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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
Jul 14, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Yousif Kalian
Brief Analysis
The Caliphate Project in Iraq Post-Mosul
Destroying the vestiges of IS governance will not eliminate the group -- which will continue to pose an insurgent and terrorist threat -- but it will remove any arguments the jihadists might be inclined to make about the near-term viability of their state.
Jul 13, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
Jul 10, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waiting Game in Sinjar
From Ankara's perspective, an optimal outcome may ultimately involve using soft power, rather than actual force, to remove its Kurdish PKK and YPG adversaries from the district.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Public Opinion Shows a New Bridge of Hope and an Old Valley of Concerns
Since I started researching and polling public opinion in Iraq in 2003, I cannot remember more interesting findings than the ones from the recent nationwide survey conducted a few weeks ago. In general - and as a rule since 2003 - hundreds of previous quantitative and qualitative studies have shown
Jun 7, 2017
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  • Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Building a “Joint Force” to Control Liberated Yazidi Towns
More than two weeks after the launch of the Muhammad Rasallah II operation, the Popular Mobilization Units (PMUs, or al-Hashd al-Shabi) reached the Syria-Iraq border west of Mosul on May 29, 2017. Hadi al-Ameri, leader of the Badr Organization and one of the most influential PMU commanders, announced from the
Jun 6, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
Military Victory in Mosul Likely to Lift P.M. Abadi's Reelection Campaign
Without a concrete plan for the aftermath of the city's fall, a very complex multilateral conflict may soon erupt in northern Iraq.
Jun 2, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
Jun 1, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Preventing Allies from Fighting Each Other in Iraq's Disputed Areas
As the Islamic State attempts to regenerate in tense multiethnic areas, Washington should view Arab-Kurdish dispute resolution as an essential counterterrorism mission, not an uncertain nation-building enterprise.
May 31, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Did Trump Give Erdogan License to Kill PKK Militants Inside Iraq?
A Turkey expert reads between the lines of the latest meeting between the two presidents, assessing whether policy changes are afoot on Syria, the Kurds, and other issues.
May 24, 2017
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
The Rise of Jihad in Europe: Views from France
Leading American and French experts discuss the evolution of modern jihad and Europe's concerns about radicalized foreign fighters returning home from Iraq and Syria.
May 19, 2017
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  • Gilles Kepel
  • Tamara Wittes
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Reaching a U.S.-Turkish Deal in Syria: Four Steps
Erdogan may be willing to give President Trump a free hand in Raqqa, but only if Washington supports Turkish action against the PKK in Sinjar and continues the conversation on Fethullah Gulen.
May 12, 2017
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Mini-Hizballahs, Revolutionary Guard Knock-Offs, and the Future of Iran's Militant Proxies in Iraq
There is still time to offset the gains that Iran’s proxies have made in the past three years, but only if Baghdad continues resisting the creation of a permanent, well-funded security institution that operates outside the Iraqi chain of command.
May 9, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Trump's Plan to Arm Kurds Lays Bare the Strategic Vacuum in Syria
The administration's plan to retake Raqqa from the Islamic State could further inflame tensions with Turkey and Iran.
May 9, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
A Kurdish Referendum: Unforeseen Benefits
The KRG's independence referendum should be treated as a tactical bid to unify the Iraqi Kurds and strengthen their position toward Baghdad, but without jettisoning their gradualist approach.
May 3, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
  • Rebwar Karim Mahmood
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Ambitions in the Levant
A closer look at how Tehran plans to build (and hold onto) dual land corridors stretching across Iraq and Syria toward the Mediterranean.
May 1, 2017
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  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
The Kurds Can Fight: Now They Need to Govern
Getting governance right is the only way to prevent future waves of terrorism and warlordism, making efforts toward that end a matter of Iraqi and U.S. national security.
Apr 27, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Dangers of the Institutionalization of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Units
The emergence and legitimization of the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU or Hashd al-Shaabi) represent a continued phenomenon in modern Iraqi history: a weak state and divided armies. For democracy to emerge, the army has to be united and neutral so that it can provide a space for competition among various
Apr 25, 2017
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  • Sardar Aziz

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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