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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Articles & Testimony

The United States Can Offer the People of Lebanon and Iraq Something Tehran Can’t

Congress should offer conditional aid that forces Beirut and Baghdad to respond to their citizens’ grievances, many of which stem from Iranian-sponsored sectarianism, corruption, and violence.

Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul

Iran’s New Budget Is Tight, But Not Tight Enough

Rouhani has taken a remarkably austere fiscal approach ahead of the looming parliamentary election, but the country’s economic situation is still not sustainable over the long run.

Patrick Clawson

Articles & Testimony

GCC Security Issues, as Their Publics See Them: A Rare Look at Real Data

Polling results from five Gulf countries show where citizens and their leaders converge and diverge on Iran, U.S. relations, and other crucial foreign policy matters.

David Pollock

Deterring Iran’s Next Attack

Since a maximum pressure policy requires maximum deterrence, the president should avoid tweets and actions that undercut U.S. credibility regarding the use of force, while authorizing the requisite rules of engagement.

Michael Eisenstadt

Europe Pushing Back on Iran’s Ballistic Missile Program

Britain, France, and Germany are taking a more proactive role by publicly emphasizing known concerns about the regime’s R&D efforts, but practical mechanisms for ensuring transparency are still needed.

Farzin Nadimi

Articles & Testimony

What Will It Take to Repair Middle Eastern Economies?

Directly investing in nongovernmental enterprise and giving international approval to private competition can change the dynamic in individual countries, promote liberal economies, and give citizens greater agency.

Bilal Wahab

Punishing Iran’s Triggermen in Iraq: Opening Moves in a Long Campaign

Some of the worst perpetrators of the murderous crackdown against Iraqi protestors have finally been sanctioned, but follow-on actions need to be taken more quickly in coordination with Britain and other allies.

Michael Knights

Iran Is Losing Iraq’s Tribes

Angry over Iranian militia abuses and Baghdad’s sundry failures, a number of powerful tribes are setting aside their traditional sectarian loyalties and pushing to safeguard their basic needs, sometimes violently.

Phillip Smyth

The IRGC States Its Case for Escalation Against the United States, Britain, and Saudi Arabia

As its concerns about domestic dissent and Western naval activity grow, Tehran may once again try to divert attention from the unrest at home by launching attacks abroad.

Farzin Nadimi

Khamenei’s Domestic and Foreign Response Options to the Protests

The Supreme Leader faces tough choices about who to blame for the protests, and what impact they should have on policy toward the United States.

Patrick Clawson

Iran’s Gasoline Protests: Regime Unpopular but Resilient

The demonstrations indicate widespread popular rejection of the political system, but this same system remains well organized to deflect and counter unrest.

Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Farzin Nadimi

Articles & Testimony

A Better Iran Deal Is Within Reach

With Tehran testing the limits of European patience, Washington has an opening to forge a united front, offer conditional leeway on some sanctions, and push the Iranians back to the negotiating table.

Michael Singh

Rouhani’s Shifting Argument for Preserving the JCPOA

Facing grim prospects in Iran’s upcoming elections, the president’s camp is trying to convince hardliners that they need to keep the nuclear deal alive in order to continue expanding their military arsenal and intervening abroad.

Mehdi Khalaji

Articles & Testimony

Iraqi Freedom Confronts Iranian Domination

The United States has turned toward realpolitik, but it has a strategic interest in backing demonstrators.

Bilal Wahab

Articles & Testimony

Recalling the Hostage Crisis That Made Iran Forever Hostile to the U.S.

A former correspondent in Tehran reflects on how the crisis set the stage for many of Washington’s current difficulties with the regime, and whether anything has really changed.

Simon Henderson

Iran’s Nuclear Steps and the New IAEA Chief

The steady weakening by Tehran of its international nuclear commitments will be the most immediate challenge for the next head of the world’s nuclear watchdog.

Simon Henderson
Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

The U.S.: Between Being the World’s Policeman and Trusting Regional Partners

Despite long-documented public weariness with Middle East conflicts, Trump’s successor could well recognize the value of reestablishing American credibility in the region.

Dennis Ross

Exposing and Sanctioning Human Rights Violations by Iraqi Militias

As new protests and further government crackdowns loom, Washington should call out abuses by Iran-backed entities and sanction the key offenders.

Michael Knights

Articles & Testimony

Iran Is Losing the Middle East, Protests in Lebanon and Iraq Show

Recent upsurges in dissent cross sectarian lines and reveal the governing incompetence at the core of Iranian proxy leadership.

Hanin Ghaddar

The Sochi Summit: Potential Outcomes and Implications

As Washington pushes Erdogan to act responsibly in northeast Syria, the Turkish leader may face contrary pressures from Russia and Iran, who are keeping forces on the ground to back up whatever demands are made at this week’s summit and beyond.

Anna Borshchevskaya
Soner Cagaptay

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