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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Qatar Crisis: Worst Case Scenarios
A dramatic response by Qatar could entail an appeal to the UN Security Council or, more dangerously, an attempt to play its military cards, both of which would carry risks for the United States.
Jul 6, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Simmering Trouble in Oil-Rich Shia Area Complicates Riyadh's Concerns
Incidents in the town of al-Awamiyah are creating headaches for the Saudi leadership and adding to regional tensions.
Jul 5, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
Jul 5, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Is the Root of the Qatar Crisis
The Saudi-led bloc has made thirteen demands of Doha, but they're mostly about resolving one issue -- and time is almost up.
Jul 2, 2017
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Embrace a New Saudi Arabia
The United States should work with Muhammad bin Salman, the new crown prince, as he pushes for change.
Jun 29, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Tillerson's 'Peaceful' Regime Change for Iran:
Really? And What Comes Next?
Efforts by U.S. officials to identify or suggest support for anti-regime "elements" within Iran will only undermine any authenticity these elements previously enjoyed.
Jun 26, 2017
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  • Eric Pelofsky
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
Jun 22, 2017
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Trump Is on a Collision Course with Iran
The United States cannot defeat the Islamic State without first reckoning with Iran's nefarious role in Syria.
Jun 20, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A New Battlespace in Syria: Prospects for U.S. Policy
Iran-led forces present arguably the greatest future threat to U.S. military personnel and overall interests in Syria, and therefore must be the centerpiece of a broader strategy addressing the conflict.
Jun 20, 2017
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  • Nader Uskowi
Articles & Testimony
Russia's Strategic Objectives in the Middle East and North Africa
The Institute's leading Russia expert outlines the best means of tempering Moscow's influence in the region, recommending a more active U.S. military and diplomatic role while explaining why Putin will never be a reliable partner there.
Jun 15, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
China Courts Iran to Sell Goods, Diversify Oil Sources
The Washington Institute's Simon Henderson and Cipher Brief's Bennett Seftel met to discuss key areas of Saudi-China cooperation, the ways in which increased bilateral relations affect China's role in the Middle East, and ties between China and Iran.
Jun 15, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Redeployment in Syria: Potential Confrontations
If Washington fails to press Russia diplomatically and raise the military costs on Hezbollah, a wider confrontation may erupt between U.S. and Iranian proxies in Syria.
Jun 13, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Attacking Hezbollah's Financial Network: Policy Options
A former Treasury official describes how the group has continued to expand its criminal and operational activities worldwide despite the changes wrought by the Syria war and Iran nuclear accord.
Jun 8, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
How Will Iran Respond to Terrorist Attacks in the Heart of the Islamic Republic?
Considering the current regional situation, the country's first serious terrorist attacks in many years could have major implications for Tehran's policies at home and abroad.
Jun 7, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Will Qatar's Diplomatic Exile Spark the Next Great War?
The Sunni Gulf powers have long been spoiling for a fight with Iran, and this could be just the excuse they need.
Jun 5, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Scramble for Eastern Syria
Washington's best option is to let the Assad regime expend its energy pushing out toward the Euphrates while preparing for the advance to stall, as it appears likely to do.
Jun 3, 2017
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
Jun 1, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran Tweaks Gulf-Qatar Rift
A row has erupted among GCC heavyweights only days after President Trump left Riyadh, potentially undermining the agreed policy of containing Iran.
May 30, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region.
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
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