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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Urban Missile Factories Put Civilians at Risk
Even if exposing missile sites does not convince the group to dismantle them, it would at least counter the narrative that ‘resistance’ is good for the Lebanese people and economy.
Oct 4, 2018
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Syria Downs a Russian Plane: What Next?
Despite Russia’s anger and false media claims about the incident, Moscow is unlikely to demand that Israel halt its campaign against Iran’s foreign military buildup.
Sep 21, 2018
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  • Assaf Orion
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Ending Yemen’s War Without Perpetuating a ‘Southern Hezbollah’
If the West could go back in time and prevent Hezbollah from becoming a powerhouse, they would do so in a heartbeat, so they should not miss a similar opportunity with the Houthis.
Sep 12, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
A man manipulates cables on a bank of internet data servers - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries
What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?
Sep 1, 2018
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  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's New Weapons and Naval Drills in the Gulf
Renewed naval exercises, missile tests, and other developments point to a broadening threat, but their muted nature indicates that Tehran is trying to avoid popular backlash at home.
Aug 21, 2018
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
Aug 15, 2018
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran Is at a Strategic Crossroads Again
As the regime’s strategy for countering the Trump administration continues to falter, will its traditional two-step of provocation and restraint give way to wider escalation?
Jul 25, 2018
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
What the Stolen Iranian Nuclear Secrets Do, and Don’t, Reveal
The Israeli revelations make the argument for sticking with the nuclear accord much more difficult to sustain.
Jul 17, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 2): Shaping Tehran’s Response
Tehran will likely resort to measured countermoves in the nuclear domain at first, but successful U.S. pressure could spur it to challenge JCPOA limits, take action in non-nuclear domains, or push back against U.S. and allied forces.
Jul 17, 2018
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 1): Lessons from Past Pressure Campaigns
Tehran has generally responded to pressure by issuing threats, ramping up its nuclear activities, accepting temporary limits, and, when the heat is turned up, launching cyber, military, and terrorist operations.
Jul 16, 2018
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
North Korea in the Middle East: A Dangerous Military Supply Line
Pyongyang has long threatened U.S. regional allies and interests with military support for terrorists, militias, and hostile regimes. Can a potential bilateral deal sever these supply lines?
Jun 12, 2018
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  • Anthony Ruggiero
  • Kongdan Oh
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Model: Japan or North Korea?
Given Tehran’s threat to scale up its enrichment efforts, how far might its nuclear program go post-JCPOA, and what lessons might it draw from U.S. discussions with Pyongyang?
Jun 8, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
When the Ayatollah Cried Mouse
Khamenei’s Ramadan speech combined explicit attacks on the United States, implicit criticism of Rouhani’s approach, and excessive demands on Europe, seemingly bracing the regime for one of the toughest challenges of his thirty-year rule.
May 25, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Video
Brief Analysis
The Gulf's View on Washington's Plan B for Iran
Can Washington turn its Arab partners' favorable rhetoric on the administration's new Iran policy into concrete actions to curb Tehran's regional adventurism? Join us for an expert conversation and live webcast on Tuesday, June 5.
May 23, 2018
◆
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Ali Shihabi
Video
Brief Analysis
The JCPOA Decision: Managing Reactions, Evaluating Sanctions
An expert panel assesses sanctions and the future of U.S. Iran strategy in light of the Trump administration's exit from the nuclear deal.
May 18, 2018
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Here's What Trump Should Do Post-Nuke Deal
The United States must explain to its allies how withdrawing from the Iran deal fits into a larger strategy for the Middle East.
May 17, 2018
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Trump Broke Iran Policy. Let Him Fix It.
The administration doesn’t seem to have a day-after strategy for drawing the Europeans back into the fold after essentially rejecting months of negotiations with them.
May 11, 2018
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  • Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Technical Implications of Trump’s JCPOA Announcement
Now that the nuclear deal is off, Iran’s next steps will be shaped at least in part by the technical capabilities of its enrichment program and related efforts.
May 9, 2018
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Is Washington Too Focused on Iran’s Nuclear Program?
What the United States really needs is a new Iran policy, not just a nuclear policy—and the will to roll up its sleeves and carry it out.
May 9, 2018
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Intel Coup Actually Provides Good Arguments for Staying in the Iran Nuclear Deal
Historically, outside pressure on Iran has been most effective when Washington acts with its allies rather than on its own, and the recent intelligence revelations support the former path.
May 5, 2018
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  • Dennis Ross

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome was a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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