
The Saudi kingdom’s grinding proxy war against Iran and its allies in Yemen, its long-delayed decision to grant women the right to drive, and most recently its bizarre feud with Canada over arrested Saudi dissidents have all captured international attention and propelled much heated discussion about the country’s internal affairs
Aug 13, 2018
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David Pollock
Pagination
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