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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Losing Its Luster Under Soleimani
Many Hezbollah fighters believe their Iranian supervisor in Syria views them as easily replaceable Arab cannon fodder, and the resultant tension is generating disillusionment about Tehran's claims of pan-Shiite unity.
Feb 22, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Middle Eastern Reactions to the U.S. Travel Ban
As the Trump administration prepares to revise its controversial entry restrictions, a sampling of quotes from officials around the region indicates that certain provisions will be a hard sell abroad.
Feb 22, 2017
Articles & Testimony
Is America No Longer the Middle East's Greatest Power?
Despite the recent challenges to Washington's regional supremacy, one irreducible reality is clear: the United States is still the only actor capable of forging partnerships that advance not just parochial, short-term interests, but the broader security, stability and prosperity needed to prevent further collapse.
Feb 16, 2017
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  • Richard Fontaine
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Iran on Notice
A former Treasury official outlines the various steps Washington can take to support its stated goal of curbing provocative Iranian behavior such as ballistic missile tests, military interventionism, illicit financing, and terror sponsorship.
Feb 16, 2017
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  • Katherine Bauer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Saudi and Iranian Rapprochement in the Face of Russia and Turkey
It is strange to hear talk of an alliance between Saudi Arabia and Iran, whose competition is notorious. The two states, who have clashed in multiple countries, now find themselves in a new political situation which may force them to work together. At the very least they may have to
Feb 15, 2017
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  • Baraa Sabri
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump and Netanyahu Might Keep Iran Nuclear Deal After All
Despite the prime minister's distaste for the deal, he will likely ask Washington to enforce it to the hilt instead of shredding it -- something the Trump White House seems ready to do given its actions toward Iran thus far.
Feb 15, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Memo to Trump: Iraq Is Too Big to Fail
Actions like the travel ban on Iraqis could have the unintended effect of derailing the U.S. alliance with Baghdad -- an outcome that would benefit Iran, the Islamic State, and no one else.
Feb 13, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Reinforcing the Role of Sanctions in Restraining Iran
Even while the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is in place, the Trump administration could bring significant pressure to bear on Iran. In this Policy Note, Institute fellows Katherine Bauer, Patrick Clawson, and Matthew Levitt look at the role of sanctions in restraining Iran's regional aggression and disrupting its global-terrorism
Feb 13, 2017
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Matthew Levitt
Video
Brief Analysis
After the Ayatollahs: The Middle East Post-Khamenei
Two leading experts on clerical succession in Iran and Iraq discuss how the passing of Ayatollah Sistani and Supreme Leader Khamenei would affect American interests across the Middle East.
Feb 10, 2017
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  • Ali Mamouri
  • Suzanne Maloney
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Netanyahu Meeting in the Context of Emerging U.S. Middle East Policy
The two leaders will need to figure out where Israel's pressing concerns about Iran fit in with the Trump administration's emerging regional policy, particularly its emphasis on quickly destroying the Islamic State.
Feb 9, 2017
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  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
The Future of Leadership in the Shiite Community
Mahmoud Hashemi Shahroudi, a former Iranian judiciary chief who holds a prominent position in the Assembly of Experts, now has two paths to leadership of the Shiite community. The first is as a potential successor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now seventy-seven; the second is to eventually take the place
Feb 7, 2017
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Plan to Defeat ISIS: Key Decisions and Considerations
Washington should pursue a 'day after' scenario that keeps the United States in the region, maintains its new (YPG) and old (Turkish and Iraqi) relationships, pushes back Iranian ambitions, and 'manages' an inevitable Russian presence.
Feb 7, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Can Trump Break Up the Russian-Iranian Alliance?
One of the president's biggest early foreign policy tests will be navigating the aftermath of the nuclear deal, which brought the Islamic Republic even further into Russia's orbit.
Feb 6, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran's Warming Relations with the PKK Could Destabilize the KRG
Their emerging confluence of interests will only exacerbate the internal problems caused by factionalism and failed governance in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Feb 6, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Iran's Latest Missile Test: Scenarios and Implications for the New Administration
Regardless of how the details surrounding Sunday's launch shake out, it was an unhelpful move at a time when the Trump administration is determining its policy toward Iran's missile program and broader regional behavior.
Feb 3, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Cyber: Iran's Weapon of Choice
In the past decade, Tehran’s cyber toolkit has evolved from a low-tech means of lashing out at its enemies to a central pillar of its national security concept.
Jan 29, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Rethinking American Military Intervention in the Middle East
An in-depth look at how the United States can reverse its policy missteps and subpar performance in various regional conflicts, in large part by correcting its inadequate understanding of the operational environment.
Jan 26, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
General Principles to Guide U.S. Middle East Policy
Given the unprecedented turmoil and uncertainty afflicting the Middle East, the new administration will need to devote particular care and urgency to understanding the essence of America's interests in the region, and applying clear principles in pursuing them. This is the advice offered by two U.S. diplomats with a distinguished
Jan 19, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Donald Trump Should Isolate Iran Immediately
Iran's destabilizing presence throughout the region has grown in the year since the nuclear deal, so the new administration should take firm steps to curb it.
Jan 19, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
President Trump Must Rally His Middle Eastern Allies and End Iran's War of Attrition
The new administration can succeed in the region if it understands the nature of the threats posed by Iran and radical Islamists, is prepared to work with America’s traditional partners, and appreciates how to take advantage of the latest local developments.
Jan 18, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross

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Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region.
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
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