دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh gestures to supporters

If Palestinian Elections Proceed, Hamas May Have the Upper Hand

Abbas may decide to postpone the vote given Fatah’s internal fissures, his rivals’ relative unity, and the damage that certain outcomes could do to Palestinian relations with the West.

۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Ghaith al-Omari

Brief Analysis

Momentum Swings Toward Netanyahu in Tight Race

Netanyahu has managed to erode support for key rivals and further complicate any opposition coalition scenarios, but the lingering possibility of a fifth round of elections raises troubling questions about the status of Israeli politics.

۲۲ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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David Makovsky

Brief Analysis

To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF

The political fallout from a recent speech by the Lebanese Armed Forces commander gives Washington and its partners a golden opportunity to prod the country from crisis management toward actual solutions.

۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Hanin Ghaddar

Tunisia's King Mohammed VI addresses the Tunisian parliament

Articles & Testimony

Tunisia 2021: Ennahda vs. Extremists

Despite accusations by leftist politicians, Ennahda’s commitment to national security has not wavered since it turned on the jihadi movement, but the party still needs to define what it means by “Muslim Democracy.”

۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Russian president Vladimir Putin and foreign minister Sergei Lavrov

Articles & Testimony

Is Russia Trying to Play Kingmaker in Lebanon?

To expand its strategic influence on the Mediterranean, Moscow is exploiting Beirut and Hezbollah’s crisis at a time when the West seems uncertain about how much to intervene.

۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Anna Borshchevskaya

Articles & Testimony

What We Ignore, We Empower: Five Decades of Despair Under the Assad Regime

A Syrian scholar and expatriate lays out the legacy of terror under the Assads and urges the Biden administration to prioritize the country’s sundry crises.

Spring 2021

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Oula A. Alrifai

Articles & Testimony

Our Presence in Iraq Remains a Vital US National Security Interest

American withdrawal would doom efforts against the Islamic State, undermine confidence in Baghdad, exacerbate Iraq's economic crisis, and deliver the country completely to Tehran.

۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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David Schenker

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

خاشقجی‌های دیگر: دگراندیشان خاورمیانه در خطر

با حمله رو به افزایش شبه‌نظامیان به کنشگران، مسئولان غربی باید از مهاجمان نام ببرند، آنان را پاسخگو کنند، و قبل از آن که جنبش‌های داخلی و مردمی برای همیشه از بین بروند، از آنها حمایت کنند.

۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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حنین غدار
مایکل نایتز

تحلیل کوتاه

پاپ با آیت‌اللّه ملاقات می‌کند

ارتباط واتیکان با عراق با هدف کاهش خشونت دینی ستودنی است، اما مقامات غربی درمورد دستاورد همکاری با رهبران دینی شیعه در کوتاه‌مدت باید واقع‌گرا باشند.

۶ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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مهدی خلجی

Brief Analysis

Lebanon's Predicament: Political Stagnation and Economic Collapse in a Hezbollah-Dominated State

Three Lebanese experts explore Beirut’s precarious politics, Hezbollah’s continued ability to evade accountability, and the Biden administration’s options.

۵ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Makram Rabah
Ali al-Amin
Alia Mansour

NATO solderis with alliance and national flags

Brief Analysis

NATO in Iraq: Not a Surge

NATO stands ready to increase its commitment in a slow and steady manner consistent with Baghdad’s needs, but careful communication will be crucial, as will a more strategic discussion on how to combine different assistance efforts.

۵ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights
Pierre Morcos

Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags

Brief Analysis

Assad Is Giving Biden Every Reason to Prioritize Syria

Even if the growing regional and geopolitical stakes were not sufficient on their own, the regime’s domestic negligence, illegitimacy, and criminality provide ample reason to shake up Washington’s approach.

۳ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai

Video

Brief Analysis

Countdown to Israel's Election: A Conversation with Yair Lapid

The centrist party leader discusses key domestic and international policy issues ahead of the upcoming Knesset elections, with follow-up analysis by political and polling experts.

۱ مارس ۲۰۲۱

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Yair Lapid
David Makovsky
Tamar Hermann

Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia

Articles & Testimony

For Better or Worse: Which Way Will US-Saudi Relations Go Under Biden?

The new administration seems to regard Khashoggi’s death as merely the best known of the crown prince’s sins, but it is hard to see an alternative successor in the House of Saud.

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Reframing Libya for a Reluctant Administration

By treating the conflict as a matter of Mediterranean security, President Biden’s team can better assist the new Libyan government and demonstrate its commitment to revitalizing alliances.

۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Ben Fishman

Articles & Testimony

Balancing Act: Biden Must Redefine the US-Saudi Relationship

The administration’s instinct to cancel Riyadh’s blank check is right, but engaging a flawed partner is not the same as confronting a determined adversary.

۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Dennis Ross
Robert Satloff

MbS, King Salman, Saudi map, fighter jet

In-Depth Reports

Defining a Mature, Balanced Relationship with Saudi Arabia

An Urgent Task for the Biden Administration

A revamped approach to the alliance should stay focused on shared goals, from ensuring a stable oil market to promoting a more tolerant version of Islam at home and abroad.

۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Dennis Ross
Robert Satloff

◆ Transition 2021

Brief Analysis

The Tunisian Jihadist Movement Ten Years After the Prisoner Amnesty

Security issues won’t top Tunisia’s agenda in 2021, but the sheer volume of citizens mobilized into the jihadist milieu over the past decade suggests that the consequences will be felt for years to come.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Video

Brief Analysis

Countering and Exposing Terrorist Propaganda and Disinformation

A senior U.S. official discusses how the government and its partners are using technological innovation, social media engagement, and other tools to challenge false narratives spread by state and nonstate actors.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Daniel Kimmage

◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Round Four: New and Old Dynamics

It is far from certain that the next election will stabilize Israeli politics, and even if it does, the forces taking shape could create challenging peace math for the Biden administration.

۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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David Makovsky

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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