دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

Supporting Sudan’s Essential but Risky Progress

Since experiencing major upheaval and demands for change in 2019, the country has achieved real gains in its political transition, but it needs serious American assistance to safely advance the fragile process.

۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Alberto Fernandez

Iranian presidential candidate Ebrahim Raisi speaking in 2021

تحلیل کوتاه

رئیسی برنده نشد، اصلاح‌طلبان باختند

حمایت مردمی از اصلاح‌طلبان در میان رای‌دهندگان سرخوردهٔ ایرانی از بین رفته است و همتی و حلقه نزدیکان او نمی‌توانستند برای اجتناب از مشارکت پایین و از دست دادن آرا کار چندانی بکنند.

۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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پاتریک کلاوسون

Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, casts his vote for president

تحلیل کوتاه

از روحانی تا رئیسی: چند پرسش‌ اساسی در آستانه انتخابات ریاست جمهوری

با هموار ساختن مسیر ابراهیم رئیسی برای رسیدن به ریاست‌ جمهوری، حکومت ایران در تلاش است تا از مشارکت اندک رای‌دهندگان پیشگیری کند و برای او در یک پیروزی گسترده رای اعتماد بگیرد.

۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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عمر کرمی

A UNDOF soldier on guard duty next to a mural of a dove of peace - source: Reuters

Video

Brief Analysis

Anti-Normalization Laws: A Powerful Weapon in the Fight Against Peace

A panel of experts discuss Hezbollah’s efforts to neutralize the Abraham Accords by threatening and prosecuting Lebanese citizens who interact with Israelis, including expatriates living or working in Gulf countries.

۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Nadim Koteich
Majd Harb
Hanin Ghaddar
Joseph Braude

Brief Analysis

Making Libya’s Berlin Process Work

To break the political deadlock, begin the withdrawal of disruptive foreign forces, and deploy ceasefire monitors, U.S. officials will need to hold some hard conversations with the UN envoy and all of the international and local actors on the ground.

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Ben Fishman
Anas El Gomati

In-Depth Reports

Promoting Sovereignty and Accountability in Iraq:

Guidelines for the Biden Administration

The complexity of Iraq’s challenges might prompt some U.S. officials to balk, but a constructive policy can help advance both Iraqi and American interests in areas ranging from counterterrorism to economic development.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Bilal Wahab

◆ Transition 2021

Video

Brief Analysis

The Last Vote? Obstacles to Renewing UN Cross-Border Assistance in Syria

Amid talk of a potential new Security Council resolution, veteran diplomats and aid practitioners debate the future of humanitarian assistance to needy Syrians.

۱۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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James Jeffrey
Basma Alloush
Carsten Wieland

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

یک انتخابات تقلبی دیگر در سوریه: پیامدها برای حل و فصل جنگ

در این نشست، گروهی از کارشناسان درباره پیامدهای کوتاه‌مدت و بلندمدت انتخابات ریاست جمهوری سال ۲۰۲۱ سوریه از جمله تاثیر بالقوه آن بر اپوزیسیون داخلی سوریه، عادی‌سازی روابط با اسرائیل در منطقه، چشم‌انداز آینده صلح و سیاست غرب بحث می‌کنند.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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ولادیمیر پران
هانا رابرتز
وائل سواح
زهره البرازی
امیل حوکاییم
اما بیلز

Flag of the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)

Brief Analysis

Hanging on in Idlib: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s Expanding Tribal Engagement

As Western policymakers debate potential engagement with HTS, they should do so with eyes wide open to the jihadist group’s true status in the province and its intentions toward local tribal institutions.

۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Brief Analysis

Iraq’s Judiciary Weak Link

Regardless of the executive branch’s willingness to confront militia abuses, true rule of law cannot take hold unless judges are protected from intimidation and corruption.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

Preserving the Lebanese Armed Forces Amid State Decline

Although continued pressure on the country’s political elites is necessary, the U.S. government needs to find more immediate ways of helping soldiers and citizens by making creative use of State, Defense, and congressional authorities.

۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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David Schenker
Grant Rumley

Articles & Testimony

Israel and Hamas After Gaza War

From expelling UN officials to giving Jews unsolicited relocation advice, Hamas has once again shown its true colors, even as Israeli politicians prepare to form a new multiethnic coalition government.

۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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David Pollock

Israeli politicians Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Proposed Power-Sharing Government: Policy Implications and Prospects for Survival

Even if the consensus-based coalition is sworn in, the big question mark hanging over Bennett and Lapid is whether Palestinian developments or Netanyahu’s relentless opposition will produce irreconcilable internal differences.

۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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David Makovsky

تحلیل کوتاه

رقابت یک‌نفره؟ ایران فهرست نامزدهای ریاست‌جمهوری را قیچی می‌کند

رژیم ظاهرا همه موانع احتمالی برنده‌شدن ابراهیم رئیسی در انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری، و شاید جانشینی خامنه‌ای را در آینده، برطرف می‌کند؛ اما مشروعیت داخلی رژیم با خطر زوال روبروست.

۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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عمر کرمی

Brief Analysis

Algeria’s Economic Challenges: Opportunities for U.S. Engagement

The pandemic has exacerbated persistent structural problems in the government’s approach to foreign investment, banking reform, monetary policy, and other sectors, but Algiers may be more open to U.S. advice on such matters.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Geoff Porter

تحلیل کوتاه

آغاز فصل انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری ایران: پنج نکته اساسی

کارزار پیش ‌رو احتمالا بر رقابتی سه‌ طرفه تمرکز خواهد داشت: رقابت میان رئیسی محافظه‌کار و لاریجانی، محافظه‌کاری که عمل‌گرا شده، و جهانگیری که به اصلاح‌طلبان نزدیک است.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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عمر کرمی

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 2): Release Claims

Militias made a concerted effort to create the false impression that their colleague had been released immediately, and the claim was soon echoed by major global media outlets.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 1): International Zone Claims

The first wave of post-arrest deception operations tried to give the false impression that militias controlled the Baghdad zone containing the prime minister's residence, the U.S. embassy, and other sensitive sites.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Police walk past the Palestinian Legislative Council in Ramallah

Articles & Testimony

Palestinian Politics Are More Divided Than Ever

Fatah and Hamas have tried every conceivable power-sharing mechanism to no avail, and many Palestinians now feel alienated from both brands of authoritarianism.

۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Ghaith al-Omari

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Militias Try, and Fail, to Intimidate the Government

Baghdad effectively enforced the rule of law by detaining a senior militia figure, though it still needs to arrest other murder suspects and show the public that October’s election will be safe.

۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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