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All Policy Analysis by Grant Rumley
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Brief Analysis
Back to the Table? Recommendations for Negotiations with Iran
A compilation of views on the next round of prospective talks with Iran, sanctions relief options, military and technical considerations, the international role, and more.
Jun 27, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Richard Nephew
Farzin Nadimi
Patrick Clawson
Michael Singh
Grant Rumley
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Key Outside Actors in the Iran-Israel Showdown:
A Compilation of Washington Institute Assessments
Experts assess the roles that various actors may seek to play during and after conflict, including Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraqi militias, Palestinian factions, and international powers such as China, Russia, and the EU.
Jun 18, 2025
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Hanin Ghaddar
Noam Raydan
Michael Knights
Ghaith al-Omari
Grant Rumley
Anna Borshchevskaya
Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
The Emerging Trump Doctrine in the Middle East
The administration’s future approach to the region seems destined to echo its tendencies since January, including an emphasis on negotiated deals (as with Gaza and Iran), limited use of military force (as with the Houthis), and massive economic agreements in the name of countering China’s influence.
Jun 11, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Claudia Groeling
Brief Analysis
Trump’s First Steps on Syria Were Good, But Now He Must Keep China from Taking Advantage
Beijing specializes in exactly the type of infrastructure reconstruction assistance that Syria so urgently needs and may look to exploit any further delays or prohibitions stemming from U.S. export controls.
Jun 9, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Curbing China’s Influence on the New Syrian Government
Amid fears of Uyghur militancy and hopes of expanding business ties with Syria, Beijing has been rapidly adapting to the new reality in Damascus.
Apr 17, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
How the Trump Administration Can Limit China’s Arms Exports
Using a combination of bilateral and multilateral tools, Washington can curtail China’s ability to produce and export quality weapons while pressuring governments who consider buying them.
Mar 21, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
Assad’s Fall Is an Opportunity for a U.S. Win Over China
Beijing consistently supported the regime’s brutal repressive measures, so cozying up to the rebel-led transition government may be more difficult than it expects.
Jan 5, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Semiconductors, AI, and the Gulf:
Policy Considerations for the United States
In seeking to bolster partnerships and simultaneously protect U.S. technology, officials will need to navigate export options ranging from permissive to restrictive.
Nov 18, 2024
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Elizabeth Dent
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Used Arms Sales to Shift Saudi Behavior
Weapons bans have proven to be a fickle tool historically, so why did they work in Riyadh’s case?
Sep 4, 2024
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Elizabeth Dent
Grant Rumley
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering Chinese and Russian Influence in North Africa
The U.S. ambassador to Tunisia joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the evolution of great power competition in North Africa.
Jul 10, 2024
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Joey Hood
Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
North Africa in an Era of Great Power Competition:
Challenges and Opportunities for the United States
Washington can demonstrate its decisive edge in areas like climate change remediation and economic development, while highlighting the many dangers posed by partnership with Russia and China.
May 29, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Ben Fishman
Sabina Henneberg
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
China’s Military Objectives and Operational Experience in the Middle East
A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.
Apr 19, 2024
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
China’s Response to Iran’s Attack Is an Opportunity for Washington
U.S. officials should remind their partners abroad that Beijing’s support for Tehran is jeopardizing regional stability.
Apr 16, 2024
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Grant Rumley
Rebecca Redlich
Brief Analysis
G42 and the China-UAE-U.S. Triangle
By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.
Apr 3, 2024
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Andrew G. Clemmensen
Rebecca Redlich
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
How Washington Emboldened the Houthis
Greater decisiveness would have shortened the conflict, lessened the toll on global maritime trade, and reassured U.S. partners in the region and beyond.
Feb 6, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
Tracking Chinese Statements on the Hamas-Israel Conflict
A regularly updated compendium of Beijing’s reactions to the Gaza war, including analysis of shifts in its traditional approach of trying to please all sides.
Nov 3, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Rebecca Redlich
Claudia Groeling
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Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
Video
Brief Analysis
The Israel-Hamas War and U.S. Policy: An Update
A panel of experts discuss the status of the crisis after nearly two weeks of fighting, focusing on President Biden’s visit, the contours of humanitarian assistance, ongoing de-escalation efforts, and more.
Oct 20, 2023
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Zohar Palti
David Makovsky
Grant Rumley
Ghaith al-Omari
Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
U.S. Wartime Support to Israel: First Steps and Future Considerations
The Biden administration views its defense support to Israel as sufficient at the current level of hostilities, but that may change as the war progresses and, potentially, expands.
Oct 12, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Israel Normalization Negotiations and the U.S.-Saudi Defense Relationship
In discussing a potential deal with Israel, Riyadh is pressing Washington for expedited access to more advanced U.S. weaponry.
Sep 25, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
How Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Is Reshaping the Global Arms Market:
Implications for the Middle East and Beyond
As Moscow grapples with battlefield losses and other challenges, traditional Russian clients are considering alternative sources, emerging exporters are amplifying their sales pitches, and governments are building up their domestic defense industrial bases.
Jul 17, 2023
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Grant Rumley
Louis Dugit-Gros
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