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U.S. Policy

Policy Analysis on U.S. Policy

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Articles & Testimony
Forecasting U.S.-UAE Relations Under the New Biden Administration
From addressing Iranian threats to mending rifts with Qatar and Turkey, the sound bilateral partnership on regional issues will likely thrive in the Biden era, albeit with some marginal adjustments by both governments.
Dec 1, 2020
◆
  • David Pollock
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Speech Sets the Boundaries of Engagement with the West
In his first major address since Joe Biden’s election, the Supreme Leader downplayed the prospect of negotiating an end to U.S. sanctions, instead urging Iranian officials to focus on increasing the country’s self-reliance and solving its deep economic problems.
Nov 30, 2020
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  • Omer Carmi
In-Depth Reports
Iran's 2021 Presidential Vote and the Tightening of Regime Control
Joe Biden's victory in America may herald a measure of de-escalation with Iran, but the Supreme Leader is unlikely to be moved. Ayatollah Khamenei does not really distinguish between Democratic and Republican intentions—after all, he agreed to a nuclear deal with the Obama administration only to see President Trump tear
Nov 23, 2020
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
How Biden Can Restore America’s Role Abroad
Doing so means finding the right mix of hard and soft power, creating new mechanisms with democratic allies, and answering hard questions about various countries and conflicts in the Middle East.
Nov 20, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Cairo’s Concerns About a Biden Presidency
Egyptian leaders fear that his administration will openly confront them on human rights and enable an Islamist resurgence, but the outlook is brighter for engagement on Turkey, Israel, and other issues.
Nov 18, 2020
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  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Biden Can’t Avoid Erdogan, But He Can Keep the U.S.-Turkish Relationship on Track
Turkey’s leader has caused many headaches in Washington in recent years, but letting ties deteriorate further would be disastrous.
Nov 17, 2020
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  • Michael Singh
  • Sinan Ulgen
Articles & Testimony
On Israel-Palestine, Biden Is Not Just Another Version of Obama
A veteran Israeli official explains how the next administration will differ from its predecessors and why immediate consultations between Biden and Netanyahu’s teams are crucial.
Nov 9, 2020
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
America Votes, the Middle East Reacts: Views on U.S. Elections from Across the Region
Experts from the Gulf, Egypt, Turkey, and Israel respond to the initial voting results and discuss factors that may help or hinder the next administration.
Nov 9, 2020
◆
  • Abdulrahman al-Rashed
  • Mohamed Anwar E. al-Sadat
  • Asli Aydintasbas
  • David Horovitz
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Needs Europe to End the ‘Forever Wars’ in the Middle East
The election and other factors provide an opportunity to design a humbler but smarter transatlantic approach to the Middle East.
Nov 6, 2020
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  • Charles Thépaut
Brief Analysis
What Does Iran’s Supreme Leader Expect from the Next U.S. President?
Ayatollah Khamenei is wholly focused on preserving the political system he has so painstakingly built, but trends suggest a shaky Iranian future regardless of who wins the U.S. election.
Oct 23, 2020
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Keeping Down a Diminished Islamic State: The Prospect of an October Surprise Attack
The relatively low risk underscores the importance of Washington’s continued pressure to curtail the jihadist group’s strike capability outside its areas of operation.
Oct 20, 2020
◆
  • Ido Levy
In-Depth Reports
Prospects for Syrian Kurdish Unity: Assessing Local and Regional Dynamics
In October 2019, the U.S. troop withdrawal and subsequent Turkish invasion of northern Syria upended Kurdish plans in the region. But a year later, the major Syrian Kurdish rivals—the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and Kurdish National Council (KNC)—are coming together after a lengthy estrangement. This past June, representatives from the
Oct 19, 2020
◆
  • Sirwan Kajjo
Brief Analysis
Tehran Eyes Lifting of Arms Embargo
The regime senses a major win in the forthcoming move, perceiving an isolated and weakened United States and opportunities for escalation on many fronts.
Oct 16, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Risks of the Palestinian Authority’s Outreach to Qatar and Turkey
Recent gestures, which have included reconciliation talks with Hamas, could strengthen the PA’s Gaza-based rival, further strain relations with its traditional Arab allies, and spur elections with destabilizing results.
Oct 13, 2020
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Washington Confuses Tactics with Strategy: The Perils of Shuttering the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad
In threatening the closure, the U.S. administration is undermining the reform-minded Iraqi prime minister’s efforts against Iran-backed militias and risking Baghdad’s relationship with Washington.
Oct 9, 2020
◆
  • Dana Stroul
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Barbara A. Leaf
Video
Brief Analysis
An October Surprise with Iran? Calculations and Policy Implications
Three experts on Iranian politics and strategy assess the possibilities of last-minute dramatic developments between the two adversaries before the U.S. election.
Oct 8, 2020
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Ariane Tabatabai
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Were Iran and the United States Really ‘On the Brink’? Observations on Gray Zone Conflict
Tehran’s entire modus operandi is designed to pressure Washington and its allies but avoid all-out conflict, and distorting this reality so close to a U.S. election will only hinder an effective policy response.
Sep 27, 2020
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Pushing Back on Iraqi Militias: Weighing U.S. Options
Although halting the escalation of militia attacks on American personnel is crucial, simply evacuating the Baghdad embassy and downscaling the bilateral relationship would allow Iran to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.
Sep 25, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
How to Balance Competing Priorities with an F-35 Sale to the UAE
The sale offers strategic opportunities at a time of pivoting U.S. policy, and the concerns raised in Washington and abroad can be addressed through deliberate technical limitations, financing restrictions, offsetting benefits for Israel, and other measures.
Sep 23, 2020
◆
  • Christine McVann
Brief Analysis
Britain in Oman: Washington’s Strategic Partner
London is investing heavily in supporting its relationship with Muscat, not least because Omani mediation can often be more effective than its own in fostering regional stability and security.
Sep 18, 2020
◆
  • Jonathan Campbell-James

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