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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Has a New Strategy to Survive Lebanon’s Financial Crisis
Unless Washington and its allies respond to the protestors’ legitimate demands for reform, the group will survive through measures such as expanding its smuggling activity, promoting its financial institutions, and selectively scapegoating corrupt politicians.
Mar 2, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Sacked Saudi Energy Minister Returns to Cabinet
Khalid al-Falih’s appointment to a new investment role suggests that the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic transformation project needs to be reinvigorated.
Feb 26, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East’s Future of Perpetual Pandemics
If outbreaks like the coronavirus shift from ‘black swan’ events to regular occurrences, globalization trends in the region may reverse, with sobering consequences.
Feb 26, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Reading Trump in Tehran
A week after Donald Trump was elected president in November 2016, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei played coy, remarking, “I have no judgment on the American election...[Both parties have been] naughty toward us.” Of course, his true reaction was far more complex. On one hand, he saw in the president-elect—who
Feb 23, 2020
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Challenges Await Oman’s New Sultan as Mourning Period Ends
Sultan Haitham will now be free to put his own stamp on the country's government and foreign policy, and a recent dust-up on the Yemeni border could provide the first indicator of his approach.
Feb 20, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Predetermined Parliamentary Election
The vote will further consolidate Khamenei’s authoritarian rule, while the Majlis seems set to continue its decline in importance.
Feb 19, 2020
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Video
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Missionaries of Jihad
How did a democratic bright spot in the Arab Spring become a leading source of Islamic State fighters? Read or watch an in-depth conversation with two jihadism experts.
Feb 14, 2020
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Rukmini Callimachi
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s ‘Mini Empire’ in Libya and Syria
A deep dive into the evolution of Turkey’s Middle East policy and the mixed results it has had in two Russian-fueled conflict zones.
Feb 12, 2020
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Latest Battle for Idlib Could Send Another Wave of Refugees to Europe
Various displacement scenarios may unfold as the fighting escalates, each carrying a high risk of negative humanitarian and economic consequences even if the parties live up to their promises.
Feb 10, 2020
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
UN Panel Highlights Command-and-Control Issues in Yemen
The latest Panel of Experts report shines a much-needed light on operational control issues that will likely complicate postwar efforts to unify the country’s sundry armed forces.
Feb 7, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
In-Depth Reports
Your Sons Are at Your Service: Tunisia’s Missionaries of Jihad
How did Tunisia, a democratic bright spot of the Arab uprisings with very little history of terrorist violence within its borders before 2011, become one of the largest sources of foreign fighters for the Islamic State? This groundbreaking book presents the first history of the Tunisian jihadi movement and challenges simplified views of jihadism's appeal and success.
Feb 7, 2020
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Idlib and Its Environs:
Narrowing Prospects for a Rebel Holdout
During the war years in Syria, the northwest, specifically Idlib, has become a site of heavy internal displacement. Observers on the ground recognize the green buses traveling to Idlib carrying migrants who have refused reconciliation agreements with the Damascus regime. Since around 2014, a range of jihadist, Islamist, and Salafi
Feb 5, 2020
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  • Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 2): Security, Refugees, and Narratives
By granting Israel much more say over the sovereignty of a future Palestinian state and its ability to absorb refugees, the document may undermine the administration’s ability to build an international coalition behind its policies.
Feb 4, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Centering Iraq Policy on Human Rights and Fair Elections
The surest way to counter Iran’s malign influence is to proactively focus on human rights issues that the new prime minister can actually affect, such as organizing free elections and preventing further violence against protestors.
Feb 4, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Economic Crisis Sparks Rare Protests in Regime Territory
Besides highlighting Assad’s financial mismanagement, the recent unrest gives the international community a genuine opportunity to push for transition while bolstering the more prosperous local administration in the northeast.
Jan 31, 2020
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Video
Brief Analysis
Shia Militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon Post-Soleimani
Will the various regional militias once controlled by Qasem Soleimani continue to take sometimes-unwanted direction from Tehran after his death? Read or watch a spirited conversation with three experts.
Jan 30, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
  • Phillip Smyth
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Status Quo in Northeast Syria: Humanitarian and Security Implications
Three leading experts assess the current balance of power and its potential effects on counterterrorism, refugee resettlement, governance, economics, and other crucial issues.
Jan 29, 2020
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  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
  • Gonul Tol
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Trump Peace Plan Attracts Some Gulf States, But Not Consensus Backing
Bahrain, Oman, and the UAE have evidently decided that good relations with the White House are more important than echoing Palestinian anger or appeasing Iran.
Jan 29, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Soleimani Is Dead: The Road Ahead for Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq
Iraqis have expressed broad political, religious, and public support for checking the militias more quickly, so the U.S. government should take several steps toward that end.
Jan 27, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Reactions to the Trump Plan
The PA will likely limit itself to quick diplomatic thrusts in order to preempt Arab support and isolate Washington, but any Israeli annexation moves could trigger more drastic action.
Jan 27, 2020
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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