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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for al-Bab Is Bringing U.S.-Turkish Tensions to a Head
Helping Erdogan take the city could greatly decrease the civilian death toll and preserve U.S.-Turkish cooperation in Syria, but Washington will still need to decide what to do with the Kurds, its other key ally against the Islamic State.
Jan 9, 2017
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Battle: Iraq Gaining Momentum Against IS
After making important gains on Mosul's eastern side and reestablishing security and basic services for some displaced civilians, Iraqi forces will likely need to regroup before tackling the rest of the city.
Jan 9, 2017
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
A Tactical -- Not Strategic -- Ceasefire in Syria
The post-Aleppo lull on the western front is likely just an excuse for Russia to rotate new forces and equipment into Syria and prepare for the next major offensive.
Jan 6, 2017
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
Jan 6, 2017
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Patient Approach in Syria May Be Paying Off
By advising its Syrian affiliate to coopt other armed groups, avoid alienating the locals, and (for now) eschew international terrorism, al-Qaeda is laying the foundation for a permanent base in the heart of the Levant.
Jan 6, 2017
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Kelsey Segawa
In-Depth Reports
Struggling to Advance in Post-Spring Libya
In this essay, eleventh in a series exploring non-Islamist reform actors post-Arab Spring, analyst Mohamed Eljarh explores the prospects for governance in a deeply fragmented, polarized Libya.
Jan 5, 2017
Rules of the Iraqi Game
Stabilizing post-ISIS Iraq will require economic reform in addition to any political settlement.
Jan 5, 2017
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Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs 'Useless Syria' Too
Eastern Syria holds major hydrocarbon and agricultural resources that make it a vital asset in Assad's quest for regime self-sufficiency, and a potentially powerful source of U.S. leverage against him.
Jan 4, 2017
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Can Trump Overcome Obama's Israel Failure?
The new administration must restore intimacy and common purpose to the bilateral partnership.
Jan 3, 2017
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Istanbul Attack: Turkey Must End Blame Game and Look for Solutions
The perpetrators of the ongoing string of major terrorist attacks are obvious, but Turkey's bitterly divided pro- and anti-Erdogan camps refuse to focus on the foreign and domestic policy factors underlying the violence.
Jan 1, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Kerry's Speech: Some Continuity, Some Disconnect
The secretary's latest remarks beg the question: at a time when Israelis and Palestinians are clearly unable to strike a grand deal, why not put ideology aside, jettison the administration's all-or-nothing approach, and lay out more modest parameters on settlements, incitement, and other concrete issues?
Dec 29, 2016
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Obama's Sanctions Against Russia Must Lead to a Broader Strategy to Thwart Putin's Efforts to Destabilize U.S.
These new sanctions the Obama administration announced Thursday in response to Moscow's hacking efforts to influence the U.S. presidential election are hardly the first against Russia -- and neither is the expulsion of 35 diplomats suspected as spies. They nonetheless send a strong message and show the U.S. is taking
Dec 29, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Israel's Amona Compromise May Bolster the Settler Movement
The generous relocation deal and proposed outpost legalization bill have drawn fire for appeasing settlers, who seem to believe that the Trump administration will give them even more leverage to expand their presence in the West Bank.
Dec 28, 2016
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Mitchel Hochberg
Brief Analysis
Early Implications of the UN Settlements Resolution
The legal consequences of UNSCR 2334 may be significant, while the impact on U.S.-Israeli relations and future peacemaking efforts could be profound.
Dec 27, 2016
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Twenty Five Years after Soviet Union's Collapse the West Lacks Strategic Vision Towards Russia
Moscow still aims to undermine the very values that hold the West together, but the United States and its allies have not mustered the moral and strategic clarity needed to stave off this threat.
Dec 25, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
President Obama Has Been Against Israel Settlements Since Taking Office
Making the concept of Israeli-Palestinian land swaps harder to implement is probably not the legacy President Obama wants, yet it may be one he has just made more likely.
Dec 23, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Putin Praises Trump, Downplays Arms Race
The Washington Institute's Anna Borshchevskaya and Cipher Brief's Leone Lakhani review Moscow's 2016 track record on the Syria war, Iran, and other Middle East-related issues.
Dec 23, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The United States Just Made Middle East Peace Harder
Peace in the Middle East will not be accomplished through a UN vote, but rather through the renewal of U.S. leadership in the region and the rebuilding of trust with America's partners there.
Dec 23, 2016
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Elliott Abrams
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
What Should Trump Do About Syria?
Establishing safe zones, pursuing a tougher line of negotiation with Russia, and limiting Iran's destabilizing presence are the best ways of addressing the country's de facto partition.
Dec 22, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
What's at Stake for Lebanon's New Government?
The heavy presence of pro-Iranian and pro-Syrian ministers is troubling, but Hariri and his allies can still preserve Lebanon's sovereignty by pushing for a balanced electoral law and a timely parliamentary ballot.
Dec 21, 2016
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Hanin Ghaddar
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