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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
The Sectarian Shadow Over Bahrain’s Election
The results will indicate how the Sunni government is managing its majority Shia citizenry.
Nov 10, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Middle East Map
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In 2022 Polls, Views on U.S. Relations On Par with Other World Powers in the Middle East
Regional polls from March and August reveal shifting power dynamics, as economic conditions and relations with Israel continue to weigh on citizens’ minds.
Nov 9, 2022
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  • Frances McDonough
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
MbS and Saudi Arabia’s Israel Policy: What Can We Expect from the New Prime Minister?
As Prime Minister, MbS won't throw out the Arab Peace Initiative altogether, but he will likely reframe it.
Nov 7, 2022
◆
  • Aziz Alghashian
Saudi men take pictures at the Al Souda mountain - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside Saudi Arabia: A Trip Report
After leading an extensive group visit throughout the kingdom, Washington Institute scholars offer insights from their encounters with leaders in government, religion, business, and culture.
Nov 4, 2022
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • David Schenker
AAMedia
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Building Media Cooperation Between Abraham Accords Countries
For the Abraham Accords to be truly successful, cooperation between member countries must necessarily extend to partnerships of more accurate and far-reaching media sources.
Nov 3, 2022
◆
  • Najat AlSaied
Video
Brief Analysis
2022 Qatar World Cup: Sports, Politics & Human Rights
Watch an expert panel discussion of the political, diplomatic, economic, social, and strategic implications of the 2022 World Cup for Qatar and the wider Middle East.
Oct 28, 2022
◆
  • Susan L. Ziadeh
  • Marti Flacks
  • James M. Dorsey
  • Patrick Clawson
Abraham Accords
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Two Years On, the Abraham Accords Bear Fruit
The Abraham Accords agreement between the UAE and Israel has made important steps in the direction of regional economic and political cooperation.
Oct 26, 2022
◆
  • Mohamed Maher
Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
Oct 24, 2022
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • David Schenker
Houthi leader Abdul-Malik Badruddin al-Houthi addresses a rally in Sanaa, Yemen - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi Jihad Council: Command and Control in ‘the Other Hezbollah’
The Houthi relationship with the IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah has grown to the point that regardless of whether fighting in Yemen wanes, the Gulf movement may still play an integrated role in Iran’s future military adventures.
October 2022
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  • Michael Knights
  • Adnan al-Gabarni
  • Casey Coombs
Brief Analysis
The UN Resolution Against Russia’s Ukraine Annexations: How Did the Middle East Vote?
Most of the region supported the measure, with one nay vote, a pair of notable changes since the March resolution, and several strong statements in support of territorial integrity.
Oct 18, 2022
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
High Prices, War in Ukraine, a Cold Winter Ahead—and Now OPEC+ Piles On
The oil cartel’s reported plan to cut production could roil global markets, U.S.-Gulf relations, and American voter sentiment.
Oct 4, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Smoke is seen at a Saudi oil facility in Abqaiq, 2019 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will a Sense of Revenge Spur Iran to Attack Saudi Arabia?
While the regime doubles down on its domestic crackdown, it has increased its threatening rhetoric abroad as well, potentially drawing U.S. assets into a new round of military escalation reminiscent of summer 2019.
Oct 4, 2022
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
AWH graphic
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militia Group Makes Credible New Threat Against the Gulf States
The facade group in question tends to follow through on its warnings, so its latest rhetoric about using developments in Yemen as cause for new attacks should be taken seriously.
Oct 3, 2022
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Turkish President Erdogan at a summit with Russian President Putin in Sochi in 2021 - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Domestic Audience for Turkish Foreign Policy
With elections in the balance, Erdoğan is playing a risky game of international normalizations in the hope that the Turkish electorate will approve of economic ties and immigrant solutions.
Sep 30, 2022
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  • Batu Coşkun
  • Gökhan Çınkara
Brief Analysis
Kuwait’s Election Offers Insights on Wider Gulf Politics
The vote and the events leading up to it reflect a system in near-paralysis rather than an example for neighbors to emulate.
Sep 28, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi King Gives Up Prime Minister Role to Crown Prince
The transfer further boosts his son’s authority and could even be a prelude to an unprecedented abdication.
Sep 27, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Regional Security Cooperation Partnerships in the Middle East
The Abraham Accords have substantially increased the region’s options for countering Iranian threats, but the past performance of Arab coalitions should make policymakers cautious about expecting too much from new alliances.
Sep 21, 2022
◆
  • David Schenker
MEES map showing Israeli and Lebanese maritime border claims in the East Mediterranean.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
Sep 20, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Ehud Yaari
  • David Makovsky
  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
mohammed bin salman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pragmatic Re-Balancing: the Saudi Dual Outreach to Israel and Iran
While the Middle East remains littered with flashpoints, Saudi Arabia is reaching out to Israel and Iran in an attempt to defuse simmering tensions and build consensus, with the Kingdom shifting from a confrontational to fence-mending approach.
Sep 20, 2022
◆
  • Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco
Currency exchange prices on display
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
SDR Allocations in the Middle East: Helpful, but No Silver Bullet
Various governments have made good use of last year’s unprecedented IMF allocation, but the Ukraine war, ongoing debt issues, and other economic problems are a reminder that the region cannot sidestep deeper reforms indefinitely.
Sep 20, 2022
◆
  • Jonah Shrock

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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