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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Articles & Testimony
Iran Steps Over the Line on Nukes. What’s the Next Step for Trump?
At the very least, the International Atomic Energy Agency should be pressured to conduct closer inspections of Iranian enrichment sites and other nuclear facilities.
Jul 2, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UAE Drawdown May Isolate Saudi Arabia in Yemen
The war-fatigued Emiratis appear to be leaving Riyadh to fend for itself in the fight against Iranian-backed rebels, underlining the necessity of Saudi-Houthi talks.
Jul 2, 2019
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  • Elana DeLozier
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Humanitarian Time Bomb in Idlib
As the latest regime offensive continues, hundreds of thousands of civilians are fleeing to overcrowded border camps, furthering Assad’s strategy of emptying as much of the Sunni Arab population as possible.
Jun 28, 2019
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Past U.S.-Iran Confrontations Hold Lessons for Current Crisis
Despite its measured approach thus far, Tehran may come to view the latest showdown as an existential conflict with an irresolute adversary, warranting greater risk-taking on its part.
Jun 27, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?
Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.
Jun 21, 2019
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  • Michel Duclos
  • Robert Ford
Articles & Testimony
The Dilemma of an Imperfect Ally
There are no optimal options in the current Yemen war, but U.S. policymakers should seize the opportunity to bring Gulf governments into NATO-like agreements that avoid such dilemmas in the future.
Jun 20, 2019
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Iran-Backed Militias Test the Credibility of Iraq’s Prime Minister
Rockets continue to fall on American facilities, part of a deliberate effort to keep Baghdad from making Iraq a neutral crossroads in the region.
Jun 19, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Winning, but U.S. Has Options, in Gulf Crisis
Among other steps, Washington should release more intelligence on Tehran’s efforts to target energy assets while urging Gulf and European allies to visibly step up their military posture.
Jun 17, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
China’s Middle East Policy: Speak Softly and Wave a Large Purse
An Israeli analyst shares observations from an intensive round of discussions with senior Chinese military, diplomatic, and academic officials.
Jun 17, 2019
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  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Turkey and Russia Are Not Friends, Despite Appearances
The truth is that Ankara feels threatened by Moscow, but security concerns, mistrust of the West, and an inability to secure American missiles left Erdogan searching for an alternative.
Jun 16, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Andy Taylor
Brief Analysis
Iran Seems Prepared for Major—But Measured—Escalation in the Gulf
The latest round of shipping attacks could be another notch in Tehran’s controlled military response to U.S. pressure, and bolder escalatory actions should be expected given the bleak outlook for negotiations.
Jun 14, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Houthi Messaging May Hint at a Targeting Pattern
The Yemeni group appears to select targets directly inspired by its principal complaints, potentially helping security officials protect against future attacks while negotiators promote overall de-escalation.
Jun 13, 2019
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the U.S.-Russia Meeting in Jerusalem
Ultimately, no deal is better than a bad deal, and Moscow’s track record in Syria suggests it is both unable and unwilling to keep Iran out.
Jun 12, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Face-Off Over Gulf Arms Sales: ‘Emergency’ or False Alarm?
As Congress questions whether certain arms sales merit emergency treatment, the White House may have opened a Pandora’s box of long-term consequences for legislative oversight, Gulf relations, and defense profits.
Jun 10, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Reshuffling Iraqi Generals: Who Benefits?
Three top commanders have been replaced in northern areas where Iran-backed militias are trying to outmuscle the regular security forces. Washington should find out why.
Jun 6, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
The Ends of Iran: Next Steps for Tehran and Its Neighbors
The former head of U.S. naval operations in the Gulf joins two military and diplomatic experts for a discussion on Iran's strategic calculus, allied perspectives, and Washington's policy options.
May 30, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • John Miller
  • Barbara A. Leaf
Brief Analysis
Are Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah Trying to Reprise Syria in Venezuela?
U.S. rivals are diversifying their support for the Maduro government in familiar fashion, whether to parry the United States, exploit the crisis for profit, or both.
May 23, 2019
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  • Jay Solomon
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Deceptive Nuclear Messaging
Tehran’s decision to renege on some of its nuclear commitments heralds a new period of disturbingly ambiguous announcements.
May 23, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iranian Harassment of U.S. Facilities in Iraq
Tehran has reportedly told its militia proxies to be ready for escalation, so Washington must prepare to maintain a full presence in Iraq even under potentially increased fire.
May 21, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
The Shia Militia Mapping Project
Explore a comprehensive interactive map of Shia militias across the Middle East, charting their location, movements, ties to Iran, and involvements in conflicts in Iraq and Syria.
May 20, 2019
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  • Phillip Smyth

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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