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Video
Brief Analysis
After the Ayatollahs: The Middle East Post-Khamenei
Two leading experts on clerical succession in Iran and Iraq discuss how the passing of Ayatollah Sistani and Supreme Leader Khamenei would affect American interests across the Middle East.
Feb 10, 2017
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Ali Mamouri
Suzanne Maloney
Brief Analysis
What Will Netanyahu Discuss with Trump?
The following is based on remarks delivered by Ziegler Distinguished Fellow David Makovsky at a Washington Institute Policy Forum on February 8. His views on these issues are spelled out in greater length in the Transition 2017 paper " Toward a New Paradigm for Addressing the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict," coauthored with
Feb 10, 2017
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Change Has Not Come to the Middle East
Given the region’s notorious difficulty, it would be tempting for President Trump to pivot elsewhere, but America's pressing foreign policy interests will likely draw his administration to the Middle East once again.
Feb 10, 2017
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Amona's Last Gasps
Although Israeli forces demonstrated that they can effectively evacuate an illegal outpost, the settler movement seems to have won the day by securing permission for new construction elsewhere in the West Bank.
Feb 9, 2017
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Mitchel Hochberg
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Be Wary About Overplaying Its Hand on the Muslim Brotherhood
The idea of formally designating the group as a terrorist organization raises technical and legal issues that could bolster already-marginalized Brotherhood members in unintended ways if handled improperly.
Feb 9, 2017
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Netanyahu Meeting in the Context of Emerging U.S. Middle East Policy
The two leaders will need to figure out where Israel's pressing concerns about Iran fit in with the Trump administration's emerging regional policy, particularly its emphasis on quickly destroying the Islamic State.
Feb 9, 2017
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Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Campaign to Retake Raqqa Is Accelerating
Kurdish-led forces are in good position for a final assault on the Islamic State's Syrian stronghold, and other actors seem ready to either support them or stand aside and benefit from their faster progress on the battlefield.
Feb 9, 2017
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Fabrice Balanche
In-Depth Reports
The Future of Leadership in the Shiite Community
Mahmoud Hashemi Shahroudi, a former Iranian judiciary chief who holds a prominent position in the Assembly of Experts, now has two paths to leadership of the Shiite community. The first is as a potential successor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now seventy-seven; the second is to eventually take the place
Feb 7, 2017
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will the Lebanese President Be Assad's New Friend in Town?
Following accusations that Syria had assassinated former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, Syrian forces withdrew from Lebanon in 2005 under UN Security Council resolution 1559. In a speech to parliament announcing the withdrawal, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said that “Syria’s withdrawal from Lebanon does not mean an end to Syria’s
Feb 7, 2017
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Fadi al-Dahouk
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Islamists in Kurdistan: Challenges and Aspirations
February 7, 2017 Counter to what many believe, Islamists in Kurdistan are characterized by their openness to change and their intellectual and practical development. But challenges within and outside their parties, defined by political, economic, and administrative realities in the region, prevent them from playing an effective role in resolving
Feb 7, 2017
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Mohammad Abu Bakr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Nineveh Plains and the Future of Minorities in Iraq
February 7, 2016 When the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) stormed northern Iraq and took over Mosul in the summer of 2014, it ran a parallel campaign of genocide against the minorities of the Nineveh Plains. For many of these groups, including Christians and Yezidis, this was the
Feb 7, 2017
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Yousif Kalian
Articles & Testimony
The Plan to Defeat ISIS: Key Decisions and Considerations
Washington should pursue a 'day after' scenario that keeps the United States in the region, maintains its new (YPG) and old (Turkish and Iraqi) relationships, pushes back Iranian ambitions, and 'manages' an inevitable Russian presence.
Feb 7, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran's Warming Relations with the PKK Could Destabilize the KRG
Their emerging confluence of interests will only exacerbate the internal problems caused by factionalism and failed governance in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Feb 6, 2017
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Can Trump Break Up the Russian-Iranian Alliance?
One of the president's biggest early foreign policy tests will be navigating the aftermath of the nuclear deal, which brought the Islamic Republic even further into Russia's orbit.
Feb 6, 2017
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
Trump-Netanyahu Meeting: A Reset for U.S.-Israel Relations?
Three experts discuss the policy implications of the prime minister's first White House meeting with President Trump.
Feb 3, 2017
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Robert Satloff
David Makovsky
Yoaz Hendel
Brief Analysis
Iran's Latest Missile Test: Scenarios and Implications for the New Administration
Regardless of how the details surrounding Sunday's launch shake out, it was an unhelpful move at a time when the Trump administration is determining its policy toward Iran's missile program and broader regional behavior.
Feb 3, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
President Trump and the Middle East: Views from Israel
Two Israeli statesmen discuss their country's strategic situation and relations with the United States in the Trump era.
Feb 2, 2017
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Tzachi Hanegbi
Itamar Rabinovich
Brief Analysis
The Saudi-Houthi War at Sea
This week's apparent suicide strike on a Saudi warship highlighted the difficulty of protecting military vessels against small-boat attacks, as well as the ongoing struggle to break the stalemate in Yemen.
Jan 31, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
Principles to Guide U.S. Military Engagement in the Middle East
The military cannot be effective unless it is used to implement policies based on sound geopolitical judgment and an accurate reading of the region's political and cultural realities.
Jan 31, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Strengthening Stability in Northwest Africa:
Ideas for U.S. Policy toward Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia
The countries of northwest Africa -- Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia -- have proven either more resilient or more adaptive than other Middle East states to the political upheavals that have engulfed the region over the last half-dozen years. To varying degrees, however, stability remains a major challenge for all these
Jan 30, 2017
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Robert Satloff
Sarah Feuer
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