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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Brief Analysis
The Sochi Summit: Potential Outcomes and Implications
As Washington pushes Erdogan to act responsibly in northeast Syria, the Turkish leader may face contrary pressures from Russia and Iran, who are keeping forces on the ground to back up whatever demands are made at this week’s summit and beyond.
Oct 21, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Soner Cagaptay
A Panamanian-flagged oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Hosts Regional Maritime Security Meeting
The first such gathering since the recent spate of Iranian attacks, the multinational meeting could help Washington build a coalition capable of preventing future flare-ups.
Oct 21, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
A view of the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) ISIS detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Wilayat al-Hawl:
'Remaining' and Incubating the Next Islamic State Generation
Many inhabitants of the al-Hol camp still profess loyalty to the jihadist group and have sought to impose a fundamentalist lifestyle on their fellow residents.
Oct 18, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Geopolitical Stakes in Iraq
Russia has steadily inserted itself into Iraq's military, energy, and educational sectors, and these relationships could turn Baghdad further away from the United States now that the Trump administration has ceded Syria to Moscow.
Oct 17, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Syria Study Group: Recommendations for U.S. Policy
The following joint statement was submitted to the House Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism in advance of testimony by Dana Stroul and Michael Singh, the Washington Institute fellows who serve as co-chairs of the bipartisan Syria Study Group. Chairman Deutch, Ranking Member Wilson, and members
Oct 16, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Signposts for an Islamic State Comeback in Iraq
Despite the damage wrought by the U.S. withdrawal from Syria, the main drivers of Islamic State resurgence in Iraq can still be restrained by local U.S. engagement, which is now even more vital than before.
Oct 15, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Syria Incursion: What Spurred It, and What’s Next?
The Trump administration is implicitly backing Ankara’s policy imperatives for now, but its approval comes with an imminent expiration date that could arrive even sooner if the operation goes awry.
Oct 11, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour?
Tehran and its proxies have been exerting hard and soft power in northeast Syria, combining military consolidation with economic, social, and religious outreach in order to cement their long-term influence.
Oct 10, 2019
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Turkey’s Syria Offensive Puts Alliance with U.S. Near Breaking Point
Erdogan is relying on his personal relationship with President Trump to stave off congressional anger, but bilateral ties cannot function if civilian and military agencies lack faith in each other.
Oct 9, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Troop Withdrawal Gives Turkey Access to Syria—and ISIS Space to Rebuild
If the president insists on removing U.S. forces before conditions on the ground are sufficiently stable, he will clear the way for a terrorist resurgence.
Oct 8, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Prioritizes Its Own Interests, Putting Lebanon at Risk
As demonstrators rail against economic problems, corruption, and sectarianism, the group’s role in undermining the public’s financial and physical security is coming under greater scrutiny.
Oct 3, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
IDF commandoes engage in a rescue mission
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Guidelines for Israel's National Security Strategy
This new study examines the current map of Israel’s threats and proposes principles to address them as the basis for a comprehensive national security strategy.
Oct 2, 2019
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  • Gadi Eisenkot
  • Gabi Siboni
Saudi ARAMCO oil storage facility
Video
Brief Analysis
Responding to the Saudi Oil Attack: A Challenge for U.S. Policy
Three experts discuss Washington’s potential reaction, which will have powerful implications not only in the Gulf states, but everywhere that America and its allies face off against Iran and its proxies, from Iraq to Lebanon to Gaza.
Oct 1, 2019
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  • Suzanne Maloney
  • Norman Roule
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Helping Iraq Take Charge of Its Command-and-Control Structure
Recent organizational shifts offer a glimmer of hope that Baghdad will stand up to Iranian influence, but implementation will be the test of their actual merit.
Sep 30, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
How to Present Evidence of Iranian Involvement in the Saudi Attack
By working effectively with the UN, Washington and Riyadh can help foster global consensus on Iran’s culpability, creating a firm basis for multilateral censure that could induce caution in Tehran.
Sep 26, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Tim Michetti
Brief Analysis
Plugging the Gaps in Saudi Arabia’s Air Defenses
The kingdom already has much of the equipment needed to intercept Iranian air attacks, but it needs Washington’s help on reacting more quickly, deterring Tehran, and establishing joint defense networks with other Gulf states.
Sep 25, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Conor Hiney
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Surviving, in Spite of Trump's 'Maximum Pressure'
Regardless of the Hormuz initiative's supposedly peaceful intent, foreign officials should be careful not to give Tehran any rights in the strategic waterway that don’t have to be given.
Sep 25, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Shifting Landscape:
Russia's Military Role in the Middle East
In September 2015, Moscow made its first push outside former Soviet borders when it authorized airstrikes in Syria. More pertinently, the move—and Russia's broader intervention in Syria—constituted a step toward reshaping the whole regional balance of power, taking advantage of a diminishing U.S. footprint. According to the Russian defense minister
Sep 25, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
Syria Study Group 2019:
Final Report and Recommendations
A comprehensive, bipartisan look at how the U.S. government can still achieve important objectives on various fronts, from countering terrorist groups and Iran to addressing refugee and humanitarian issues.
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Michael Singh
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Seven Black Swans in the Middle East
Events considered impossible tend to happen in the region with unusual frequency, so when will the next one appear?
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Martin Kramer

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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