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Brief Analysis
Iran’s National Security Council Shuffle Signals Business as Usual
The latest change followed the normal timeline for such appointments, and the new council secretary is a demonstrated loyalist who will presumably toe the Supreme Leader’s uncompromising line.
May 24, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Political Settlement in Yemen: Challenges and Future Prospects
In order to reach a sustainable political settlement in Yemen, all parties must be involved in negotiating the geographic and military dimensions of the country's future.
May 23, 2023
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Adel Dashela
Articles & Testimony
Hizbullah and Russia’s Nascent Alliance
Although much is still unknown about the full extent of their collaboration, U.S. sanctions designations have revealed a multifaceted and increasingly lucrative relationship that should not be ignored amid other crises.
May 23, 2023
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Aurora Ortega
Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah’s Escalating Feud with the Iraqi Security Forces
The leading Iran-backed militia is increasingly picking territorial fights with military forces controlled by Baghdad.
May 19, 2023
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Amir al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Jeddah Declaration Is Not Yet a Ceasefire
On May 11, Saudi Arabia and the United States announced that representatives of the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) had signed a Declaration of Commitment to Protect the Civilians of Sudan.
May 19, 2023
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Mon’im Omer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Kuwait Poll Shows Little Interest in Protests Despite Deadlock, Split Views of Global Powers
In a new public opinion poll commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted in March-April by an independent regional firm, Kuwaitis appeared averse to any disruptions at home or around the region, even as tensions grow across Kuwait’s political scene.
May 18, 2023
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Frances McDonough
Video
Brief Analysis
America's Shifting Iran Policy: From George W. Bush to the Present
Watch as an expert panel assesses the full sweep of U.S. policy toward Iran in the twenty-first century across the Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations.
May 18, 2023
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Elliott Abrams
Dennis Ross
Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Navigating the Dynamic Homeland Threat Landscape
A senior U.S. official discusses the current threat landscape, the role of counterterrorism in the broader national security space, and the Department of Homeland Security’s efforts to prevent violent extremism.
May 18, 2023
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Nicholas Rasmussen
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ashab al-Kahf Claims Six-Year-Old Unsolved Murder of U.S. Soldier
The group stopped hinting and actually took credit for the 2017 murder of U.S. soldier Alexander Missildine, who was then supporting Iraqi combat operations to liberate territory from the Islamic State.
May 18, 2023
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
May 18, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Grant Rumley
Erik Yavorsky
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: The Muhandis General Company
By establishing this Iraqi version of an Iranian IRGC conglomerate, militias aim to quickly dominate the country's growing economy.
May 17, 2023
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
The Palestinian Succession Crisis
Over nearly two decades, President Abbas has consolidated power and scorned a consensus-based approach to governance, making a smooth eventual leadership handover unlikely.
May 17, 2023
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia Can “Bounce Back” from Authoritarianism with Proper Support
Other countries that have restored democratic norms in recent years have seen progress in five distinct areas.
May 16, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Sarah Yerkes
Brief Analysis
After Gaza Operation, Netanyahu Seeks to Recover Ground
The Israeli prime minister appears to have avoided a wider military conflict and received a boost in opinion polls, but minefields await.
May 16, 2023
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Another Round of Negotiations with the Houthis: AQAP as Potential Spoiler in Yemen
If talks with the Houthis continue to ignore key Yemeni stakeholders, al-Qaeda is poised to absorb disillusioned tribal groups into its ranks.
May 16, 2023
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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
Articles & Testimony
East and West: Which Way Does Turkey Face?
President Erdogan has tried to reshape the country in his own image, as socially conservative, politically Islamist, and Middle Eastern, with the ultimate goal of reviving its great power status.
May 15, 2023
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Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Communications and Media Commission
After falling under the control of “resistance”-linked board members, this key Iraqi media institution began a widespread crackdown on freedom of expression. Its head commissioner is a member of U.S.-designated terrorist group Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
May 15, 2023
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi CMC Draft Regulation on Digital Content in Iraq
English translation of the March 16, 2023, draft regulation on digital content by the Iraqi Communications and Media Commission.
May 15, 2023
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Opinion Poll Shows 40 Percent Still Back Some Ties with Israel; Three-Fourths Say Rocket Fire Against Israel Will Have Negative Effects
A rare public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April 2023 by a reputable regional firm, reveals an intriguing mix of attitudes—some in line with emerging Saudi government policies; others, not so much.
May 15, 2023
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Preserving U.S. Military Advantages in the Middle East
In areas such as basing, air superiority, high-tech weapons, and intelligence, America must act assertively to maintain its edge against competitors like Russia and China.
May 14, 2023
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Nathan P. Olsen
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