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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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In-Depth Reports
Energizing Policy:
America and the Middle East in an Era of Plentiful Oil
Thanks to technical innovation, and despite oil price fluctuations, the United States is producing more of its own oil and using relatively less. With this decreased dependence on imported energy, the grave danger is that perceived U.S. indifference to Middle East developments could worry allies and embolden hostile forces. In
Jul 27, 2016
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Riyadh's Diplomatic Dance with Israel
The unofficial Saudi visit to Jerusalem is a significant advance but not quite a breakthrough in relations, raising questions about what's next.
Jul 25, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
What We Know About Saudi Arabia's Role in 9/11
The Saudi government still says it had no connection to the hijackers, but newly released classified information indicates otherwise.
Jul 18, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Oil and Islam: Saudi Policy Post-JCPOA
Disappointed with the nuclear deal and sensing that Iran is challenging its leadership role in Islam, Riyadh seems prepared to ramp up bilateral tensions via oil production increases, sectarian provocations, and other tactics.
Jul 15, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Quartet Report (Part 1): Defining the Settlement Challenge
The new report indicates that settlement growth is slowing and that most of it is occurring near the security barrier, but not having a declared policy in this regard may open Israel up to more internationalization drives.
Jul 8, 2016
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  • David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Saudi Youth Politics: Between Bombings and Theme Parks
As the kingdom attempts to counter the Islamic State's narrative by consolidating a common identity for those most prone to radicalization, it is simultaneously alienating others.
Jul 8, 2016
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  • Omar I. Alhashani
Brief Analysis
The JCPOA'S Regional Impact: Sinking Confidence in the U.S. Balancing Role
Left to their own devices and faced with an Iran on the march in multiple theaters, regional states have responded to the deal in an incoherent and dangerous fashion.
Jul 5, 2016
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
High Noon in Bahrain: Will Tehran Blink First?
Bahrain's action against a high-profile Shiite figure has brought long-simmering tensions with Iran to a boil, and extremists could feel empowered to further escalate the crisis even if officials turn down the dial.
Jun 27, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Vision or Mirage? Saudi Arabia's Ambitious Economic Plans
The deputy crown prince hopes his U.S. visit will help garner support for shifting the kingdom away from oil dependency, but his proposals need more rigorous questioning to ensure they are viable.
Jun 17, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Getting Back on an Even Keel
The director of the Institute's Gulf Program answers questions on a variety of U.S.-Saudi issues, including how the next president will be in a much better position to improve the frayed bilateral relationship.
Jun 15, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Young Saudi Leader's Landmark U.S. Visit
The deputy crown prince's first solo trip to Washington confirms his preeminence in the Saudi hierarchy but could spur pushback from royal rivals.
Jun 13, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bahrain's Game of Detainee Diplomacy With Washington
The government in Manama, the headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet, blames Iran for supporting the Shiite opposition and downplays the threat of Sunni extremist support for the Islamic State.
Jun 1, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
A History of Hezbollah Activities in the Arabian Gulf Region
Iran has long used Hezbollah and other radical Shi'a groups to project power across the Gulf. The CIA noted this trend in an 1986 assessment in which it concluded that "Iran uses international terrorism to achieve specific foreign policy objectives. Therefore it should not be surprising that despite the recent
May 26, 2016
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Bilateral Counterterrorism Cooperation and Changes in Saudi Leadership
When it comes to maintaining, improving, or repairing the kingdom's efforts against the Islamic State and other terrorist groups, many of Washington's tried and tested ways of understanding the royal family's power politics need to be discarded.
May 24, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The U.A.E. Approach to Counterinsurgency in Yemen
The conflict in Yemen cannot fairly be described as a singular war. The main war is being fought between a Saudi-led coalition of Arab states who back the Sunni-dominated internationally recognized government against Shia clans called the Houthis. But amid this, another war is being fought against Al-Qaeda in the
May 23, 2016
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
From ISIS to Activists:
New Security Trials in Saudi Arabia
In 2008, Saudi Arabia established the Specialized Criminal Court to try al-Qaeda detainees who had been connected to attacks inside the kingdom. Over time, the court's caseload has expanded to include supporters of the Islamic State, Jabhat al-Nusra and other terrorist groups, as well as activists and critics. The court's
May 23, 2016
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  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Video
Alternative Futures for the Middle East
Lasting reform will have to come from within Middle Eastern societies, a panel of American, Israeli, and Saudi experts said at an Asia Society forum.
May 20, 2016
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  • Dennis Ross
  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Gulf Coalition Targeting AQAP in Yemen
Coalition units and allied Yemeni forces have fought a successful and timely campaign to stem the al-Qaeda affiliate's runaway growth in Yemen.
May 10, 2016
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Promised Saudi Support to Jordan: At What Price?
Washington will be pleased to see Riyadh bolstering another key regional ally, but the potential development of Jordan's nuclear sector could cause headaches, and the political costs for Amman remain unclear.
May 9, 2016
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Saudi King's Son Drastically Reshapes Government
Sweeping bureaucratic changes, including the appointment of a new oil minister, may help the deputy crown prince impose his economic plan but could also prompt a royal family crisis.
May 9, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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