انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

Implications of the Saudi Corruption Arrests

The latest crackdown appears to have targeted senior defense and interior officials, spurring speculation that they are linked to previously detained princes rumored to be plotting a coup.

۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Iraq’s Health, Financial, and Security Crises Sharpen the Urgency of Forming a Government

Allawi’s cabinet failure may indicate growing Iraqi agency at Iran’s expense, but the path toward political stability remains tortuous and foggy.

۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Bilal Wahab

Articles & Testimony

Russia and Saudis in a Knife Fight Over Oil—But We May Be the Victims

The duration and effects of the showdown may come down to price fluctuations and budgetary requirements in Moscow and Riyadh, but the U.S. shale industry will likely suffer either way.

۱۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Making Sense of the Saudi Rumors: A Guide to Royal Family Politics

Reports of royal arrests, a possible coup plot, and a brewing oil price war suggest that the kingdom is facing another period of considerable political tension.

۹ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

شیعیان در مقابل هلال شیعی

ایران، خواه با اعمال زور و خواه از راه سیاست، به‌شدت نیازمند تحکیم دوبارۀ قوا در حوزۀ نفوذ شیعی خود در سراسر منطقه است؛ چالشی که چه‌بسا، با توجه به احساسات عمومی فعلی در عراق و لبنان، بزرگ‌تر از آن است که چاره شود.

۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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حنین غدار

تحلیل کوتاه

استراتژی جدید حزب‌الله برای بقا در بحران مالی لبنان

اگر واشنگتن و متحدانش به مطالبات مشروع معترضان لبنانی برای اصلاحات پاسخ ندهند، حزب‌الله از طریق گسترش عملیات قاچاق، ارتقای ظرفیت نهادهای مالی خود، و قربانی‌ کردن گزینشیِ سیاستمداران فاسد، به بقای خود ادامه خواهد داد.

۲ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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حنین غدار

Brief Analysis

Sacked Saudi Energy Minister Returns to Cabinet

Khalid al-Falih’s appointment to a new investment role suggests that the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic transformation project needs to be reinvigorated.

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East’s Future of Perpetual Pandemics

If outbreaks like the coronavirus shift from ‘black swan’ events to regular occurrences, globalization trends in the region may reverse, with sobering consequences.

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Michael Knights

تحلیل کوتاه

رویکرد کارگروه اقدام مالی در قبال ایران باید ترکیبی از همکاری و فشار باشد

هرچند زمان آن است که این معیارگذار بین‌المللی دست به اقدام بزند، اما نباید بازگشت ایران به لیست سیاه کارگروه اقدام مالی (FATF) پایان همکاری با ایران تلقی شود.

۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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کاترین باوئر

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Latest Battle for Idlib Could Send Another Wave of Refugees to Europe

Various displacement scenarios may unfold as the fighting escalates, each carrying a high risk of negative humanitarian and economic consequences even if the parties live up to their promises.

۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Fabrice Balanche

Brief Analysis

Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 2): Security, Refugees, and Narratives

By granting Israel much more say over the sovereignty of a future Palestinian state and its ability to absorb refugees, the document may undermine the administration’s ability to build an international coalition behind its policies.

۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Ghaith al-Omari

Brief Analysis

Syria’s Economic Crisis Sparks Rare Protests in Regime Territory

Besides highlighting Assad’s financial mismanagement, the recent unrest gives the international community a genuine opportunity to push for transition while bolstering the more prosperous local administration in the northeast.

۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Oula A. Alrifai

Articles & Testimony

Here’s How the U.S. Can Pressure Lebanon’s New Government to Tackle Corruption

Designating corrupt businessmen and officials under the Global Magnitsky Act would offer a tangible response to the persistent anti-sectarian demands of Lebanese protesters.

۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt

Russian president Vladimir Putin and foreign minister Sergei Lavrov

Brief Analysis

Russia’s Growing Interests in Libya

As in other conflict zones, Moscow cares little about reaching a peace deal so long as it can outmaneuver the West strategically while securing port and energy access—with private contractors playing an increasingly important role.

۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Anna Borshchevskaya

Brief Analysis

U.S. Do’s and Don’ts in Iraq

To ensure that new protests, new sanctions, and new political leadership wind up helping rather than hindering Iraqi sovereignty, Washington must handle upcoming developments with great care.

۲۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Michael Knights

تحلیل کوتاه

پشت ادعای روحانی در مورد غنی‌سازی اورانیوم

با توجه به موارد نقض برجام در گذشته از سوی ایران و تعداد زیاد سانتریفیوژهای عملیاتی آن، ارقام نگران کننده روحانی را می‌توان دقیق دانست.

۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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الانا دو‌لوزی

Brief Analysis

Ceasefire or Escalation in Libya?

After the fall of Sirte, Erdogan and Putin’s desired ceasefire can only be achieved with Washington’s support.

۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Ben Fishman

Brief Analysis

Eight Reasons Why the United States and Iraq Still Need Each Other

A host of crucial multilateral interests are baked into the U.S. presence, from keeping the Islamic State down, to protecting vulnerable regional allies, to preventing Iran from taking Iraq's oil revenues.

۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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David Pollock

Articles & Testimony

Hezbollah’s Moment of Truth

The group has promised bloody retribution for Suleimani’s death, but in reality it will likely stay focused on rebuilding its own diminished stature at home.

۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Hanin Ghaddar

Articles & Testimony

Iran May Want Revenge for Soleimani, But It May Need Restraint Instead

The incident might convince Khamenei and his advisors that their meddling in the Middle East is jeopardizing the regime’s domestic stability.

۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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