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Video
Brief Analysis
Preventing Domestic Terrorism: The DHS Approach and the New U.S. Strategy
The Department of Homeland Security’s assistant secretary for counterterrorism and threat prevention discusses why the agency and its partners need to focus on nimble, transparent responses to the problem, with an emphasis on prevention efforts via the newly formed CP3.
Jun 23, 2021
◆
John D. Cohen
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Raisi Did Not Win, Reformers Lost
Mass support for reformists has disappeared among Iran’s severely disenchanted electorate, leaving Hemmati and his circle with little means of avoiding dismal turnout and vote tallies.
Jun 22, 2021
◆
Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Accidental Allies:
The US–Syrian Democratic Forces Partnership Against the Islamic State
To some, America's partnership with the SDF exemplified an economy-of-force effort that minimized U.S. casualties and wrested control of northeast Syria from the Islamic State. To others, it was a cautionary tale about a U.S. military hoodwinked into working with a terrorist group.
Jun 22, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Articles & Testimony
A One-State Solution Is Unworkable
The road to two states is arduous, but the one-state path guarantees endless bloodshed and is not something the Biden administration intends to pursue.
Jun 21, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Making Libya’s Berlin Process Work
To break the political deadlock, begin the withdrawal of disruptive foreign forces, and deploy ceasefire monitors, U.S. officials will need to hold some hard conversations with the UN envoy and all of the international and local actors on the ground.
Jun 21, 2021
◆
Ben Fishman
Anas El Gomati
Articles & Testimony
The Biden Administration’s Formula Suggests an Aspiration and a Direction
No one is going to invest in massive Gaza reconstruction unless there is a credible mechanism for ensuring that Hamas does not divert the bulk of this material for military purposes.
Jun 21, 2021
◆
Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Iraqi Muqawama Are Feeling Isolated and Threatened
The brazen approach taken by "resistance" factions in recent weeks was designed to undermine the government, but it is now coming back to hurt them.
Jun 19, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Affirmations of Support and Rituals of Jihadi Martyrdoms
As eulogies for a recently slain militia figure spread online, they highlighted the differences between major jihadi organizations and revealed the solid local roots HTS has formed in northwest Syria.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Promoting Sovereignty and Accountability in Iraq:
Guidelines for the Biden Administration
The complexity of Iraq’s challenges might prompt some U.S. officials to balk, but a constructive policy can help advance both Iraqi and American interests in areas ranging from counterterrorism to economic development.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
Bilal Wahab
◆
Transition 2021
Brief Analysis
From Rouhani to Raisi: Pressing Questions on the Eve of Iran’s Election
With Ebrahim Raisi’s road to the presidency seemingly paved, the regime has been working to prevent low voter turnout and give him a vote of confidence through a landslide win.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
Omer Carmi
Video
Brief Analysis
The Last Vote? Obstacles to Renewing UN Cross-Border Assistance in Syria
Amid talk of a potential new Security Council resolution, veteran diplomats and aid practitioners debate the future of humanitarian assistance to needy Syrians.
Jun 16, 2021
◆
James Jeffrey
Basma Alloush
Carsten Wieland
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gaza, Qatar, and the UAE: The Abraham Accords After Operation Guardian of the Walls
The Abraham Accords seem to have neither obfuscated not strengthened the Palestinian cause.
Jun 16, 2021
◆
Yoel Guzansky
Yohanan Tzoreff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Crisis in Relations Between Jews and Arabs in Israel: Can the Rift Be Healed?
Without genuine, serious introspection, any resolution to the current tensions between Arabs and Jews in Israel will likely be superficial.
Jun 16, 2021
◆
Michael Milshtein
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Atlantic Voyage: Implications of Naval Deployments to Venezuela or Syria
The maiden voyage may just be a token political and training mission to boost morale—or the first step in sending long-range missiles, drones, fast-attack boats, and other materiel to Tehran’s allies in the Caribbean or Mediterranean.
Jun 15, 2021
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Sword of Jerusalem vs. Guardian of the Walls: Gaza and the Next Lebanon War
The military particulars of the clash between Hamas and IDF doctrines reveal much common ground with potential future conflicts involving the other members of Iran’s “axis of resistance.”
Jun 15, 2021
◆
Assaf Orion
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali's Show of Independence
The militia leader is positioning himself as Iran's equal and close partner, aspiring to comparisons with Hassan Nasrallah and Abdul-Malik al-Houthi.
Jun 14, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Inevitable Rearmament of Hamas
Hamas is using the rubble and unexploded ordnance from Israeli strikes to re-arm, and new, bold ideas are needed to prevent the continuation of recurring cycles of violence and rearmament.
Jun 14, 2021
◆
Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib
Audio
Brief Analysis
Decision Points Podcast: Season 3
Israel’s Challenging Policy Dilemmas
This season of the Decision Points podcast with host David Makovsky focuses on challenging Israeli policy dilemmas.
Jun 14, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
◆
Decision Points Podcast
Articles & Testimony
The Mediterranean Should Be on Joe Biden’s Mind When He Meets Putin
Despite its consistent rhetoric toward Moscow, the administration has not yet demonstrated its strategic understanding that ceding too much operating space to Russia will hurt U.S. efforts to confront China.
Jun 14, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Russia Signals Biden with Attack on Syrian Jihadist Group
Washington is no ally of HTS, but it should realize that Russian strikes against the group are aimed squarely at foiling U.S. objectives in Geneva, including the effort to maintain cross-border aid.
Jun 11, 2021
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
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