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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Anti US
Brief Analysis
The Tansiqiya Signals Escalation Versus the United States
The Iraqi militia coordination committee is laying out its political and legal arguments for the removal of U.S. forces.
May 24, 2021
◆
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, casts his vote for president
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Presidential Election Season Kicks Off: Five Takeaways
The upcoming campaign will likely focus on a three-way race between conservative Raisi, conservative-turned-pragmatist Larijani, and reformist-affiliated Jahangiri.
May 17, 2021
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Gaza Soleimani
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Iraqi Militias Are Exploiting the Gaza Conflict
Hamas's example could embolden Iraqi factions to accelerate attacks on U.S. facilities at home, as well as seek some reflected glory by claiming Syria-based attacks against Israelis.
May 16, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
KH Drone
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Leads Drone Warfare Inside Iraq
The group is employing sophisticated drone capabilities against U.S. airbases in Iraq, mirroring tactics and systems used in Yemen.
May 14, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Bahrain’s Interlocking Regional and Domestic Tensions
Manama is still grappling with the complex challenge of developing ties with Israel while coping with homegrown Shia militancy.
May 10, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Kawader
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Distinguishing Kawader Hezbollah al-Qudama and Kataib Hezbollah
Nouri al-Maliki is gathering various Iraqi resistance figures who fought both Saddam and the coalition, but this marginal "old timer" party is not the same as Kataib Hezbollah, which has yet to show its hand in parliamentary politics.
May 6, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Military Establishment Doubles Down on “Revolution”
By dismissing the Zarif tape and calling for further securitization of government decisionmaking, the officials truly in charge of Iranian foreign policy are previewing what negotiators and neighbors can expect from Tehran for the foreseeable future.
May 5, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
AA
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Ahd Allah Islamic Movement
Ahd Allah Islamic Movement is a social and cultural movement built around Kataib Hezbollah ideologue Sayyed Hashem al-Haidari.
May 5, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
KSS flag
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada is a splinter of Kataib Hezbollah that works directly with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and has a transnational focus on the shared regional agenda of the Iran-backed axis of resistance.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Is Stalemate the Least Bad Option in Syria?
If only to avoid far worse outcomes, Washington should reject Assad’s bogus “reelection” and keep supporting Israeli strikes, the SDF’s viability, and refugee aid.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Natanz
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Iran Employed Iraq's Muqawama in Its Post-Natanz Response
Militias falsely claimed attacks against Israeli and U.S. targets in retaliation for the nuclear incident, underlining how Tehran directs and coordinates each proxy's kinetic and information operations in a centralized manner.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
The artist Jacques-Louis David's painting "Napoleon Crossing the Alps"
Brief Analysis
The Rise of “Bonapartism” in Iran
Interest in a strong military president is growing in unexpected sectors, but such an outcome is more likely to strengthen Khamenei’s power than drastically reform the system.
Apr 30, 2021
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
TSS
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Sharia Youth Gathering
The Sharia Youth Gathering is an umbrella movement of social service, cultural, sports, and scouting organizations that is effectively controlled by Kataib Hezbollah through a cadre of linked commanders.
Apr 29, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Scout
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Imam Hussein Scout Association
The Imam Hussein Scout Association is Kataib Hezbollah’s youth organization and an affiliate of Lebanese Hezbollah's Kishaf al-Imam al-Mahdi youth movement.
Apr 29, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif
Brief Analysis
The Zarif Tape: Revelations on Russia, the Qods Force, and Iran’s Election
​​​​​​​The foreign minister had much to say about the IRGC branch’s political interference at home and close relations with Moscow, and the regime has done nothing to dispute his account so far.
Apr 29, 2021
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Kaabi speech
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba
Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba proved its axis of resistance credentials in Syria, but its role in terrorism and repression within Iraq is more enigmatic.
Apr 27, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
AAH leader
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Asaib Ahl al-Haq
Asaib Ahl al-Haq is a major Iraqi armed group that identifies as part of Iran's axis of resistance but stubbornly maintains a degree of independence, forming numerous cells to conduct kinetic, media, and social operations, some bankrolled by the Iraqi state.
Apr 27, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
U.S. and Iranian flags
Articles & Testimony
For Diplomacy to Work, Iran Must Understand That It Cannot Overplay Its Hand
Although the Biden administration strongly favors a diplomatic path to ensuring Iran never obtains a nuclear weapon, it needs to show that it will exercise other options if Tehran makes a viable deal impossible.
Apr 26, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Fatemyoun squad
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Fatemiyoun Electronic Squad
Fatemiyoun Electronic Squad is a facade group that undertakes cyberattacks on behalf of Kataib Hezbollah, in close collaboration with other affiliates.
Apr 26, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Unit 10K img
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Unit 10,000
Unit 10,000 is Kataib Hezbollah's premier online facade group, specializing in the publication of resistance propaganda and the development of "electronic armies" capable of hacking, information operations, and open-source intelligence gathering.
Apr 25, 2021
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles

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Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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