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Energy & Economics

Policy Analysis on Energy & Economics

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Brief Analysis
China’s Middle East Policy: Speak Softly and Wave a Large Purse
An Israeli analyst shares observations from an intensive round of discussions with senior Chinese military, diplomatic, and academic officials.
Jun 17, 2019
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Iran Seems Prepared for Major—But Measured—Escalation in the Gulf
The latest round of shipping attacks could be another notch in Tehran’s controlled military response to U.S. pressure, and bolder escalatory actions should be expected given the bleak outlook for negotiations.
Jun 14, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace
The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.
Jun 13, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Oil Prices Up on Tanker Attacks, But Long-Term Trend Looks Down
Ultimately, sabotage operations in the Gulf may prove to be less impactful than Russian engagement with OPEC, a global economic slowdown, and other geopolitical factors.
Jun 13, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Lebanon and Israel Are Set to Negotiate: What’s at Stake?
Although Hezbollah and its allies might use the upcoming talks as a mere stalling tactic, negotiators will still have opportunities to exploit the group’s domestic vulnerabilities.
Jun 12, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The Face-Off Over Gulf Arms Sales: ‘Emergency’ or False Alarm?
As Congress questions whether certain arms sales merit emergency treatment, the White House may have opened a Pandora’s box of long-term consequences for legislative oversight, Gulf relations, and defense profits.
Jun 10, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Election Redo: Implications for the Trump Peace Plan
The U.S. and Israeli electoral calendars will likely impede any grand peace plan for the foreseeable future, so the administration should instead focus on immediate stabilization measures leading up to and during the Bahrain economic conference.
May 31, 2019
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Kurdistan Chooses a New President, But Internal Rifts Deepen
The latest step toward ending the KRG’s political gridlock obscures more-worrisome Kurdish divisions, many of which threaten wider U.S.-Iraqi security and economic interests.
May 30, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
The Ends of Iran: Next Steps for Tehran and Its Neighbors
The former head of U.S. naval operations in the Gulf joins two military and diplomatic experts for a discussion on Iran's strategic calculus, allied perspectives, and Washington's policy options.
May 30, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • John Miller
  • Barbara A. Leaf
Articles & Testimony
A Deal Trump and Khamenei Could Make
Iran says it won’t negotiate with Washington under pressure, but it has done so in the past and might again.
May 29, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Rumors of War: Responding to Iranian Pushback in the Gulf
Washington should reduce tensions, open lines of communication, and restore deterrence, though managing the contradictions between these objectives will be challenging.
May 17, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Russian Activities in Africa
An in-depth look at Putin’s economic, military, and diplomatic outreach to the continent, which has extended well past North African states following his successful power play in Syria.
May 16, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil in Iran’s Crosshairs
Attacks on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi Arabia’s main internal pipeline have accelerated the emerging Gulf crisis and could cause prices to spike worldwide.
May 14, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats
Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.
May 12, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iraq-Turkey Pipeline Arbitration: Avoiding a Policy Train Wreck
Baghdad is suing Ankara for giving the Kurds independent pipeline access, but the biggest loser may be Washington’s pressure campaign on Iran.
May 8, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps
Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?
May 7, 2019
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again
American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.
May 6, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
President Donald Trump meeting with King Salman in Saudi Arabia in 2017 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce
Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.
May 1, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Armistice with Hamas, Growing Tensions with Abbas
Releasing the U.S. peace plan could accelerate recent Palestinian political dynamics, with Hamas consolidating its position via ceasefire and reconstruction aid while the PA continues isolating itself.
Apr 24, 2019
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  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
More Money at the Gas Pump May Be the Price of Pressuring Iran
President Trump may be counting on the fact that U.S. voters oppose both higher gas prices and another war, but in the end he may have to pick one or the other.
Apr 23, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome was a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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