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All Policy Analysis by Grant Rumley
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Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Used Arms Sales to Shift Saudi Behavior
Weapons bans have proven to be a fickle tool historically, so why did they work in Riyadh’s case?
Sep 4, 2024
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Elizabeth Dent
Grant Rumley
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering Chinese and Russian Influence in North Africa
The U.S. ambassador to Tunisia joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the evolution of great power competition in North Africa.
Jul 10, 2024
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Joey Hood
Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
North Africa in an Era of Great Power Competition:
Challenges and Opportunities for the United States
Washington can demonstrate its decisive edge in areas like climate change remediation and economic development, while highlighting the many dangers posed by partnership with Russia and China.
May 29, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Ben Fishman
Sabina Henneberg
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
China’s Military Objectives and Operational Experience in the Middle East
A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.
Apr 19, 2024
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
China’s Response to Iran’s Attack Is an Opportunity for Washington
U.S. officials should remind their partners abroad that Beijing’s support for Tehran is jeopardizing regional stability.
Apr 16, 2024
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Grant Rumley
Rebecca Redlich
Brief Analysis
G42 and the China-UAE-U.S. Triangle
By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.
Apr 3, 2024
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Andrew G. Clemmensen
Rebecca Redlich
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
How Washington Emboldened the Houthis
Greater decisiveness would have shortened the conflict, lessened the toll on global maritime trade, and reassured U.S. partners in the region and beyond.
Feb 6, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
Tracking Chinese Statements on the Hamas-Israel Conflict
A regularly updated compendium of Beijing’s reactions to the Gaza war, including analysis of shifts in its traditional approach of trying to please all sides.
Nov 3, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Rebecca Redlich
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Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
Video
Brief Analysis
The Israel-Hamas War and U.S. Policy: An Update
A panel of experts discuss the status of the crisis after nearly two weeks of fighting, focusing on President Biden’s visit, the contours of humanitarian assistance, ongoing de-escalation efforts, and more.
Oct 20, 2023
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Zohar Palti
David Makovsky
Grant Rumley
Ghaith al-Omari
Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
U.S. Wartime Support to Israel: First Steps and Future Considerations
The Biden administration views its defense support to Israel as sufficient at the current level of hostilities, but that may change as the war progresses and, potentially, expands.
Oct 12, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Israel Normalization Negotiations and the U.S.-Saudi Defense Relationship
In discussing a potential deal with Israel, Riyadh is pressing Washington for expedited access to more advanced U.S. weaponry.
Sep 25, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
How Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Is Reshaping the Global Arms Market:
Implications for the Middle East and Beyond
As Moscow grapples with battlefield losses and other challenges, traditional Russian clients are considering alternative sources, emerging exporters are amplifying their sales pitches, and governments are building up their domestic defense industrial bases.
Jul 17, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Louis Dugit-Gros
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
May 18, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Grant Rumley
Erik Yavorsky
Articles & Testimony
What the Russia-Iran Arms Deals Mean for the Middle East
In the longer term, the increased flow of weapons will likely exacerbate tensions in the region, spur Arab states to enhance their own arsenals, and endanger any U.S. and partner forces that confront Tehran’s proxies.
Apr 19, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Video
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Matters, Episode Two: The Mideast Impact of the Ukraine War, One Year On
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a ripple effect on global politics, including in the Middle East.
Mar 23, 2023
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Hanin Ghaddar
Grant Rumley
Anna Borshchevskaya
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Middle East Matters
Brief Analysis
What Beijing’s Iran-Saudi Deal Means—and What It Doesn’t
China brokered the agreement, but this does not signal a new Beijing-led order in the Middle East—in fact, it could make regional tensions worse.
Mar 15, 2023
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Henry Rome
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Assessing Xi Jinping’s Middle East Trip
His discussions on nuclear proliferation, energy markets, defense cooperation, and other issues offered numerous contrasts with President Biden’s summer meetings in Saudi Arabia—as well as some unexpected criticism of Iran.
Dec 22, 2022
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Grant Rumley
Carol Silber
Eric Feely
Sarah Cahn
Sude Akgundogdu
Lauren von Thaden
Faris Almaari
Articles & Testimony
Navigating China’s Security Presence in the Middle East and North Africa
Regional governments will continue to balance between Beijing and Washington, so policymakers should focus on tipping the scale in America’s favor, countering the narrative of U.S. withdrawal, and avoiding unnecessary escalation with China.
Winter 2022
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Grant Rumley
Carol Silber
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
China's Security Presence in the Middle East:
Redlines and Guidelines for the United States
A more assertive Beijing means that Washington must work harder to protect its traditional partnerships and secure sensitive information.
Oct 18, 2022
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Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
The Impact of Russia’s Ukraine Invasion in the Middle East and North Africa
A former Pentagon advisor testifies on how the war might affect Moscow's ability to sell arms to MENA governments and project power in the region.
May 18, 2022
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Grant Rumley
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