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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Misunderstood Nuclear Law
Tehran may argue that its 2020 nuclear law constrains its room for maneuver in any future talks, but its compliance with that law has long been spotty, and officials seem more focused on ensuring that any concessions they make are reversible.
Sep 7, 2023
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  • Henry Rome
Aub Zainab al-Lami
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Coordination Framework Militias Exposed for Stealing Baghdad Real Estate
Pressure from Ayatollah Sistani and Sadrists has put Kataib Hezbollah and Asaib Ahl al-Haq on the defensive over their growing illicit property empire.
Aug 31, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Amir al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
Photo showing an Israeli tank and UN peacekeeping forces on the border with Lebanon.
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Border Tensions: Hezbollah Provocation, IDF Response, and the Potential for Conflict
Three experts discuss the worsening situation on the ground and assess whether a new war is likely in the near term.
Aug 25, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Matthew Levitt
Basij protests
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba Claims Victimization by Coordination Framework Militia-Politicians
Tensions between Iraq's "resistance" groups are on the rise, with Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba claiming that its online platforms and street protests are being targeted.
Aug 21, 2023
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Crown Prince Muhammad and President Xi walking in Riyadh.
Brief Analysis
Closing Washington’s China Gap with Middle East Partners
For the first time in decades, America’s top strategic priority diverges from that of its key regional partners, but Washington can close the gap by increasing their understanding of China and removing the blinders from their threat perceptions.
Aug 14, 2023
◆
  • Michael Singh
A Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) soldier
Brief Analysis
Can the Lebanese Army Prevent a Hezbollah-Christian Conflict?
Given the military’s behavior during a recent confrontation and the spike in Christian anger toward Hezbollah, Washington should consider fine-tuning its assistance to the LAF, cutting off units that are not committed to protecting the people.
Aug 11, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Sudani
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba Leads the "Big Three" Reaction to Iraq's Telegram Ban
While one leading militia spearheaded online vitriol against a social media ban that affected its affiliates, Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kataib Hezbollah seemed more inclined to compromise.
Aug 10, 2023
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  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Netblocks shows Telegram down in Iraq, Aug 6, 2023
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Reactions to Iraq's Suspension of Telegram
The official ban on their favorite social media app may be temporary, but their response has highlighted divisions within the Shia militia milieu.
Aug 9, 2023
◆
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Two Ukraine-owned and operated Bayraktar drones
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
A "System of Systems" Approach to Countering Drones:
Examining Recent Operations from the Middle East to Ukraine
Military officials are seeking not a silver bullet but instead advances based on existing layered, interoperable systems.
Aug 7, 2023
◆
  • Eric Feely
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Kurds Face Legitimacy Issues Amid Election Deadlock and Internal Division
The Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) has been heading for unprecedented political and financial uncertainties as a result of the growing disputes between the two ruling parties and the central government’s moves to erode the KRI’s autonomous status.
Aug 7, 2023
◆
  • Bekir Aydoğan
Syrian refugees leaving Turkey after earthquake
Articles & Testimony
Deterring Russia’s Horizontal Escalation in Syria
To dissuade Moscow from further provocations that endanger coalition forces, the West needs to demonstrate that it has other military and political options in Syria.
Aug 3, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
The Iran Deal’s October Sunsets: Sanctions Without Snapback
Facing the imminent expiration of UN sanctions but unwilling to trigger “snapback,” the EU and Britain should unilaterally extend some of their own restrictions on Tehran.
Jul 28, 2023
◆
  • Henry Rome
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Video
Brief Analysis
Sudan's Civil War: Mediation Challenges and the U.S. Role
Three experts assess the conflict’s effects on regional humanitarian and security issues, outlining the requirements for a durable ceasefire.
Jul 28, 2023
◆
  • Yasir Zaidan
  • Reem Abbas
  • Alex Rondos
USAF and IDF personnel participate in a joint exercise - source: U.S. Government
Articles & Testimony
The Wrong Message at the Wrong Time
Although some of the arguments for decreasing U.S. military assistance to Israel stem from understandable impulses, implementing such ideas now would only embolden enemies and make conflict more likely.
Jul 27, 2023
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Guns, Drugs, and Smugglers: A Recent Heightened Challenge at Israel’s Borders with Jordan and Egypt
A dataset covering case-by-case information underscores the problems that authorities in each country face as they cooperate to clamp down on criminals and secure their shared frontiers.
Jul 2023
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Lauren von Thaden
May 2023 unveiling ceremony for Iran's Khoramshahr ballistic missile
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Next Generation of Iranian Ballistic Missiles:
Technical Advances, Strategic Objectives, and Potential Western Responses
Amid revived nuclear talks with the United States, Iran finally debuted its vaunted Fattah “hypersonic missile”—just after test-launching an improved large-payload MRBM—in a clear bid to demonstrate conventional military deterrence capability.
Jul 25, 2023
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
The Israeli Supreme Court in session - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Israel’s New Law Holds Implications for Security and U.S. Relations
A closer look at the domestic dynamics behind the legislature’s vote sheds light on whether and when it might affect Israel’s military readiness and relationship with Washington.
Jul 25, 2023
◆
  • David Makovsky
Sinjar Iraq
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sinjar: Challenges and Resilience Nine Years after Genocide
The ninth anniversary of the Yazidi Genocide in Sinjar, Iraq is drawing near, a tragedy in which thousands of Yazidis were murdered, Yazidi women and children were enslaved, and Yazidi villages and compounds were destroyed by ISIS in August 2014.
Jul 25, 2023
◆
  • Izat Noah
A priest leads an Easter mass at the Grand Immaculate Church in Al-Hamdaniya, Iraq, April 9, 2023 - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Blunting the Militia Campaign Against Iraq’s Christian Leaders
A U.S.-sanctioned, Iran-backed militia leader aims to sideline the country’s Chaldean Patriarch and take over billions of dollars’ worth of Christian property.
Jul 25, 2023
◆
  • Yaqoub Beth-Addai
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
A production still from the movie Oppenheimer, featuring actor Cillian Murphy - source: Universal
Articles & Testimony
The Science Behind the Drama of ‘Oppenheimer’
Iran’s potential push for a nuclear device and the region’s broader proliferation challenges cast a shadow over the new summer blockbuster.
Jul 24, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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