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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Iran Dynamics: A Proxy, Not a Partner
As U.S. pressure on Tehran heats up, many in Beirut, Washington, and Europe will argue that the group is still an independent actor, but past and recent evidence shows otherwise.
Apr 12, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
After Bashir’s Fall, What’s Next for Sudan?
To forge a better future, the country must break the vicious cycle of military rule followed by incompetent, corrupt rule under the same tired political class.
Apr 11, 2019
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  • Alberto Fernandez
In-Depth Reports
The King Is Dead! Does It Matter?
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Is a major national leader's departure necessarily history changing? This study suggests that paradoxically, the more successful a leader has been in realizing his goals, the less consequential his exit.
Apr 11, 2019
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  • Martin Kramer
◆ Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Algeria’s Long Buildup to Mass Protests
The main drivers of the current crisis have been in play for many years, so Washington should focus on economic and security initiatives that can help Algeria regardless of which new leaders emerge.
Apr 9, 2019
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
After the Islamic State, Renewed Urgency for Religious Reform
The IS “caliphate” may have perished, but its ideology and capacity for future outbreaks will persist unless more vigorous reforms are instituted.
Apr 5, 2019
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  • Dina Al Raffie
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Should Seize the Chance for Change in Turkey
The president seems pragmatic enough to recognize when he is beat and refocus his efforts on normalizing the severely polarized political system.
Apr 5, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Bouteflika Resigns: Next Steps in Uncharted Territory
The accelerating pace of events calls for a careful U.S. response, since instability in Algeria could cause significant disruptions in North Africa, the Mediterranean, energy markets, and counterterrorism.
Apr 3, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Russian president Vladimir Putin and foreign minister Sergei Lavrov
Brief Analysis
Russian Moves in the Gulf and Africa Have a Common Goal
A recent spate of high-level regional visits may pave the way for Moscow to entrench itself from the East Mediterranean to the Gulf of Aden, with help from the Gulf states.
Mar 28, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Egyptian and Israeli flags along the Sinai border
Brief Analysis
The Second Step in Egypt-Israel Peace Is a Tall One
Despite their treaty’s rock-solid record on preventing armed conflict, the two countries still hold fundamentally different views on further normalization.
Mar 26, 2019
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  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
How Will Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System Affect Ties with NATO?
An expert on Turkish politics expresses the view that alliance pushback may be weaker than in the past, but that the purchase could devastate U.S.-Turkish ties.
Mar 21, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey’s Local Elections Matter
Many major jurisdictions are up for grabs, with potentially weighty foreign policy implications if Erdogan maintains his current coalition’s hardline nationalist trajectory.
Mar 20, 2019
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  • Murat Yetkin
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The New Palestinian Prime Minister Will Face Steep Internal Challenges
Fatah succession maneuvers, escalating tensions with Hamas, a financial crisis, and an uncertain security hierarchy will make it difficult for the incoming premier to improve the current situation.
Mar 13, 2019
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
A U.S.-Iraq Security Partnership: Avoiding the Pitfalls Just Ahead
Nationalist sentiment and Iranian pressure have led some Iraqi legislators to oppose a continued U.S. military presence, but Washington could make things much worse if it overreacts.
Mar 13, 2019
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  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Algeria on the Brink?
As Algiers braces for wider protests, Washington should coordinate with Arab and European allies to signal the government that it risks losing control unless it changes course.
Mar 8, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
Mar 6, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood
Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.
Mar 4, 2019
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  • Annette Ranko
  • Mohammad Yaghi
Syrian flag over a ruined building destroyed by bombing
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction
Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.
Feb 28, 2019
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  • Jomana Qaddour
In-Depth Reports
The Supreme Leader and the Guard:
Civil-Military Relations and Regime Survival in Iran
As the Islamic Republic of Iran turns forty, the dream of a unified theocratic state remains elusive. The national leadership faces three converging threats: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's uncertain health and the prospect of a destabilizing succession process; domestic dissatisfaction, manifested in daily protests across the country; and economic struggles brought
Feb 25, 2019
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  • Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Saudi Ambassador Switch Overshadows Important Defense Appointment
Sending a princess to head the embassy in Washington has grabbed the headlines, but her predecessor’s elevation to deputy defense minister may have greater policy and political implications.
Feb 25, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
The moderator of a landmark Middle East panel explains why the conference may signal growing Arab-Israeli strategic convergence, firmer European action on Iran, and further stalemate in Syria.
Feb 19, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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