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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hanging in the Balance: East Jerusalemite Population Balances Israeli Benefits with Palestinian Alignment in Newest Poll
An October 2018 poll of Palestinian residents of East Jerusalem confirms a sharp shift against integration with Israel in the past two years. This surprising result was first reported based on our May 2017 survey, with the trend continuing towards Palestinian nationalism. In stark contrast to previous polls conducted as
Jan 24, 2019
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Cecilia Panella
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Security Threats on the Tunisia-Libya Border
The French military’s Maginot line—built during the 1930s in order to prevent the inevitable German invasion—is a classic example of how a false sense of security led to failed strategic planning. Lesser known is the Mareth Line of the same period, built in Tunisia to defend the French protectorate against
Jan 24, 2019
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Dhia Otay
Brief Analysis
Pushing Back on Iran in Syria: Beyond the ‘Boots’
Apart from its military intervention, Tehran has pursued a wide range of economic and social tactics for increasing its sway in Syria, but Washington can still push back with targeted assistance, innovative sanctions, and strategic messaging.
Jan 22, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Political and Legal Challenges in the Next Elections
For now, he is sticking with the tried-and-true formula of emphasizing his security pedigree, but looming indictments could change his campaign narrative and coalition-building strategy.
Jan 22, 2019
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Now Trump’s Shutdown Threatens Israel’s Security
The last remaining thread of U.S.-Palestinian ties is the American-trained PA security forces, but Washington is about to cut them off.
Jan 21, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Russia in the Middle East: Is There an Endgame?
The Kremlin often becomes more aggressive abroad to help shore up its legitimacy at home, so it may be more than happy to maintain a permanent state of low-level, managed conflict in the region.
Jan 20, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Is Chechnya Putin’s Blueprint for Syria?
If recent history is any indicator, ceding further ground to Russia virtually guarantees that the conflict will keep simmering for years to come.
Jan 18, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Amazigh Cultural Renaissance
Indigenous to North Africa, the Amazigh people, sometimes known as Berbers, have spent decades fighting for cultural recognition in the predominantly-Arab region. For years, Amazigh activists have been engaged in a battle against oppressive policies while also trying to promote measures that would help preserve Amazigh identity. Central to past
Jan 18, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Brief Analysis
Gulf Cyber Cooperation with Israel: Balancing Threats and Rights
The provision of powerful cyber tools is important for national security in the Gulf states, but it has reportedly opened the door to human rights abuses.
Jan 17, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Democratic Critics Are in Danger of Following His Lead
They need to do more than reject his foreign policy rhetoric—they need to break with its substance.
Jan 16, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Pompeo’s Cairo Speech More ‘Back to the Future’ Than Break With Past
The administration should focus more on amplifying the voices of regional citizens while convincingly standing against collective threats.
Jan 16, 2019
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Ben Fishman
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of Urban Fighting in Hodeida
The Saudi-led coalition would face several tactical and diplomatic challenges if full-scale fighting resumes on the coast, so it may seek a gradual, low-profile reduction of the Houthi presence.
Jan 15, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Government Formation in the KRG: A Perilously Slow Process
On January 9, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited Erbil, where he underscored the value of the United States' “longstanding friendship” with the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and emphasized his government’s support for the dialog between KRG and the federal government in Baghdad. The Kurdistan Region’s election took place
Jan 14, 2019
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Farhad Alaaldin
Brief Analysis
Saudi Security Forces Kill Shia Militants Near Major Oil Facilities
Coming the same week as Secretary Pompeo’s Middle East tour, the incident is a powerful example of the regional threat posed by Iran.
Jan 10, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Withdrawal in Syria: Tracking Israeli and Iranian Media Responses
Just as President Trump’s announced decision to withdraw troops from Syria has garnered intense analysis from American media, the media outlets of regional actors involved in Syria are similarly occupied discussing likely scenarios for the country's future. In surveying the media responses of Iran and Israel—countries who have indirectly clashed
Jan 10, 2019
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Tamuz Avivi
Arjan Ganji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Potential Outcomes of the Sudanese Uprising
Despite limited media coverage of the uprising in Sudan and the Omar al-Bashir regime’s subsequent efforts at repression, the popularity of these uprisings is increasing day by day, spreading across many of the largest cities in the country. The dominating chant of "The people want to overthrow the regime"—echoing earlier
Jan 9, 2019
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Maged Atef
Articles & Testimony
It’s Time for a Serious Saudi-Houthi Back Channel
Riyadh has leverage to undermine Iran’s project in Yemen and can do so alongside UN-brokered peace talks.
Jan 9, 2019
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Barbara A. Leaf
Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Beijing’s Curious Silence on the Syria Withdrawal
China likely hoped to find economic opportunities in Syria's reconstruction—yet another example of how it relies on the security umbrella provided by U.S. troops in international conflict zones.
Jan 8, 2019
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
What Trump Means by ‘America First’
In a world where major threats require help from partners, uncertainty about U.S. leadership does not make America safer.
Jan 8, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Trump Departs Syria: An Israeli Perspective
Jerusalem seeks to mitigate the potential risks of the president’s decision by shaping its implementation and obtaining U.S. security guarantees, though long-term concerns still loom.
Jan 8, 2019
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Michael Herzog
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