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Brief Analysis
If the Arms Ban Ends: Implications for Iran’s Military Capabilities
Discussions about lifting the ban tend to focus on major weapons systems Tehran might acquire abroad, yet the most important long-term impact may be on its ability to upgrade existing capabilities and strengthen domestic arms production.
Jul 23, 2020
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Normalization at Stake: the Emirati Message to Israelis
In the past few years, unprecedented economic and security cooperation between Israel and United Arab Emirates has grown given the common threat from Iran. At stake are the Israeli diplomatic mission in Abu Dhabi housed in the renewable energy agency, along with an informal trade office in Dubai. Just last
Jul 22, 2020
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Haisam Hassanein
Danny Citrinowicz
Brief Analysis
UNIFIL’s Yearly Mandate Renewal: Maintain Ends, Change Ways and Means
Most parties would be happy maintaining the status quo, but staying course on the current security trends is unsustainable and may lead to escalation unless the Security Council revises its peacekeeping mission and procedures.
Jul 22, 2020
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
When China Met Iran
A growing partnership between America’s main Middle East adversary and Asia’s rising superpower bears careful watching in Washington.
Jul 21, 2020
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Shifting Sands in the House of Saud with a King’s Declining Health
King Salman may not be on his deathbed, but his son is renowned for not wanting to waste an opportunity.
Jul 21, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The MENA Region’s Water Crisis: Avoiding Potential Water Wars
The population of the Middle East and North Africa is facing an imminent, severe water crisis, with a number of potentially disastrous consequences for the region. This water crisis—devastating in and of itself—also means food shortages and famine. Moreover, this additional pressure on the region’s most vulnerable is likely to
Jul 20, 2020
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Amro Selim
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Half of Emiratis Approve Domestic Policies, But Just 20% Want Israeli Ties
The Emirati public is split about how much the government should be doing about public health.
Jul 20, 2020
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David Pollock
Shaina Katz
Articles & Testimony
Observations on the Islamic State in Iran
The institutionalization of revolutionary Islamism in Iranian governance and law means there is almost no chance the current regime will pursue reform of its own volition.
Jul 17, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Russia Looks to Long Term While Navigating Libya Chaos
Moscow has intervened for self-serving reasons and claims neutrality despite clearly picking a side.
Jul 17, 2020
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
The UN's Role in Responding to the Global Terrorist Threat
Watch a webcast with the head of the UN Counter-Terrorism Committee Executive Directorate as she discusses how the organization is supporting global efforts to prevent and fight extremism amid the coronavirus pandemic.
Jul 17, 2020
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Michèle Coninsx
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy Rivalries Face Harsh Economic Realities
Even if acute diplomatic differences are resolved, low natural gas prices will have a cooling effect on regional energy initiatives.
Jul 17, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Political Instability Deepens in Tunisia
The prime minister’s resignation throws the country into political uncertainty at a time of mounting economic challenges, coronavirus fears, social unrest, and potential spillover from the Libya conflict.
Jul 17, 2020
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Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Strengthening the Kadhimi Government (Part 2): Countering Militia Media
The Iraqi state is losing the media war to groups that oppose its sovereignty and benefit from continued instability, so Baghdad and Washington should step up their counter-messaging.
Jul 16, 2020
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Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Praxis before Faith in Tackling Radicalism—A Response to Shoresh Khani
Shoresh Khani presents a coherent argument for greater attention to the situation at al-Hawl. Satisfied with the defeat of ISIS, world decision makers seem not much engaged in the residual question of al-Hawl. Some international court involvement is suggested, and de-radicalization efforts are anticipated. If the goal is that ISIS
Jul 15, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States Under Stress
As Riyadh aims to revamp the kingdom’s place in the international community, its near-term approach to Iran and Israel will have much to say about the Gulf neighborhood’s future trajectory.
Jul 15, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Popular Opinion of Kadhimi Is Weakly Supportive, but Could Tip Either Way
While much ink has been spilled over whether Iran and the United States have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of new Iraqi Prime Minster Mustafa al-Kadhimi, the most important opinion is that of Iraqis. It is particularly important what Iraq’s Shia population thinks of their new prime minister, as they
Jul 15, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Give Up on the Two-State Solution
Unilateral Israeli annexation would be a mistake, but a one-state solution or an unconditional declaration of Palestinian statehood would just compound the error.
Jul 14, 2020
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Strengthening the Kadhimi Government (Part 1): Protection and Security Issues
Washington expects Iraqi leaders to put their lives on the line to defend the country’s sovereignty and secure the government center, but they can’t do so without at least a little U.S. help.
Jul 13, 2020
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Kurdistan: Priority Issues for International Mediation
Baghdad, Erbil, and their foreign partners should focus on mending harmful intra-Kurdish rifts, forging a multiyear budget deal, and reactivating elite counterterrorism coordination, among other initiatives.
Jul 10, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Sudan on Edge: An Inevitable Fall or a Better Way Ahead?
Washington needs to go fast on Sudan, not slow, frontloading relief to bolster the civilian government while warning regional leaders not to use the country as another geopolitical football.
Jul 10, 2020
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Alberto Fernandez
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