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Brief Analysis
As the Renaissance Dam Comes Online, the U.S. Mediation Role Needs Clarity
Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan were unable to agree on crucial water-sharing rights in the fraught years leading up to the GERD’s inauguration, raising the specter of escalating tensions unless the Trump administration engages more actively.
Sep 17, 2025
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Areig Elhag
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
After Snapback, Washington Needs to Prepare for Iranian Escalation in the Gulf
Given Tehran’s long record of using maritime provocations to counter increased international pressure, the United States and its partners must be ready to respond swiftly and forcefully against ship seizures, mine warfare, suicide drones, and more.
Sep 16, 2025
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Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
The Abraham Accords at Five Years: Resilience and Roadblocks
A panel of former ambassadors and decorated journalists discuss the impact of the landmark normalization agreement and what its future holds given ongoing hostilities in Gaza and growing Arab-Israeli diplomatic turmoil.
Sep 16, 2025
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David Makovsky
Yael Lempert
Amir Hayek
Victoria Coates
Ahdeya al-Sayed
Brief Analysis
A Snapshot of Israel’s Deepening Diplomatic Isolation: Comparing Key UNGA Votes, 2017-2025
The voting patterns highlight Israel’s worsening international isolation, with even some of its longtime defenders leaving the fold.
Sep 15, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Freeing Libya’s Locked-Up Oil Reserves
Restoring the oil-for-fuel program would avert a near-term crisis and potentially provide a platform for more ambitious reform—though it is unlikely to succeed without greater transparency, international monitoring, and subsidy changes.
Sep 14, 2025
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Joseph Hammond
Brief Analysis
What Russian Oil Flows Reveal About Syria and Lebanon’s Energy Sectors
Greater U.S. attention to oil and trade dynamics in Syria and Lebanon can help prevent adversarial states like Russia and illicit networks from exploiting weaknesses there.
Sep 11, 2025
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Resilience and Roadblocks:
The Abraham Accords at Five Years
The architecture behind Arab-Israel normalization has survived the war years, but expansion to other countries will require a credible embrace of diplomacy, along with regional collaboration to shape Gaza’s future.
Sep 11, 2025
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israel Strikes Qatar: Implications for Gaza Diplomacy, Gulf Relations, and U.S. Policy
A compilation of Washington Institute views on the fallout of the targeted strike on Hamas leaders in Doha, including what the United States and its partners can do to translate this latest Israeli military surprise into beneficial political achievements.
Sep 10, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Elizabeth Dent
Simon Henderson
David Makovsky
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Recognizing “Palestine”: Rationale, Expectations, Implications
Join us for an expert webcast regarding the latest international push to recognize Palestinian statehood amid the ongoing UN General Assembly meetings. Watch live starting at 12:00 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT) on Thursday, September 18, 2025.
September 18, 2025, starting at 12 noon EDT (1600 GMT)
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Tal Becker
Samer Sinijlawi
Isabelle Lasserre
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Pivot to the Gulf
The Gulf might be “the New Middle East,” but Washington should not forget that problems in “the Old Middle East” still set much of the regional agenda, raising the need for more consistent American engagement.
Sep 9, 2025
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Trump Is Confirming, and Upending, US Middle East Policy
After seven months, the administration has shown that it is not isolationist, but it clearly prefers to rely much more heavily on regional partners than its predecessors did.
Sep 9, 2025
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
When the UAE Says “No” to Israeli Annexation, What Does It Mean?
Washington should urgently heed Abu Dhabi’s warning—not only because it comes from such a close U.S.-Israeli partner, but also because of the major regional fallout it heralds if unilateral annexations proceed in the West Bank.
Sep 9, 2025
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Ghaith al-Omari
Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
Without a Hezbollah Disarmament Deadline, Lebanon Should Face Repercussions
The government and military’s decision to seize the group’s weapons is unprecedented and welcome—but it won’t mean anything without a clear and viable timeline for implementation, especially as political maneuvering for next year’s election begins.
Sep 8, 2025
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Houthis Are Entering a Dangerous Escalation Cycle
Despite their confident saber rattling, both sides face real constraints that could impede their operational goals, and their actions increase the risks to maritime security, energy exports, and broader regional stability.
Sep 5, 2025
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April Longley Alley
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Reconstitution Options
Iran’s leaders have several paths to restoring or reconfiguring their nuclear program—some more realistic or risky than others—so Washington should focus on shaping which route they choose rather than discounting the possibility altogether.
Sep 4, 2025
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Richard Nephew
Articles & Testimony
A Charade in Academic Garb
Genocide scholars lent their reputation to an indictment of Israel that was less a serious inquiry than a parade of previously debunked claims and disgraced “experts.”
Sep 2, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Kais Saied Appears to Be in the Driver’s Seat...For Now
Although Tunisia's president maintains an illusion of full control, labor unrest and voter apathy are mounting, making him more dependent on a small and potentially fragile circle of internal security institutions.
Aug 29, 2025
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Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Snapback Sanctions Hit Iran
Actually enforcing them will require hard work by Western diplomats and experts in the face of opposition from Tehran, Beijing, and Moscow.
Aug 29, 2025
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Michael Singh
Richard Nephew
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Disarming Hezbollah: Much Talk, Little Action
President Aoun has promised Washington that he will begin confiscating Hezbollah’s weapons soon, but he is delivering a different message to the group and its political allies.
August 2025
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Syrian Citizenship for Foreign Fighters? U.S. Red Lines and Nuances
Any proposal for granting citizenship to such fighters must be careful, clear, and firm in how it addresses various complexities, including international concerns about external security threats, Syria’s stability, and the post-Assad accountability process.
Aug 27, 2025
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Devorah Margolin
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