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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Aleppo: Is the Turnaround Sustainable for the Rebels?
Anti-Assad forces can relish a victory, but their stated aspiration to hold the entire city should be taken with a grain of salt.
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
How Donald Trump's Rhetoric on NATO Works to Vladimir Putin's Advantage
To the Russian leader, a wavering U.S. commitment to the alliance vindicates an approach based on bold action in Georgia, Ukraine, and Syria and increasing aggressiveness toward American forces.
۷ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Prosecuting Assad: War Crimes, Mass Atrocities, and U.S. Policy
Three experts discuss the trove of documentation behind Syrian war crimes, U.S. pursuit of transitional justice for the Assad regime, and how prosecutions might proceed.
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Stephen J. Rapp
  • Ben Taub
Articles & Testimony
The Case for (Finally) Bombing Assad
If Russia does want to limit its involvement in Syria, the threat of limited strikes should persuade it to make the Syrian leader behave.
۳ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Damascus Control Emboldens Assad Nationally
Without a real military threat to the capital, neither the Syrian leader nor Iran will accept a political transition, even if Russia agrees to one.
۲ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
U.S. Strikes Islamic State in Libya
Together with a domestic oil deal, the American airstrikes could mark an important turn for the war-torn nation.
۲ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Forces Bolster Assad in Aleppo
By allying with the Syrian regime, the YPG implicitly signaled to the U.S. government that the Kurdish group will act based on its own interests.
۲۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The U.S., the Peshmerga, and Mosul
Although the scale and effectiveness of coalition efforts to train and equip the Peshmerga have grown, U.S.-Kurdish ties have yet to change fundamentally.
۲۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Lengthening Cyber Shadow
Cyber is emerging as Iran's weapon of choice for dealing with domestic opponents and foreign adversaries. Accordingly, Washington needs to better understand the dynamics governing cyber deterrence and escalation vis-à-vis the Islamic Republic. In this Research Note, military expert Michael Eisenstadt explains why Tehran has come to rely increasingly on
۲۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
If Tensions Increase with the West, Erdogan Might Find a Friend in Putin
The post-coup fallout spells trouble for NATO, Europe, and the Turkish president's foes.
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside Turkey's Failed Coup: What Happened? Why? What Next?
Two experts discuss how the coup was thwarted, what Erdogan will do next, and how the nascent purges might shift Ankara's relations with Washington.
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
Troubling Forces Unleashed in Turkey
An in-depth conversation about why the coup happened and what implications it holds for Islamist mobilization in the streets, public perceptions of the military, and cooperation with the United States in Syria.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Iran Still Looms Large in Israel's Threat Perception
Israel and Washington should jointly address the perceived lack of U.S. deterrence against persistent Iranian and proxy threats, conclude the ten-year military assistance package as soon as possible, and launch a strategic high-level dialogue under the next administration.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Closing Loopholes in the Proposed U.S.-Russian Agreement on Syria
The agreement's currently proposed terms have far less chance of stemming the international terrorist threat, helping the Syrian people, or turning the cessation of hostilities into a viable ceasefire.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Threat in the Golan Heights
Using both carrots and sticks, Israel has so far managed to prevent attacks against the Golan, but the danger is growing as jihadist movements increase their presence in southwestern Syria amid setbacks on other fronts.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey and Russia Make Up?
On June 27th, the Kremlin announced that Turkey had apologized to Moscow for downing a Russian jet, which had violated Turkish airspace while flying over Syria in November 2015. The following day, Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had expressed his regrets to Russian President
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Defeating the Islamic State in Sirte: Secondary Effects and Remaining Challenges
While recent battlefield successes against the group's Libyan stronghold are encouraging, the threat persists, and political dysfunction remains a significant obstacle to stabilizing the country.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew Engel
Brief Analysis
Will the PKK and the Islamic State Bring Turkey and Russia Closer Together?
If Ankara wants to intervene against the Islamic State in Syria, block Kurdish advances, and defeat the PKK at home, it may decide to do whatever is necessary to placate Moscow, perhaps even cutting off support for certain anti-Assad rebel groups.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Russia's Cooperation on the Iran Deal Is No Favor to Washington
Moscow only agreed to the nuclear deal out of self-interest, and the JCPOA has allowed Russia to expand ties with Iran while positioning itself as a regional counterweight to the West.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Who Is Iran's New Armed Forces Chief of Staff?
The appointment of one of the IRGC's youngest generals can be seen as a sign of the Guards' growing primacy in future Iranian military thinking, and perhaps an urgent push toward improving interoperability between often-competing armed services.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مایکل آیزنستات
مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.
Michael Knights
مایکل نایتز

مایکل نایتز هموند جیل و جی برنشتاین در انستیتو واشنگتن و کارشناس امور نظامی و امنیتی عراق، ایران و کشورهای خلیج فارس است. او مقیم بوستون است و یکی از بنیانگذاران پلتفرم «شبه‌نظامیان زیر ذره‌‌بین» که تحلیل‌های عمیق از تحولات مربوط به شبه‌نظامیان تحت حمایت ایران در عراق و سوریه ارائه می‌کند.

دکتر نایتز بارها به عراق، یمن و کشورهای خلیج فارس سفر کرده و به طور منظم در خصوص سیاست‌گذاری‌های دولت ایالات متحده، کمیته‌های کنگره و افسران نظامی آمریکا در امور امنیتی منطقه،‌ سازمان‌های نظامی و امنیتی محلی در عراق، کشورهای خلیج فارس و یمن فعالیت داشته است.

او دکترای خود را از کالج کینگ لندن دریافت کرده و

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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