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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Iraqi prime minister Mohammed Shia' Al Sudani in 2022 - source: Wikimedia Commons
Brief Analysis
What Biden and Sudani Need to Start the Next Chapter of U.S.-Iraq Relations
To move beyond the years-long focus on Iran and the Islamic State, both leaders must commit to actions that set the table for a mutually beneficial relationship and convince skeptical domestic constituencies.
Apr 11, 2024
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Bilal Wahab
Arqab
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Islamic Resistance in Iraq and Sabereen Highlight Anti-Israel Cruise Missile Strikes
IRI is making up for its inability to strike U.S. sites by making louder claims of more sophisticated attacks on Israel, and Sabereen News seems freer to amplify these claims.
Apr 11, 2024
◆
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Abu Fadak
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi PMF Chief of Staff Commits to Fulfill Iranian Supreme Leader's Plans
Abu Fadak laid bare the limited extent to which his organization is under Prime Minister Sudani's sovereign control, instead identifying Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei as his commander-in-chief.
Apr 8, 2024
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  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Assad and Khamenei
Articles & Testimony
Two Israeli Air Strikes, and Two Syrian Mothers and Sons
The remarkable precision of Israeli attacks on Iranian and Hezbollah operatives in Syria has raised anxiety in Damascus and abroad.
Apr 8, 2024
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Will Israel Find the Right Type of “Victory” in Gaza?
Officials are having to balance military realities, allied concerns, domestic public sentiment, and the calculations of Hamas, whose own leaders are fine with certain kinds of “defeat” so long as they can still influence Gaza.
Apr 5, 2024
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Graffiti on a villa that was used as IS base, Sinjar old city
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Continuing Threat of ISIS in Iraq after the Withdrawal of the International Coalition
Without active and continuous deterrence, ISIS forces may look to take advantage of the deteriorating security and governance situation in areas formerly under their control.
Apr 4, 2024
◆
  • Omar Dhabian
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
Curbing Outside Intervention in the Sudan War
Diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict are being challenged by U.S. partners and adversaries alike, including key Middle East players.
Apr 4, 2024
◆
  • Jonathan Campbell-James
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Brief Analysis
G42 and the China-UAE-U.S. Triangle
By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.
Apr 3, 2024
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  • Andrew G. Clemmensen
  • Rebecca Redlich
  • Grant Rumley
Askari Jordan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Options for Iraq's Axis of Resistance Players (Part 2): Opening the Jordan Front
With Nujaba seemingly leading on Israel strikes, Kataib Hezbollah is signaling its intended leadership of destabilizing activities in Jordan, an increasingly important base for U.S. forces.
Apr 3, 2024
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Shahed-101 drone
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Options for Iraq's Axis of Resistance Players (Part 1): Attacks on Israel
Nujaba is signaling that it was the key player in nearly twenty strikes on Israel after the "resistance" halted attacks on U.S. bases in February.
Apr 3, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
A photo illustration depicts Israeli and Palestinian flags - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Changing the Israel-Lebanon Status Quo: U.S. Options
From exploring land border talks to boosting Israel’s arsenal and recasting UNIFIL, Washington should do more to slow what may be an inevitable slide toward war on this front.
Apr 1, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker
Chart illustrating trends in Gaza fatality statistics.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Gaza Fatality Data Has Become Completely Unreliable
Given the discrepancies in official Palestinian counts and their growing reliance on questionable data from media reports, the credibility gaps revealed by a previous Washington Institute study have become yawning chasms.
Mar 26, 2024
◆
  • Gabriel Epstein
Hisham al-Hashemi poster held up by protestors
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hisham al-Hashimi’s Killer Escapes Justice
A Kataib Hezbollah hit man was acquitted of all charges despite convincing evidence that he murdered the famous Iraqi commentator and civil society activist.
Mar 22, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Washington and Europe Need to Get on the Same Page Regarding Iran’s Nuclear Progress
The latest IAEA report shows why the West must refocus on Tehran’s nuclear program, which continues to expand even as international will to address it seemingly declines.
Mar 21, 2024
◆
  • Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Five Years Later: Persistent Threats, U.S. Options
A U.S. counterterrorism envoy reviews the progress made after five years of fighting the group and explains Washington’s thinking on where the global coalition goes from here.
Mar 21, 2024
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  • Ian McCary
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Five Years After the Caliphate, Too Much Remains the Same in Northeast Syria
Islamic State fighters and affiliates detained there remain a regional threat that the international community must resolve in order to prevent a future resurgence.
Mar 19, 2024
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Camille Jablonski
Photo showing fighters from the Somali terrorist group al-Shabab.
Brief Analysis
Emirati Military Support Is Making a Difference in Somalia
Preserving the UAE's role and synchronizing it with Turkey and Qatar's efforts could be a force multiplier for the Somali government’s offensive against al-Shabab.
Mar 18, 2024
◆
  • Ido Levy
Fayyadh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Calls for Faleh al-Fayyad's Removal as PMF Chairman
Asaib Ahl al-Haq is moving to get what it has long sought: a senior leadership role within the Popular Mobilization Forces, a glaring gap in its portfolio of power positions.
Mar 16, 2024
◆
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Huquq
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: The Hoquq Movement
A parliamentary bloc controlled by the U.S.-designated terrorist organization Kataib Hezbollah, with a track record of agitating for violence against American interests and Iraqi moderates.
Mar 15, 2024
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  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Russian president Vladimir Putin
Articles & Testimony
How the Middle East Became an Arena for Putin’s Power Struggle with the US
Russia’s arms sales, military relationships, and paramilitary activity across the region remain central to expanding its local influence and boosting its anti-Western strategic interests.
Mar 9, 2024
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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