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Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Options Against Kurdish Independence
Tehran has several means of putting military and economic pressure on the Iraqi Kurds following the independence referendum, but taking action on its recent warnings could widen Kurdish discontent at home.
Sep 22, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Why is Iran Against the Independence Referendum?
September 22, 2017 Iran is increasingly nervous about Iraqi Kurdistan’s bid for a referendum on an independent Kurdish state. This nervousness arises because of two factors. First, declaring an independent Kurdish state would encourage Kurdish separatism within the Islamic Republic of Iran. Second, a new Kurdish state would undermine Iran’s
Sep 22, 2017
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Sarwar Abdullah
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Fighting Corruption is Essential to Kurdish Independence
September 21, 2017 On September 25, 2017, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq will hold a referendum on independence and succession. An independent Kurdish state is something that Kurds have sought for generations, but the notion of a referendum among Iraqi Kurds has gained strength in recent years due to disintegrating
Sep 21, 2017
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Jeffrey Koncsol
Articles & Testimony
From Moscow to Marrakech: Russia Is Turning Its Eyes to Africa
Moscow's growing outreach to Algeria, Libya, and neighboring states aligns well with its survival strategy of undermining the West while simultaneously working with it.
Sep 21, 2017
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Hamas Announcement: Reconciliation or Reorientation?
The group's latest move consolidates Egypt's leading role on Palestinian issues, impacts Fatah-Hamas politics, and could alleviate some of the strip's humanitarian problems, but it falls short of a reconciliation that Washington can accept.
Sep 20, 2017
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Jordan Poll Reveals Surprisingly Moderate Public Opinion
September 20, 2017 As President Trump meets with foreign leaders at the UN General Assembly this week, new poll data demonstrates that his agenda -- combating jihadi terrorists, countering Iran, and broadening Arab-Israeli dialogue -- has great popular appeal in at least one key Arab country: Jordan. A reliable survey
Sep 20, 2017
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The United States Needs a Middle East Strategy
Without a defined strategy, events will determine policy.
Sep 19, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Next Hizballah-Israel Conflict
There are signs of war on the horizon, and it could be the most destructive Arab-Israeli conflict yet.
Sep 19, 2017
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Michael Eisenstadt
Jeffrey White
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Political Reform Before Referendum and Independence
September 19, 2017 Since the decision to hold a referendum on the future of Iraqi Kurdistan, there has been a fierce debate between those in favor of the decision and those against, among people of all backgrounds and positions.These debates are not without serious political intimidation against anyone who stands
Sep 19, 2017
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Aras Fatah
Mariwan Kanie
Asos Hardi
Khaled Sulaiman
Articles & Testimony
Risk and Reward: What Iran Learned after a Decade of Nuclear Talks
Given its miscalculations about withdrawing from the 2004 Paris Accords, Iran will likely refrain from any short-term steps that isolate it or strengthen Washington's case for revoking the JCPOA.
Sep 19, 2017
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Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
What Is at Stake in Iraqi Kurdish Vote for Independence?
Despite all the diplomatic posturing and domestic politicking, the day after the referendum may look very much like the day before.
Sep 18, 2017
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Michael Knights
The Outlook for Energy in the Middle East
Ambassador James Jeffrey joined the Columbia Energy Exchange podcast for a conversation on how the Middle East's political situation is affecting energy markets. Among the many topics of discussion were the political situation in Iraq and the outlook for future oil production; the future of the Iran nuclear deal and
Sep 18, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Russia Crosses the Euphrates: Implications
By helping Assad's forces bridge the river, Moscow is increasing the risk of direct confrontation while obstructing U.S. efforts to defeat IS, stabilize eastern Syria, and limit Iranian arms transfers.
Sep 18, 2017
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Why Iraqi Security Forces Are Promoting the Arts
Cultural initiatives serve key defense goals, but Baghdad should steer clear of programs that turn the arts into a mouthpiece of the state or a divisive sectarian tool.
Sep 18, 2017
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Kendall Bianchi
Articles & Testimony
War Books: Jacob Olidort on How to Read
"How" to read seems a strange and perhaps even condescending way to propose a book list. However, given that reading takes time, and that those who might have the most use for good reads often have little time and long lists to go through, as well as many outlets to
Sep 18, 2017
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Jacob Olidort
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Qatar-Egypt Rivalry at Heart of UNESCO Election
September 15, 2017 The most interesting election of 2017 may be its least transparent. In October, the United Nations will elect the next Director-General of the United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) in a race as wild as any presidential or parliamentary contest. The next director will manage
Sep 15, 2017
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Joseph Hammond
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Middle East Maritime Security:
The Growing Role of Regional and Extraregional Navies
A comprehensive accounting of naval-basing developments in the Middle East and North Africa, including recommended steps for advancing U.S. regional interests
Sep 14, 2017
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Theodore Karasik
Jeremy Vaughan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pragmatic Options for Gaza
September 14, 2017 Ever since Hamas violently ejected the Palestinian Authority’s forces from Gaza in 2007, report after report has detailed the degradation of infrastructure and the inevitability of crises. The United Nations has warned that Gaza will become unlivable by 2020 — a warning repeated almost annually since 2012
Sep 14, 2017
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Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib
Brief Analysis
Splitting Civil Society from the Jihadists in Idlib
Local knowledge will be central to any U.S. endeavor to persuade Syrian residents against allying with an ascendant -- and ideologically flexible -- HTS.
Sep 14, 2017
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Ruwan Rujouleh
Articles & Testimony
Congress, Don't Meet with the Muslim Brotherhood
The refined appearance of Amr Darrag, who served as minister of international cooperation in the Morsi government, belies his extremist views.
Sep 13, 2017
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Eric Trager
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