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Brief Analysis
Saudi Reshuffle Emphasizes Security and Foreign Policy
Ministerial changes seemed likely in the wake of the Khashoggi crisis, but some of the specifics came as a surprise.
Dec 28, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Mission Unaccomplished: The Tweet That Upended Trump’s Counterterrorism and Iran Policies
If the Syria withdrawal proves inevitable, officials should push to phase the departure, keep U.S. forces at Tanf, maintain the air campaign, forge a counterterror agreement with Turkey, and take other fallback measures.
Dec 25, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Ever Cagey, Netanyahu Calls an Early Election He’s Expected to Win
The Israeli prime minister looks to get out ahead of legal and security threats to his tenure.
Dec 24, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
The Race for Eastern Syria
If Washington abandons its low-cost, high-impact approach to fighting ISIS in Syria, it will pave the way for a host of bad actors to reestablish themselves there.
Dec 24, 2018
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Tal Abyad: Achilles Heel of the Syrian Kurdish Belt
The district’s ethnic composition and wartime migrations make it the weakest point of the YPG defense system, and the most likely entryway for Turkish troops and their proxies.
Dec 21, 2018
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Very Cautious Arab Media Reactions to U.S. Syria Exit, Plus Mattis Exit
President Donald Trump’s sudden December 19 announcement via Twitter that the United States would withdraw its troops from Syria took much of the world by surprise. As both Western and regional analysts scramble to discern how this announcement will shape future developments, including the subsequent resignation of Defense Secretary James
Dec 21, 2018
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The “Reconstruction” of Syria: A War By Other Means
The current drive for the “reconstruction” of Syria—spearheaded by the Damascus regime and its backers in Russia and Iran—is not a legitimate effort of rebuilding and relief, despite recent consideration from regional and international actors. Rather, the proffered “reconstruction” efforts promise the continuation of the Syrian war by new means
Dec 21, 2018
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Protests Underscore West Bank Instability
The international community can help avert future chaos through measures to stem political, economic, and security deterioration, and Washington can reinstate funding for Palestinian development projects.
Dec 21, 2018
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Ghaith al-Omari
Madison Rinder
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State Inside Iraq: Losing Power or Preserving Strength?
Attack data shows that the group is enthusiastically regrouping in a more concentrated area of northern Iraq, and the government is not adapting fast enough to stop it.
Dec 21, 2018
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
What to Watch for as Lebanon Forms a New Government
The cabinet’s composition is a fait accompli, but foreign officials may still be able to influence key security appointments—or, failing that, up the financial and diplomatic pressure on Hezbollah and its political allies.
Dec 20, 2018
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Hanin Ghaddar
In-Depth Reports
Russia's Arabic Propaganda: What It Is, Why It Matters
Explore the subtle strategies, including information manipulation, that Moscow is using to expand Russian influence in the Middle East.
Dec 19, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Catherine Cleveland
Brief Analysis
As Washington Prepares to Withdraw from Syria, Turkey Is Set to Invade
The combination of premature steps would further damage U.S. credibility while giving Iranian proxies and Islamic State remnants free rein in east Syria.
Dec 19, 2018
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Dana Stroul
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
In the Scramble to Save the Iran Deal, Don’t Forget Procurement
A new UN report does little to assuage concerns about suspicious Iranian procurements, underscoring the need for allied intelligence agencies to boost their detection efforts.
Dec 19, 2018
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Elana DeLozier
Video
Brief Analysis
Forty Years of the Islamic Republic: What Next?
What are the prospects for liberal democracy in Iran, and what can the international community do to help the ongoing protest movement? Watch video or download a full transcript of this special event.
Dec 18, 2018
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Reza Pahlavi
Video
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Foreign Fighters
Two leading experts discuss why thousands of young Tunisians mobilized for jihad in Iraq and Syria, and what governments are doing now that they are taking their cause back home—or to the West.
Dec 17, 2018
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Jacob Walles
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
After Palermo: Achievements and Future Challenges for Libya
The Italian-sponsored stabilization conference produced some positive outcomes, but a genuine breakthrough requires U.S. involvement.
Dec 17, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Barbara A. Leaf
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Privately Split on Key Issues, New Poll Reveals
Data from a rare public opinion poll conducted in the United Arab Emirates in November shows its citizens more divided than often assumed on a number of topical issues, both foreign and domestic. These issues include women’s rights, cooperation with Israel, and even the UAE’s close ties with the United
Dec 17, 2018
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Rouhani’s Threat to Shut the Strait of Hormuz—More Than Bluster?
Thirty-five years of historical precedent make clear that Tehran will lash out if it feels cornered.
Dec 14, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Sisi Restores Jewish Heritage in Egypt
His recent outreach to Jews is welcome, though it should not be mistaken for a total shift in his repressive tendencies or a sea change in the Egyptian public’s rejection of Israel.
Dec 14, 2018
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Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
The Big, the Small, and the Needless: Rebalancing Three UN Peacekeeping Missions
A former Israeli general explains why rethinking the missions is crucial to containing Iran’s proxies and reducing waste in international security expenditures.
Dec 14, 2018
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Assaf Orion
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