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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
The Erbil Shooting: Implications for U.S.-Turkish Policy
If the PKK is confirmed as the perpetrator, Ankara will almost surely launch retaliation in Iraq or Syria, and Washington will have little choice but to stand aside.
Jul 18, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Thirteen Years Since the Hezbollah-Israel War
On the anniversary of the 2006 conflict, a former IDF chief of staff assesses current power dynamics, risks, and opportunities along Israel’s northern borders.
Jul 8, 2019
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  • Gadi Eisenkot
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Humanitarian Time Bomb in Idlib
As the latest regime offensive continues, hundreds of thousands of civilians are fleeing to overcrowded border camps, furthering Assad’s strategy of emptying as much of the Sunni Arab population as possible.
Jun 28, 2019
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?
Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.
Jun 21, 2019
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  • Michel Duclos
  • Robert Ford
Brief Analysis
China’s Middle East Policy: Speak Softly and Wave a Large Purse
An Israeli analyst shares observations from an intensive round of discussions with senior Chinese military, diplomatic, and academic officials.
Jun 17, 2019
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the U.S.-Russia Meeting in Jerusalem
Ultimately, no deal is better than a bad deal, and Moscow’s track record in Syria suggests it is both unable and unwilling to keep Iran out.
Jun 12, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Are Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah Trying to Reprise Syria in Venezuela?
U.S. rivals are diversifying their support for the Maduro government in familiar fashion, whether to parry the United States, exploit the crisis for profit, or both.
May 23, 2019
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  • Jay Solomon
Maps & Graphics
The Shia Militia Mapping Project
Explore a comprehensive interactive map of Shia militias across the Middle East, charting their location, movements, ties to Iran, and involvements in conflicts in Iraq and Syria.
May 20, 2019
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  • Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
If Syria Safe-Zone Talks Fail: How the SDF Might Respond to Turkish Intervention
The Kurdish-led force cannot hold the northeast on its own, and withdrawing coalition support would bolster Assad and Moscow’s interests.
May 17, 2019
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  • John Holland-McCowan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
No More Turkish Veto on Idlib Offensive?
Ankara’s calculations about the rebel province appear to have shifted, though it still hopes to use the situation as leverage for constraining the YPG and preventing another refugee influx.
May 14, 2019
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Moscow in the Middle East and North Africa
To counter Russia’s long game, Washington must show its willingness to compete by maintaining a credible regional presence, crafting a clearer message about its intentions, and moving beyond sanctions.
May 9, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Don't Pull Back from the Middle East
Safeguarding America’s widely agreed interests in the Middle East requires a substantial presence, as does the region’s tendency to export insecurity.
Apr 16, 2019
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Iran Dynamics: A Proxy, Not a Partner
As U.S. pressure on Tehran heats up, many in Beirut, Washington, and Europe will argue that the group is still an independent actor, but past and recent evidence shows otherwise.
Apr 12, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Post–July 15 Turkish Military:
Operations Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch
After Turkey’s July 2016 failed military uprising, the leadership initiated purges and reforms aimed at ensuring the military’s future loyalty, but raising questions about the operational efficiency and effectiveness of the newly configured Turkish Armed Forces. Two subsequent cross-border operations into northern Syria provide valuable insight: Operation Euphrates Shield, lasting
Mar 26, 2019
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  • Metin Gurcan
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Procurement Channels: Leveraging Criminal Networks and Partnering with Iran
A February visit to Tehran by Syrian president Bashar al-Assad showcased just how close the Qods Force-Hezbollah alliance is when it comes to acquiring weapons.
Mar 21, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey’s Local Elections Matter
Many major jurisdictions are up for grabs, with potentially weighty foreign policy implications if Erdogan maintains his current coalition’s hardline nationalist trajectory.
Mar 20, 2019
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  • Murat Yetkin
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
Mar 6, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Soner Cagaptay
Syrian flag over a ruined building destroyed by bombing
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction
Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.
Feb 28, 2019
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  • Jomana Qaddour
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
Feb 27, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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